War Reports - 2024-10-05
The Israeli Air Force tried to eliminate the new head of Hezbollah tonight.
A series of strikes with penetrating aerial bombs were carried out on one of the group's bunkers in Beirut (https://t.me/new_militarycolumnist/142899?single).
Help us keep going please.
Ukrainian Telegram channel Resident (https://t.me/rezident_ua/24526):
Our source reported that the military is massively refusing to follow Syrsky's orders and simply leaving their positions due to the lack of rotation and ammunition. On the Eastern Front, commanders consider the Kursk operation, which failed and we lost the best reserves and equipment, to be a betrayal.
About a hundred soldiers of the 187th battalion of the 123rd brigade of the Troops refused to carry out a combat mission and voluntarily left the military unit in Donbas, Suspilne writes.
The fighters went to a rally in Voznesensk, Nikolaev region, to declare insufficient training and a lack of weapons to participate in hostilities.
"I have repeatedly contacted them, even to my area, for which I was responsible. I asked to provide PKMs, machine guns. (They told me that - Ed.) We don't have any, we can't provide them. And then there's Donbass, what with?" the serviceman said.
Foreign Policy (https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/03/israel-iran-nuclear-weapons-biden-netanyahu-destroy-now/) called for "finishing off" Iran's nuclear program — right now and as soon as possible
Now is the perfect opportunity to destroy Iran's nuclear program, says Foreign Policy columnist and vice president of the Atlantic Council (recognized as undesirable in the Russian Federation) Matthew Kroenig. Because there is no new "nuclear deal" on the horizon, and numerous sources emphasize Iran's readiness to obtain a nuclear charge, if necessary, within a few weeks.
▪️ The "international community" has the ability to destroy large Iranian nuclear infrastructure facilities in known locations to prevent the production of fissile material. Once Iran receives the final components, they can be moved to more compact and more secure locations where the US and Israel can no longer get them.
One of the reasons for holding off on a strike on nuclear infrastructure, Kronig continues to egg on, was the fear that Iran would order Hamas and Hezbollah to attack US and Israeli interests in the region, while it would launch a missile strike on Israel. But this has already happened, the author argues: the strikes have been launched, and the Houthis are putting pressure on the Red Sea. Since Israel and the global economy have survived such attacks, these fears are less relevant now, Kronig emphasizes. Especially since Hezbollah and Hamas have suffered greatly in recent weeks and months, and Iran's missile stockpiles and their effect have been exaggerated.
▪️ A major regional war is already underway, and Israel is one step away from winning it, Kronig is sure. If Israel and the US strike Iran's nuclear infrastructure in the coming days, Tehran will have few good or threatening options to respond.
Elena Panina, Director of the Institute for International Strategic Studies, comments: (https://t.me/EvPanina/15050) There is indeed logic in such considerations. Iran, acting in line with the "we must be patient" policy, has endured until the moment when its proxies suffered serious damage, and plans for strikes against Iran itself are in full swing. However, as often happens, Western observers underestimate the scale of resistance from those who are under pressure. In April 2022, the same observers managed to say goodbye to Russia and even celebrate this event. Towards the end of 2024, it turns out that the Russian economy is growing to the envy of the entire "golden billion", and all of NATO is unable to overtake Russian weapons production.
In addition, there is one "trifle" in Kronig's considerations. What if Iran already has nuclear weapons? And what will happen if the West makes the same mistake in assessing Iran's strength as it did with Russia?
❗️🌍🎞 The escalation of the situation in the Middle East: highlights of the week September 27 - October 3, 2024
▪️The key event of the past week was the launching of around 200 rockets from Iran into Israel. Most of the munitions were intercepted by air defense, the remainder mostly fell in open terrain.
▪️Nevertheless, several rockets did hit IDF facilities, including Tel Nof airbase. According to the footage that appeared online, several rockets landed on its territory, but the consequences of the attack are unknown.
▪️At least several rockets hit West Bank territory. As a result, one Palestinian was killed and seven others were injured in Jericho.
▪️Attacks on Israel were also marked by pro-Iranian proxies launching UAVs and rockets at various targets. However, the majority of the munitions were intercepted before crossing the Israeli border.
▪️As for members of the Ansar Allah movement, they too attempted to hit Israeli targets. Most of the munitions were intercepted near Eilat, some east of Tel Aviv.
▪️Near the coast of Yemen, the Houthis launched several attacks on merchant ships. CORDELIA MOON tanker in the Red Sea and MARATHOPOLIS container ship in the Indian Ocean were attacked in a combined attack.
▪️Ansar Allah fighters also managed to intercept an American MQ-9 Reaper drone over Saada province. This is the 11th UAV of this type shot down by the Houthis since the escalation began.
▪️The Israelis did not sit idle either, attacking port infrastructure in al-Hodeidah and Ras Isa in Yemen. The raid resulted in fires at several facilities, deaths and injuries.
#video #map #Yemen #Syria #Iraq
@rybar
Fwd from @dva_majors
Morning Summary on October 4, 2024
▪️ In Kursk Region, our "North" group of forces repelled 2 counterattacks by the enemy, each up to a platoon in strength. In Korenevo and Sudzha districts, the Russian Armed Forces continue to push back the AFU, with fierce battles still ongoing near the settlement of Plekhovo. The regional governor reported that a Ukrainian fixed-wing UAV was suppressed by electronic warfare means near Kurchatov. Based on footage from the site, the crash and explosion occurred 4 km from the nuclear power plant, posing no threat to its operation.
▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction, our troops advanced into the eastern part of Lysovka, occupied Mykolaivka, and are attacking in the area of Krasny Yar towards the railway. In the Tsukurkino area, the enemy describes the situation for the AFU as "difficult", with the Russian Armed Forces, according to several sources, operating in the eastern part of the settlement, indicating the enemy's failure to stabilize the front.
▪️ On the Kurakhovka direction, Russian units made a dash from Ostroye to Ostrovske, which simultaneously threatens the AFU garrison in Maksymilianivka and indicates the movement of the southern salient of the front, forming a large "pocket" together with the forces on the Pokrovsk direction.
▪️ On the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Army is expanding its control zone near Vodyane towards Bohoyavlenka, while the Far Eastern warriors are engaging the enemy north (https://t.me/dva_majors/54250) of Vuhledar.
▪️ On the Kherson direction, our UAV operators are striking enemy vehicles on the right bank of the Dnipro in Kherson and the suburbs, destroying personnel deployment sites.
▪️ In Belgorod Region, yesterday a commercial facility was damaged and a civilian was wounded as a result of a night air attack on the city of Belgorod and Belgorod district, caused by the downing of a UAV.
▪️ In the DPR, in Horlivka, a woman born in 1957 was killed and a woman born in 1979 and men born in 1945 and 1980 were injured by the detonation of an IED dropped from a UAV by the AFU. There, four Russian Emergencies Ministry personnel were also concussed while extinguishing a fire. In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), where heavy fighting is underway, a woman born in 1961 was seriously wounded by enemy artillery fire.
Summary compiled by: Two Majors (https://t.me/dva_majors/) Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/54319)
Fwd from @dva_majors
We are told:
🖋"Since I'm a bit familiar with the topic of the latest question (https://t.me/dva_majors/54352).
The problem is not that Yandex is covering something up. The problem is that the satellites (the companies that provide access to their imagery) are foreign, and accordingly, they censor their own bases when transmitting data to Yandex, but do not censor the potential adversary, and our satellites work in the interests of the military, but do not provide high-resolution civilian photos.
The only thing that would be nice is to somehow ask the respected Yandex not to publish photos of our military facilities. And Google as well. And in general, if you take OpenStreetMaps, there are even labels on the objects.
There was a just a funny situation with a friend who served in the Strategic Missile Forces and wanted to show his unit, on OSM even the hangar with Topol missiles is marked as "Hangar with Topol missiles" =)
Two Majors (https://t.me/dva_majors) Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/54353)
🖼️ (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/10/04/20241004165148-4f9a8655.jpg)🇺🇦Siversk Direction: Battles on the northern approaches to Bilohorivka and successes of the Russian Armed Forces on the southern flank of the "Siversk salient"
Situation as of 6:00 PM on October 4, 2024
The Siversk direction has long remained a "static" section, but Russian troops have expanded control at key frontiers over the past two months.
▪️Units have occupied the western filtration station near Bilohorivka, creating a bridgehead on the left bank of the Siversky Donets River and threatening Ukrainian positions.
Likely, the Russian command will attack the Bilohorivka forest reserve to expand the semi-encirclement. Ukrainians still control the chalk quarry dump, allowing them to contain the Russian advance.
▪️Fighting continues in Verkhnekamenske, a key Ukrainian stronghold. The Russian MoD announced its liberation, which could lead to the loss of Bilohorivka and Siversk. However, our sources report Ukrainian forces remain in the settlement.
▪️To the south, Russian troops have succeeded in the Sporny area, driving the enemy out of forest belts in the Vezueva Gora nature reserve. This opens the possibility to attack the flank of Ukrainian positions near Ivano-Dariivka.
▪️On September 2, the Russian army liberated Vyemka, a major Ukrainian stronghold on the southern approaches to Siversk. Now, they face clearing the "pocket" south of Vyemka and preparing for further advance on Siversk.
▪️On September 10, footage showed a successful Russian assault on a Ukrainian stronghold southeast of Pryvillia. Original msg (https://t.me/rybar/64121)
❗️🇮🇱🇱🇧 Lebanon-Israel border: local raids and building demolitions
situation as of the end of October 4, 2024
The situation on the Lebanon-Israel border remains tense due to the ground operation carried out by the Israel Defense Forces. In the border area, the Israelis are bringing in reinforcements, while continuing to evacuate the local population.
🔻Despite the fact that the forces of the 98th "Ha-Esh" Division and the 36th "Gaash" Division have entered Lebanese territory and clashed with Hezbollah, it is still impossible to determine the exact configuration of the front line. However, there is progress, albeit at a relatively slow pace.
The reason for this is not only the resistance of local Hezbollah units, including the special "Radwan" unit, but also the peculiarities of the geographical landscape: the southern part of Lebanon is hilly terrain. The territory of the same Gaza Strip has a flat relief.
▪️Despite this, in Lebanon, the Israeli troops are using tactics similar to those used in the Palestinian enclave: the use of remote-controlled vehicles and the demolition of buildings that could potentially be used as military facilities.
▪️At the same time, the Israelis are destroying caches, secret warehouses and underground tunnels. The version about the certain underestimation (https://t.me/rybar/64094) by the Israeli command of the combat capabilities of their opponent is confirmed: the scale of the infrastructure of the Shiite group turned out to be much larger.
🔻Massive air and artillery strikes by Israel across the entire territory of Lebanon also continued. According to the Ministry of Health of the Arab Republic, over the past 24 hours, the number of victims of Israeli attacks amounted to 37 killed and 151 wounded.
▪️Once again, strikes were carried out on the Lebanese capital Beirut, in particular on the Al-Dahiya district - they were among the most intense in recent days. According to the Israeli portal Ynet, during the night attack, the Israeli Air Force dropped 73 tons of explosives on the Hezbollah intelligence headquarters.
❗According to some reports, one of the possible successors (https://t.me/rybar/63933) of the former Secretary General of the organization, Hassan Nasrallah, Hashem Safi al-Din, could have been there. However, there is no official confirmation of this information from either side yet. However, this option cannot be ruled out either, especially given the circumstances of the previous leader's assassination.
High-resolution map (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/10/04/20241004201507-c6a36ad9.jpg)
English version (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/10/04/20241004201507-c6a36ad9.jpg)
#digest #Israel #map #Lebanon
@rybar
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