Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2023-01-22
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
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Ukraine is creating new military formations to equip them with NATO weapons. This was stated by the commander of the Joint Forces Sergey Naev in a commentary to CNN.
"Of course, we need a large number of Western tanks. They are much better than Soviet models and can help us advance. We are creating new military units. And our further actions will depend on their combat capability. Therefore, Western assistance is extremely important," the lieutenant general said.
“The entire unit must be equipped with the same vehicle, so the entire battalion is equipped with Bradleys, if we get them, or Leopards,” Naev added (note that Germany has so far refused to supply Leopards).
Several senior Ukrainian officials told CNN that Ukraine wants to be in a better position before Russia strengthens its position and builds up battalion task forces.
Ukrainians fear that a second Russian offensive could begin within two months. By spring, the 150,000 Russians called up last fall will have been trained and likely to be included in combat-ready units.
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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicle of a special military operation
for January 21-22, 2023
🔻 Border territories of the Russian Federation
On Saturday, Ukrainian drones attacked a mill in the village of Tyotkino in the Kursk region. The dropped shells did not cause any damage, and there were also no casualties.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine shelled the village of Vyazovoe, Krasnoyaruzhsky district, Belgorod region. There were no casualties, but several houses and power lines were damaged by the blast.
🔻Kharkiv region:
The RF Armed Forces carried out at least four missile strikes on the facilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kharkov and its environs. According to preliminary data, one of the shells hit the fuel and lubricants storage near the Kharkov station - sorting.
🔻Starobelsk direction:
▪️There are no significant changes on the front line. On the Kupyansko-Svatovsky sector, enemy units are rotating and gathering reinforcements near Novoselovsky, planning an early attack on Kuzemovka.
▪️To the south, on the Ploshchanka-Makeevka section, artillery duels continue. The Armed Forces of Ukraine use small sabotage groups, probing the defense of the Russian troops, but the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation promptly identify them and destroy them.
🔻Soledar direction:
▪️In the Soledar sector, north of the Sol station, the assault detachments of the Wagner PMC took control of Krasnopolyevka. The village is located on one of the roads leading to Seversk.
▪️ On the southern and southeastern outskirts of Bakhmut, fighting continues for control over local housing estates. Russian Aerospace Forces and artillery are working on the identified positions of the Ukrainian army.
➖ Over the village of Khromovo near Bakhmut, the crew of the MANPADS of the PMC "Wagner" shot down a military transport helicopter Mi-8 of the Ukrainian army, which crashed into the Bakhmut railway station.
🔻Luhansk People's Republic
▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked Stakhanov from the HIMARS MLRS. In the city, the dispensary of the machine-building plant and the old building of the prosecutor's office were destroyed, at least four residential buildings were damaged.
▪️Ukrainian forces also shelled the village of Fomivka in the Svatovsky district, destroying two houses and damaging the local paramedic station. In Starobilsk, which came under fire from the Armed Forces of Ukraine, one residential building was destroyed, there were no casualties.
🔻Donetsk People's Republic
▪️Ukrainian formations again shelled the settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration: art school No. 5 was damaged in the Kirovsky district of Donetsk, 23 transformer substations in the Petrovsky district were de-energized.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine shelled Ilovaisk several times, most of the shells were hit in the air by air defense systems.
🔻Zaporozhye direction:
▪️On the Orekhovsky sector, the fighting took on a positional character. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are fixed on previously occupied positions and conduct counter-battery combat. The enemy sends reinforcements to the area.
🔻 Southern Front. Kherson direction:
▪️Artillery duels continue along the line of contact: Russian troops and artillery attacked enemy targets and manpower in Kherson and Antonovka.
Ukrainian formations fired on New Kakhovka. One person was killed, two more were injured, there are power outages.
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The Zaporozhye offensive and the withdrawal from Kharkov
The AFU have found themselves in a dilemma due to their desire to hold on to territory even to the last man. Ultimately, Kiev’s goals are propaganda and real estate, with little regard to how many men end up in body bags. At the time of the Kharkov counteroffensive by the AFU in September, the RF had not yet begun the partial mobilization, and the RF did not have the luxury of manpower, nor the exogenous supply from outside forces that the AFU has come to rely on. While things should have never been allowed to unfold as they did, costing us Lyman and the greater portion of Kharkov, at that time and place the correct decision was made to withdraw across the Oskil river to buy time and protect precious manpower.
Conversely, the AFU focusing on territory and propaganda has decided to dig in hard for Bakhmut/Artemovsk, even redeploying troops from other fronts. By doing this, their garrisons in Zaporozhye found themselves in a similar position to those of the RF in Kharkov. Of course, I do not expect them to withdraw as the Russians did, but rather to fight a suicidal defense on multiple fronts. Ultimately, the result will be the same, just with heavier losses.
The important lesson here is that wars are not won on Twitter, and territory is the long-term goal, not the immediate concern. The AFU has put all their defenses across the entire front at risk and will ultimately lose more territory in the end. The momentum is now with the RF and the Allied Forces. Wars are won with tactical maneuvers that ultimately lead to breaks that create the opportunity for seizing territory. The original failure of the SMO was trading quick territorial gains for strategical and tactical preparation, which led to massive losses that never should have happened.
The seeds of the liberation of the Donbass were sowed in the streets of Bakhmut/Artemovsk. This “unimportant town” as the West now copes will be remembered as the major turning point, where the AFU miscalculated, and the Allied resolve remained firm. Due to the stubbornness of the clown Zelensky, performing for his Western benefactors, the troops sent from Zaporozhye to Bakhmut/Artemovsk weakened the Southern front allowing the RF to gain advantage over the Kamianske-Orikhiv highway, making the logistical situation for the AFU even worse than it already was.
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