Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2023-01-16

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I see that people have a misunderstanding about the difference between missiles.

Let me explain as simply as possible:

- Caliber and missiles of its class (X-101, tomahawks, etc.) fly at subsonic speeds. Approximately 250-300 m/s. Therefore, they can be seen on the video. Usually, they have wings that are straight or slightly angled, like those of passenger aircraft. As a rule, they fly above the ground, at the minimum possible height, so that they cannot be detected in advance using radar.

— Rocket Kh-22, supersonic. She has a speed of 600-800 m / s. That is the speed of a bullet or projectile. And another important difference is that it has a high flight altitude, which complicates the ability to shoot down its air defense, but it is elementary to detect it, especially since it does not have any means of stealth. And it is almost impossible to see it on a random video, and because of the speed and high altitude.

Another important point, due to supersonic flight, it forms a shock wave, which is felt by ear as a strong bang or a light explosion. And it appears after the flight of the rocket.

Therefore, if it was used specifically, then in a dive, it gave the sound of an explosion for everyone who is up to the point of impact. That is, they would first hear one weak explosion and then one strong one.

But neither according to the records, nor according to the testimony of eyewitnesses, this is not the case.

Plus, as I already mentioned, the difference in the mass of explosives is almost two times, the effect of the X-22 is much more destructive. While the volume of destruction completely coincides with the power of the caliber warhead.

In sum, all these factors fully confirm the falsity of the Ukrainian official version. And all this is easy to check, the parameters of the missiles have been in the public domain for a long time.

Russian Engineer

#Source (https://t.me/ukraina_ru/127409)

@Slavyangrad

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Since we are talking about the use of tanks on the battlefield, let's fast forward 7 years ago. On October 8, 2015, social networks rejoiced: “Government forces advanced 70 km north of the city of Hama in a day and liberated the city of Kafr Nabuda.”

Russia officially fought in Syria for a little over a week. The Russian advisers, having developed a plan, concentrated an armored fist on the plains of Hama and decided to crush the enemy's Latamin bridgehead with one throw. To be honest, the official reports poorly reflected reality. There was no question of any advancement of 70 km. This offensive turned into a rout (Kafr Naboudou will be released only in 2019). American TOW systems destroyed a lot of Syrian armor, which led to the surrender of the city of Murek and a number of other villages. Even then it was necessary to realize that the Soviet dogma "Tank wedges to the English Channel" was outdated.

The Syrians in subsequent years (largely without our participation) rethought the meaning of the tank on the battlefield and began to act effectively. In open spaces, the platoon received a tank under its command. The infantrymen went forward, identified enemy firing points and called in their armor to destroy them. The soldiers went ahead of the tanks, which significantly reduced the loss of vehicles on the plains.

In the cities, tactics changed. Each tank had its own ground gunner. He hung a copter over an armored vehicle and contacted the infantry. The gunner, seeing the whole picture of the battle, literally told the tankers to turn the barrel to the right by 30 degrees and put 3 shells in the next entrance. Such interaction made it possible to break through the enemy's fortifications even in close Arab buildings.

As I have repeatedly said, the Syrian experience taught us nothing, so on February 24, armored columns went forward, which had practically no connection with the infantrymen. The losses of those days can be judged by numerous videos on enemy resources.

Now the Russian army has to gnaw through enemy defenses in depth, so the meaning and use of the tank on the battlefield must be rethought. Stop stepping on a rake and throwing armored fists forward. We already have enough examples of successful offensives.

I was in the spring near Izyum. They tried to liberate the fucking Kamenka with tank strikes ... As a result, this tactic completely failed and the special forces cleared the village on foot. The Wagners, which have been talked about so much lately, are also advancing in small groups of infantry. Neither Popasnaya nor Soledar were taken head-on by a tank attack.

So what should be done? Firstly, abandon the tactics of tank breakthroughs. Secondly, each tank must be assigned a ground gunner. He must ensure coordination between the steel monster and the infantry. Thirdly, each tank must lead its own copter. The cost of such innovations will be minimal compared to the cost of machines, and efficiency will increase significantly.

Alexander Kharchenko

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#Source (https://t.me/militarymaps/31571)

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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Another UAV raid on the Crimean peninsula

This morning Ukrainian formations made another attempted raid on the Crimean peninsula from Odessa using Mugin-5 drones equipped with a grenade-dropping system.

🔻Chronicle of events

▪️ At 06.00, a group of five Mugin-5 drones took off from the Shkolny airfield in Odessa in the direction of Cape Tarkhankut on an already "piloted" route. An hour later, a second wave of UAVs headed toward Crimea from the same airfield along a similar path.

▪️After reaching a certain point over the Black Sea, both groups of UAVs adjusted their route, heading towards Karkinit Bay and Bakalskaya Spit.

▪️The Ukrainian UAVs then entered the republic's airspace via the village of Steregushche in the Razdolnenskiy district of Crimea. Three Mugin were shot down on the approach while the others infiltrated further towards Novoozernoye.

▪️The two remaining UAVs were destroyed by units of the 31st Air Defence Division near Novoozernoye, while the rest returned to the coastal Black Sea waters via Donuzlav Bay.

▪️ Four more drones were hit near the northern breakwater in Sevastopol towards Cape Chersonese and Belbek airfield, while one went down in the sea near Novofedorovka.

🔻Specifics.

First, the AFU changed the timing of the raid. Almost every previous attack had been carried out at night or in the early hours of the morning. This time, however, the period between 08:00 and 10:00 was chosen.

Secondly, the attempted strikes were again carried out without objective control by NATO reconnaissance aircraft. A similar raid on the peninsula was carried out on 24 December last year.

Third, the chosen area for infiltration into Crimea was consistent with the previously attempted strikes. The ultimate targets were most likely Russian Air Force airfields on the peninsula, including Saki and Belbek.

NATO's satellite constellation has been actively filming these sites in great detail for the past few days, as well as Gvardeyskoye, Dzhankoy, the Black Sea Fleet ships' anchorage in Sevastopol, and the positions of mobile air defense units.

🔻 What next?

The Ukrainian command varies drone tactics, periodically changing the timing of attacks and the types of drones used, ranging from commercial Mugins to aerostats. More UAVs were dispatched in two waves today than in past raids.

The purpose of this morning's action by the AFU was the same - to assess the state of air defense by identifying SAM and mobile squadron positions and the least defended areas in the air defense.

It is likely that in the subsequent few days, attempts at strikes will continue. And this time, with a high degree of probability, the US RQ-4B UAV, which flew from the Sigonella airbase to the Larissa airbase in Greece, will be observing the actions of the Russian Armed Forces.

This will increase the operational efficiency of the RQ-4B near Russian borders. Eight MQ-9A Reaper UAVs have already been at the Greek base since November, and the arrival of the Global Hawk demonstrates Greece's increased role in the US geopolitical deterrence strategy.

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Personally, I have several problems with this analysis. I don't believe a landing on Odessa from the sea is at all advisable, nor likely. The Belarusian offensive scenario is also somewhat unlikely, as the Ukrainian forces have spent months securing that border. The Ukrainian march to the Azov sea also seems as if they'd be setting themselves up for a cauldron. I can't be the only person that finds this sort of ridiculous. All of these offensives seem like death traps.

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Special operation, 16 January. Main from RIA Novosti:

▪️ The Russian Defence Ministry has reported air and artillery strikes against Kiev's forces in the Kupyansk, Krasno-Limansky, Donetsk and South Donetsk directions;

▪️ Peskov spoke about the collapse of a residential building in Dnepropetrovsk: "The Russian military is not striking nor residential buildings neither social infrastructure in Ukraine." He also drew attention to the fact that some representatives of Kiev have already named air defence as the cause of the tragedy;

▪️ The liberation of the Kiev-controlled part of Zaporozhye region could begin in spring, the region's acting head Balitsky said;

▪️ Times reported that Kiev initially assigned the defence of Artemovsk to foreign mercenaries and unprofessional military in the expectation that the fate of the fighting will be decided in spring;

▪️ Putin had a phone conversation with Erdogan on a prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine and the progress of the grain deal;

▪️ Ukrainian forces shelled Donetsk, with hits on a supermarket, a pharmacy and a residential building, according to the DNR People's Militia, killing at least two people and wounding three;

▪️ Air defence and the Black Sea Fleet shot down 10 Ukrainian drones, Sevastopol's governor said;

▪️ Ukrainian power engineers claimed a "huge shortage" of generation after damage to a number of thermal power plants, with Ukrenergo limiting consumption across the country;

▪️ The Russian Interior Ministry is ready to consider settling the legal situation in Russia of Frenchman Adrien Boquet, who visited Donbass as a volunteer, he has asked Russian authorities to grant him political asylum;

▪️ The West's supply of tanks to Ukraine will not change the situation, but will only prolong the suffering of the Ukrainian people, Peskov said

#Source:

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/75627?single

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Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2023-01-15