Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-11-16
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/261)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 15 Nov 2022⚡️
🩸 In the evening, the Russian Armed Forces again carried out massive strikes on critical infrastructure in #Ukraine. Targets were hit in #Zhytomyr, #Kiev, #Kharkov, #Zmiev, #Lvov, #Rivne and #Artsyz, as well as in #Sumy, #Khmelnitsky, Ivano-Frankovsk and #Vinnitsa regions.
Ukrainian air defence could not repel the attacks. There have been power outages across the country.
▪️ During the raid, two munitions landed near the Polish village of Przewodowy, killing two farmers. According to preliminary reports, a stray AFU S-300 anti-aircraft missile collapsed on Polish territory.
#Belgorod Region:
▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled residential buildings in the village of #Leninsky, as well as in the villages of #Bezymeno, #Kozinka and #Spodaryusheno. Civilians were not injured.
▪️ In the evening, enemy militants attacked residential areas in the town of #Shebekino. At least three people were killed and three others wounded.
▪️ Russian air defence forces intercepted almost all targets over #Valuyki and in the #Graivoron urban district, but one person was killed by a missile. Another woman was injured.
#Starobelsk Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/259)):
▪️ In the #Kupyansk sector, artillery units of the 14th AFU Brigade shelled the #Olshana - #Pervomayskoye - #Orlyanka - #Yagodnoye line. Enemy targeting was carried out by drones and SRGs near #Ivanovka.
▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, assault commandos of the 2nd Battalion of the AFU's 92nd Mechanized Brigade entrenched on the western outskirts of #Stelmakhovka and continued their offensive towards #Kuzemovka. The advancing enemy forces were detected by UAVs and withdrew to their initial positions under artillery fire from the Russian forces.
▪️ In the #Lyman sector, a company of the AFU's 25th Airmobile Brigade, supported by armoured vehicles, attempted to break through towards #Chervonopopovka. Russian forces repulsed the attack and later hit the brigade's positions, killing two and wounding 15 Ukrainian paratroopers.
▪️ In the #Lysychansk sector, fighting continues near #Belogorovka. An enemy SRG conducted combat reconnaissance on Russian positions near #Zolotarevka. The Russian forces detected the enemy's concentration and launched a preemptive strike, forcing the Ukrainian militants to retreat to their initial positions with losses.
#Lugansk People's Republic:
▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled residential buildings in #Denezhnikovo and #Volcheyarovka with barrel and missile artillery. Civilians were not harmed.
#Donetsk Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/258)):
▪️ The AFU command is moving reinforcements and equipping additional fortifications to hold the stronghold of #Avdeevka.
▪️ Clashes continue in #Vodyanoye and #Nevelskoye. An enemy sabotage group has unsuccessfully tried to break through the advancing Russian ranks in #Pervomayskoye.
▪️ Russian forces under constant fire from Ukrainian artillery and MLRS continue to clear the northern outskirts of #Opytnoye.
▪️ Ukrainian militants have struck residential areas and civilian infrastructure in #Donetsk, #Gorlovka, #Yasynuvata, #Yakovlevka and other settlements in the agglomeration.
#Zaporozhye Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/257)):
▪️ The enemy is conducting reconnaissance along the line of contact as well as in the rear of Russian forces with the help of drones and pro-Ukrainian civilian informers.
▪️ In preparation for the offensive, the Ukrainian command is transferring reinforcements from the direction of #Kherson to the #Orekhov sector.
▪️ In #Melitopol, Ukrainian terrorists carried out an assassination attempt on a former city councillor by detonating a bomb outside his entrance. The injured official has been taken to hospital in serious condition.
#Kherson Direction on Southern Front (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/260)):
▪️ AFU units continue to entrench themselves on the right bank of the #Dnipro River. At the same time, filtration activities are taking place in and around #Kherson, involving mercenaries from the UK and Georgia.
t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41184 /#smo/
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/262)🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 @Rybar's Analysis - Russian Armed Forces hit Ukraine's Energy System on 15 Nov 2022⚡️
🔎 Rybar's team continues its analysis of the consequences of a systemic fire attack on Ukraine's energy system.
#Kiev said today's raid was the largest such attack since the start of the SMO. According to Ukrainian resources, cruise missiles and kamikaze drones damaged 15 critical infrastructure facilities.
We have repeatedly written that strikes have a cumulative effect, with each successive raid resulting in increasingly grave consequences for the Ukrainian energy system. This is exactly what today's events have demonstrated:
▪️ Strikes on the #Zmiev thermal power plant in #Chuguev district temporarily completely de-energised the entire #Kharkov region.
▪️ Strikes on facilities in #Kiev led to massive overloads in the power grid and tripping of emergency frequency overload automatics, which was perfectly visible in the footage of pulsating power on and off.
▪️ Repeated strikes on the #Zhytomyr 330 substation resulted in power outages in this regional centre and areas around it.
▪️ Voltage surges and temporary power outages were reported in western regions of Ukraine after repeated strikes on the Lvov-South 330 substation in Lvov Region and the #Kovel 330 substation in #Volyn Region.
🔻 For the first time, #Moldova also experienced the consequences of Russian missile strikes: paradoxically, they were the consequence of the policies of the authorities themselves in #Chisinau.
➖ Restrictions of gas supply to #Transnistria led to decrease of generation of the Moldavian state district power station that with its capacity stabilized the situation in the south of #Odessa region and fed the energy deficit of #Moldova.
➖ Due to reduced capacity and increased consumption from Ukraine, exacerbated by a possible impact on the 330 substation in #Artsyz, an automatic protection was triggered at the TPP. The plant switched to self-powered operation, which caused consumers in Moldova and Transnistria to be disconnected.
➖ Also, a section of the 750kV high voltage transit line in #Romania was disconnected, which may indirectly indicate a possible short circuit from the 750kV switchgear of the South Ukraine NPP.
🔻 The lack of objective data from most of the hit locations made it impossible to determine exactly which elements of the energy facilities were targeted in each attack.
However, dense black plumes could be seen in photos and videos from the arrival areas. This indirectly indicates that it is highly likely that the strikes were again directed at power and automatic transformers rather than general control stations (GCPs).
🩸 Their preservation would once again allow Ukrainian power producers to reassemble emergency circuits and eliminate damaged equipment in a relatively short period of time. Yes, it will cause even more severe restrictions, but power supply to consumers will be restored.
The absence of strikes on the General Control Stations reduces the impact on the Ukrainian energy system, although even then its resilience drops with each attack.
t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41185 /#ene/
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/263)🇷🇺🇺🇦🇵🇱 Whose Rockets collapsed in Poland - @Rybar's Breakdown⚡️
On the evening of November 15, two rockets fell (https://t.me/rybar/41178) near the village of #Przevodov in #Poland's #Lublin District, killing two people. The incident occurred during a massive strike, see here 👉 RF hit UA Energy System (https://t.me/sitreports/875), by the Russian Armed Forces against critical infrastructure in #Ukraine.
▪️ Opinions on the possible ownership of the munitions were immediately divided: one side claimed they were Russian X-101 cruise missiles that had landed in Poland. Others said anti-aircraft missiles from Ukraine's S-300 air defence system had crashed down near #Przevodov.
▪️ The first photos from the arrival site initially did not make the picture any clearer. The size of the crater was clearly not indicative of any particular munition. And the lack of damage could easily be explained by the late triggering of the fuse after the missile had already entered the ground.
🔻 However, an image of a single large fragment later appeared, which completely clarified the situation. The find turned out to be part of a crimped fuel tank connector ring to the tail compartment of the S-300 complex 5B55 anti-aircraft missile.
🔻 Could it be a Russian missile in light of the fact that the Russian Armed Forces sometimes use the S-300 to hit ground targets? Practically excluded: the closest possible launch point is on the territory of #Belarus, 130 km from the place of impact of the munition. And 5B55 with a maximum range of 75 km simply would not have reached #Przevodov.
All of this gives one strong reason to believe that it was the Ukrainian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles, which flew into Polish airspace while repelling a Russian air raid, that crashed on Polish territory.
t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41186 /#ana/
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/264)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Starobelsk Direction until 13:00 on 16 Nov 2022⚡️
#Kupyansk - #Svatovo Sector:
▪️ Combined assault groups of the 22nd Battalion of the 92nd Mechanized Brigade, supported by the 3rd Battalion of the 14th AFU Mechanized Brigade, conducted a reconnaissance battle on the #Peschanoye - #Stelmakhovka line.
At the same time, the 103rd Brigade's teardrop units attacked the Russian positions near #Kuzemovka. The offensive was repulsed in all areas. The AFU's confirmed casualties were seven killed and eight wounded.
▪️ The command of the combined Ukrainian group is preparing for a large-scale offensive. Up to two artillery brigades of the AFU are concentrated along the line of contact at the #Orlyanka - #Zatyshnoye - #Svatovo line.
▪️ UAVs of the 14th and 92nd Mechanized Brigades and the 103rd Brigade are scouting Russian positions along the# Pervomayskoye - #Yagodnoye - #Raygorodka line. Operators of the 92 Brigade are also using DJI Mavic drones with ammunition dropping systems.
#Lyman Sector:
▪️ Units of the 3rd Battalion of the 25th Airmobile Brigade have switched to a positional defence and the use of SRGs in the direction of #Chervonopopovka.
▪️ Reinforcements and ammunition have arrived at the strongholds of the Ukrainian 66th Mechanized and 25th Airmobile Brigades.
▪️ In the past 24 hours, Russian troops have eliminated 18 enemy fighters and wounded 22 during combat and by strikes.
#Lysychansk Sector:
▪️ Fighting continues near #Belogorovka. The 122nd Battalion of the 81st Separate Airmobile Brigade tried to retake lost positions lost earlier, supported by artillery from #Serebryanka.
The AFU partially pushed back Russian troops in the area and two Russian soldiers were captured. The Ukrainian command has now deployed reserves to continue the offensive.
t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41204 /#smo/
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/270)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Zaporozhye Direction until 14:00 on 16 Nov 2022⚡️
🩸 Against the background of a lull and positional fighting in some parts of the front, the Ukrainian command is reinforcing the grouping of troops in the #Zaporozhye region.
#Orekhovo Sector:
▪️ Reinforcements have arrived at the forward positions of the 1st Battalion of the AFU's 65th Mechanized Brigade in #Preobrazhenka, and a group of Ukrainian Special Operations Forces has been moved to #Volnyanka.
▪️ Armoured vehicles and weapons are concentrated near #Orekhovo, where an enemy assault force is being formed. The positions of the 16th Battalion of the AFU's 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade have been established on the #Vasinovka - #Omelnik - #Yegorovka line.
▪️ The transfer of several units from the direction of #Kherson continues. Now at least two battalions of the AFU are moving into the combat zone.
▪️ In the past 24 hours, a convoy of 80 units with personnel (about 1,500), 14 Kozak MBMs, six D-20 152-mm howitzers, five M777 155-mm howitzers, two 120-mm mortars and 11 MT-12 Rapira anti-tank guns passed through #Dnipropetrovsk from Krivoy Rog area.
#Gulyaypole Sector:
▪️ Several sabotage groups with a strength of 35 to 40 men have been formed near #Komsomolskoye, #Gulyaypole and #Malinovka to infiltrate the rear of the Russian forces.
▪️ Due to the arrival of forces from the #Kherson direction, two rifle companies of the AFU's 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade will be moved to the #Donetsk direction in early December.
t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41206 /#smo/
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Ukrainian Energy Grid Infrastructure Update
❗️Military expert names consequences of strikes on critical infrastructure for Ukraine:
As a result of Russian strikes on Ukraine's infrastructure, 30-40% of energy facilities have been put out of operation. Military expert Andrei Koshkin, head of the Political Science and Sociology Department at Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, told the Idi i Smotri TG channel.
According to him, the disabled facilities largely determine the entire energy infrastructure.
The expert also noted that the strikes continue and are already striking at more significant points, which determine the redistribution of energy, which provides support to the AFU with everything it needs.
"The continuation of these kinds of strikes will result in the desired success and to a decrease [in the sustainability of the Ukrainian energy grid] as much as it will take to change the overall picture on the line of contact," Koshkin concluded.
— Idi i Smotri TG Channel
PS. I can only add to this that the kinds of strikes required to disable the Ukrainian energy grid (https://t.me/SLGmaps/70) are by an order of magnitude greater than anything the US, for example, would have had to do in Iraq or Serbia.
Soviet planning incorporated a plethora of redundancies, and, in general, Ukraine is significantly oversupplied with electricity generation—think of all the hydroelectric plants along the Dnepr river, from Kiev down to Novaya Kakhovka, think of all the NPPs, think of all the thermal power plants spread across the country, and, yes, even the smattering of silly windmills and solar panels installed at the urging of the West also counts.
At the beginning of 2022, Ukraine had 15 operable nuclear reactors at four nuclear power plants across the country. Even taking the Zaporozhye NPP out of the equation for the moment, the reserve electricity generation capacity is tremendous. This is the reason Ukraine has been a net energy exporter, and an important one at that. When strikes were conducted against Ukrainian targets on November 14-15, 2022, power went out in Moldova.
Add to this largesse of electricity generation the multiple redundancies built into the electrical grid by Soviet engineers. The task is daunting. It has been easy for Ukraine to reroute electricity flows to keep its manufacturing and war machine going (no one on Bankovaya St. cares about the individual consumers).
The fact that 30-40% of the Ukrainian electricity grid has already been impacted is a testament to the effectiveness of the rather sparing Russian missile strikes campaign. The potential wholesale collapse of the grid in Ukraine would have been hard to imagine at the beginning of this conflict. And yet, here we are.
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So to me the Polish attack was a false flag that newkraine nUkraine blamed on Russia game, showing further desparation.
A true event narrative spun as false flag.
Maybe they nUkraine should surrender Zelenskies and sue for peace, but Zelenskies will not admit his misdeeds, he will continue to the last false flag.
He is one ugly man.
I disagree w Duran, I think the nUkraine launched those missiles, we all do, but the way it was initially blamed on Russia. The thing was called a provocation in Russian press, even sloppyJoe ©™® BidenHo had to say they are not Ruskies to calm it down to sub nuclear...
I agree tis a provocation, and hard to believe was not the intention, although possible accidental misfired fart .
Poland was so happy to have its folks killed when Russia did it, fancy that.
The Arrogant hypocrisy is stunning...