Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-11-20
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
⚡️ (https://t.me/rybar/41332)🇷🇺🇺🇦💥 #Chronicle of Strikes and Mutual Fires in the SMO Area overnight from 19 to 20 Nov 2022⚡️
▪️ In #Kharkov Region, the Russian Armed Forces hit targets in the border village of Staritsa.
▪️ In #Starobelsk direction, Russian missile forces and artillery engaged enemy accumulations of manpower in #Krakhmalnoye, #Tabaevka, #Stelmakhovka and #Makeyevka vicinity.
Ukrainian formations responded by shelling the vicinity of #Ploshchanka and #Nevskoye.
▪️ In the #Bakhmut (#Artemovsk) direction, the Russian Armed Forces hit the AFU in #Bakhmut, #Bakhmutskoye, #Soledar, #Opytnoye, #Kleshcheyevka, #Kurdyumovka and #Ozeryanovka.
▪️ In the #Donetsk direction, Russian artillery hit enemy positions in Maryinka, #Krasnogorovka and #Pervomayskoye.
The enemy, in turn, shelled #Donetsk, #Ilovaysk, #Yakovlevka and #Kashtanovoye again.
▪️ In the Southdonetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces engaged targets in #Ugledar, #Vremievka and #Novomikhailovka.
▪️ In Z#aporozhye region, Russian troops hit targets in #Chervon, #Gulyaypole, #Zalichnychnoye, #Orekhov, #Stepnogorsk and Malaya Tokmachka.
The AFU shelled #Mironovka in #Melitopol district.
▪️ In Dnerpropetrovsk region, the Russian Armed Forces carried out strikes on Ukrainian army positions in #Nikopol and #Vyshetarasovka.
▪️ In the southern sector of the front, Russian troops targeted enemy manpower and equipment in #Kherson, #Chernobaevka, #Antonovka and #Каchkarovka.
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[Forwarded from 🇬🇧 SITREP - Rybar and Others in English 🇬🇧]
⚡️ (https://t.me/rybar/41336)🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 On Protests Against Power Outages in #Odessa⚡️
News broke yesterday of the detention (https://t.me/guraanton/12999) in #Odessa of the organiser of recent protests (https://t.me/sitreports/977) over power cuts in the city, caused by disruptions due to Russian military strikes on the Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
▪️ The demonstrations began after information was circulated in Odessa chat rooms that cinemas in #Lvov were running amid severe electricity problems in the #Odessa region.
▪️ On 18 November, residents of houses in #Tairova Settlement blocked the street because of a four-day power outage. According to them, the reason was the inaction of the authorities to repair transformers.
▪️ On the morning of 19 November, residents of the Raduzhnyy housing estate on Marshala Zhukova Avenue (Nebesnaya Sotnya) also blocked the road at a pedestrian crossing. People began self-coordinating via house chats.
▪️ However, police dispersed both actions. The SBU arrested one of the organisers, who apologised on camera and refused to engage in further protests. In addition, the authorities promised Odessans to fix breakdowns in the energy system and created a bot to appeal to residents sitting without electricity for more than three days.
▪️ Similar actions began in #Chernigov, where residents were without power for 20 hours. But local officials told people about a quick solution to the problem and persuaded them to go home.
🩸 Now the protests in #Odessa are likely to die down. In other Ukrainian cities, too, we should not expect a surge of demonstrations: the administrative and power resources of the Kiev authorities simply will not allow them to reach even the regional level.
Nevertheless, what has happened is evidence of public dissatisfaction with the problems in the Ukrainian energy system. Yes, there will be no mass acts of defiance, but the permanent problems with electricity will affect the morale of the Ukrainian population.
And that, in turn, will directly affect the AFU's decreased morale on the front lines and reduce the enemy's offensive capabilities.
Therefore, the systematic firefighting of Ukraine's energy infrastructure must continue.
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[Forwarded from 🇬🇧 SITREP - Rybar and Others in English 🇬🇧]
⚡️ (https://t.me/rybar/41340)🇷🇺🇺🇦🏴☠️ How Ukrainian media justify the Execution of Russian Fighters in #Makeyevka⚡️
After footage of the killing of Russian prisoners of war in #Makeyevka, LPR appeared on the web, see 👉 here (https://t.me/sitreports/950), Kiev launched a media campaign to justify the crimes of the AFU. For this purpose, a certain Thomas Tyner, calling himself an ex-serviceman of the Italian army, an expert on artillery and NATO, was brought in.
In a commentary to the Ukrainian media, he said that the AFU had actually been forced to shoot Russian Armed Forces fighters because one of them refused to surrender and showed up with a weapon. Members of the Ukrainian formations then allegedly automatically opened fire on the remaining unarmed prisoners lying on the ground, suspecting them of resistance.
🔻 There is just one small detail: the video from the murder scene clearly shows that the blood and bullet hits on all the bodies are in the head area. This means that each one was killed in turn by a targeted shot in a calm environment, which completely rules out the version of a spontaneous shooting.
The "expert" called by the Ukrainian media did not explain this uncomfortable fact. That is not surprising, because the incident is clearly beyond his competence: although Tyner positions himself as a military specialist, in early publications of Western publications he is for some reason listed (https://www.newsweek.com/russias-ukrainian-retreat-340214) only as a film producer, blogger or screenwriter.
While the Kiev media, albeit extremely ineptly, attempted to justify the extrajudicial execution, the Ukrainian armed forces reacted more simply: they recalled an unspoken internal order not to be caught red-handed killing prisoners. Which, incidentally, appeared back in the spring.
In these circumstances, it is somewhat reckless to expect Ukrainian formations to hint at humane treatment of prisoners who have surrendered.
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[Forwarded from SLG Analytica]
THE FIRST COUNTRY TO RUN OUT OF PEOPLE: What lies ahead for Ukraine
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DATED: November 20th
— by Luis (@Slavyangrad) (Original)
Our recent text (https://telegra.ph/ASSESSMENT-OF-UKRAINES-POPULATION-AND-DEMOGRAPHIC-OUTLOOK-11-17) about Ukrainian demographics attempts very honestly to solve one of the greatest mysteries of humanity: how many people actually live in Ukraine. Since independence, more than 30 years ago, Ukraine has conducted a census only once, while the normal for countries is having one every 10 years. It does not have a clue of how many people it has, and perhaps intentionally.
As addressed by the text, the first roadblock to this is Ukraine’s insistence in counting, for propaganda reasons, citizens of Donetsk and Lugansk they do not govern for more than eight years. But there is one issue the text does not address: since the Maidan condemned an already struggling country to economic malaise, a huge number of Ukrainian guest workers left the country towards Europe and Russia. On paper, temporarily, but in practice, they cannot be counted on to return. It is hard to precise how many millions of people are in such situation but going from their attitude regarding Donetsk and Lugansk citizens, we simply cannot expect Ukraine to be honest with this data: most likely they are counting every single of those workers as still residing in Ukraine. Being transparent about how much population they are bleeding would be admitting their economic and nationalist project is failing.
Therefore, the estimation given, of 28-29 million inhabitants is probably over optimistic. Ukraine has way less inhabitants than that, but it would be futile to spend time guessing the actual number. The fact is, even going by those figures, this would bring Ukraine’s demographic density, already subtracting the territory they lost, from 72 people per square kilometer to 58. This is not especially empty: just below the world average and about the same as Cameroon, but the lowest mark since something resembling the current Ukraine was established, just before the World War 2. A country with a decreasing population is normal. A country having less people than they ever had simply never happened.
In the modern era, people are not seen as much more than mouths to feed. Many countries not just survive, but also seem to profit from a decreasing population, as automation drastically reduced the needs for workforce. Such as Japan, where collpase is constantly predicted , but is of the few places in the world where housing costs are becoming more affordable and living standards don’t suffer despite the economy virtually not growing anymore. Eastern European countries, with the most extreme cases being the Baltics, took good advantage of dumping up to 30% of their citizens into rich countries. It is true countries do not need growing populations to prosper. However, nothing that has happened to those places is in the same scale of what Ukraine went and will go through. To cope with the downsizing economy and population, Ukraine will have to be rebuilt. And if there is one thing we know about the government of Ukraine, is that they can’t build anything.
Transports, logistic, energy infrastructure are built to function with the population density they have. Downscaling it means they no longer have the users, workforce and tax paying base to maintain those in place. The great flight from Ukraine is not evenly spread across the country: large cities like Kiev might even gain population after large swathes of the countryside become economically unviable. This means that whatever is left of Ukraine's state, will not necessarily be at the place where it is needed
(continues in Part 2)
[Forwarded from SLG Analytica]
(2/2) (continued from previous post)
Some of the most relevant cities of the country after Kiev, such as Kharkov and Odessa, were particularly affected and might never recover their economic role within Ukraine. A network of cables, roads and production chains carefully planned by the Soviets to link those places and fill up the spaces in between will no longer make sense nor have enough people to maintain it.
This scenario, the economy concentrates around one large city, where it becomes extremely expensive to live, while the rest of the country provides absolutely no opportunities is a nightmare for a country striving to be fair and efficient. And yes, by the way, if you are Russian, this is sounding quite familiar to you. Unlike Russia, Ukraine had a national economy more or less distributed around the country, with healthy regional centres full of potential in pretty much every economic activity imaginable. Ukraine could have avoided a lot of the problems that plague modern Russia but instead of that, potentialized every single of them.
Replenishing its population is not an option. Ukraine has absolutely no ability to attract immigrants with their absurdly low salaries, and even if the war never happened, was already a country with decrepit infrastructure in need of rebuilding but not having the means of it. The diaspora will never return: it surprises me how so many ardent ukro patriots would do anything to never return to their loved country. Even so, this never worked. No country managed engineer their repopulation. That is why conspiracy theories of “great replacement” in rich countries with low fertility are bullshit: people flows are not that easily controllable, and any country that managed to mitigate (but not reverse) this issue did so by creating an environment where families can afford to have more children. Something also beyond Ukraine's means.
Rebuilding a country needs vision, ideology, principles. Something that 90% or more of today’s “statesmen” don’t have. Counterintuitively, a country “downsizing” might need more rebuilding and rethinking than a country growing, and Ukraine will be the first time in human history we will see such process happening. It would be exciting and interesting, if the task was not on the hands of morons who not just play recklessly with fascism but communicate and behave like children. I can foresee that large parts of the country will be just left to rot.
Mainly because the war did not create those issues: merely sped it up. Their “insistence” in role playing an Ukraine that does not exist anymore, with outdated maps, slogans, exiled local governments, a “Shakhtar Donetsk” that will never play in Donetsk again, etc, exemplify that their authorities already know about it. The proposal of a “virtual government (https://t.me/SLGAnalytica/276)” not connected to land shows what kind of solution they are willing to offer: more symbolism and bravado to divert the focus from real issues.
Mind you, finally, that Russia should not get overly cocky about it. The same situation will happen in the areas that joined Russia. A very ambitious plan will have to be created. Many villages, and even cities, no longer exist, and makes no sense to rebuild them when people simply will not return. It is a daunting task, but also an opportunity, and something I will address in a future text.
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Russian Federation special operation, 20 November. Main:
▪️ The Russian military has destroyed four US-made M777 Ukrainian artillery systems that were shelled in the Belgorod region;
▪️The Russian Defence Ministry reported Ukrainian shelling of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant on 19 and 20 November - Ukrainian troops fired over 20 large-caliber artillery shells at the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant as well as at the power line powering the plant;
▪️The radiation situation in the Zaporizhzhya NPP area remains normal; the consequences of damage caused by shelling will be clarified after experts from the IAEA and Rosatom survey the plant's territory;
▪️The IAEA director called for an "immediate cessation" of shelling at the Zaporizhzhya NPP;
▪️Russian aviation destroyed an engine assembly shop for Ukrainian air force aircraft at Motor-Sich in Zaporizhzhya;
▪️The Russian Federation's MOD reported that the Russian military destroyed some 50 Ukrainian military personnel in the LNR and Kharkiv region;
▪️ Kiev lost up to 50 servicemen trying to counterattack Russian positions in the southern Donetsk region;
▪️Ukrainian authorities said they would study a video of the killing of Russian POWs in the village of Makeyevka;
▪️The Russian Duma said, after the head of the Ukrainian presidential office statement, that if Ukrainian troops attempted to launch an offensive in Crimea, they would receive a "final crushing blow".
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[Forwarded from 🇬🇧 SITREP - Rybar and Others in English 🇬🇧]
⚡️ (http://t.me/sitrepmaps/5)⚔️🇷🇺🗓 MoD Top News from Yesterday - Summary⚡️
❗️ The Kiev regime continues its provocations (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5065) aimed at creating a possible technological disaster at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant.
💥 In Kupyansk direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) did not conduct (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5064) any intensive action.
💥 In Krasny Liman direction, pre-emptive artillery attack launched at AFU convoys has resulted in the frustration of the attempts (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5064) made by 3 enemy company tactical groups to launch attacks towards Makeyevka, Chervonopopovka and Kremennaya (LPR).
💥 In South Donetsk direction, firepower operation and decisive action of assault groups have resulted in the frustration of the attempts (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5064) made by the AFU to counterattack Russian forces' positions towards Slavnoye, Pavlovla, Rovnopol, and Vremevka.
📹 Russian Defence Ministry shows footage of engineering units and Pantsir-S1 air defence system crews in action in the special military operation.
🪖 Mobilised personnel and volunteers continue their training course in ...
🗓 Today is the 77th anniversary (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/5068) of the Nuremberg trials' beginning.
#MoD #TopNews #Russia #Ukraine
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[Forwarded from 🇬🇧 SITREP - Rybar and Others in English 🇬🇧]
⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/310)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 19-20 Nov 2022⚡️
#Belgorod Region:
▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled the settlements of #Shebekino, #Karabanovo, #Razumnoye and Nizhniy Olshanets in the #Belgorod region. At least 3 civilians were wounded and civilian infrastructure was damaged.
#Starobelsk Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/300)):
▪️ In the #Kupyansk - #Svatovso section, the enemy made another unsuccessful attempt to storm Russian positions towards #Kislovka.
▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, Russian SRGs conducted a reconnaissance battle near the #Medvezhye tract. In the battle, the Russian forces destroyed one armoured vehicle and wounded at least five Ukrainian fighters.
▪️ The AFU took up a positional defence after several unsuccessful attempts to advance in the direction of #Chervonopopovka.
#Soledar Direction (MAP (http://t.me/sitrepmaps/303)):
▪️ In the #Bakhmut (#Artemovsk) area, units of the Wagner PMC blocked one unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade. After regrouping, the enemy attempted to regain the lost positions but failed and suffered significant losses.
The AFU command is redeploying additional forces due to the difficult situation in the area.
▪️ In the #Soledar area, fighting in the vicinity of the #Bakhmut - #Soledar highway is going on with varying success.
#Lugansk People's Republic:
▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled #Lysychansk, Nizhnyaya Duvanka and #Kremennaya with HIMARS MLRS. At least three civilians were killed and five others wounded.
#Donetsk Direction:
▪️ Ukrainian militants have again hit #Gorlovka, #Ilovaysk, #Makeyevka, #Yasynuvata and Krasny Partizan. An aluminium profile factory in #Donetsk came under fire.
#Zaporozhye Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/301)):
▪️ Russian forces conducted several missile strikes on the Motor Sich plant in #Zaporozhye, where various components for the Ukrainian defence industry are produced.
▪️ Ukrainian militants, in turn, shelled the #Zaporozhye nuclear power plant again. Enemy shells landed in the area of the dry storage facility for spent nuclear fuel.
▪️ Ukrainian forces continue to accumulate reserves in the area, with personnel and equipment arriving at #Volnyansk, #Preobrazhenka and #Zaporozhye.
#Kherson Direction on Southern Front (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/302)):
▪️ Russian forces destroyed an AFU fuel depot near the shipyard on Quarantine Island (Karantinny Ostrov) in #Kherson.
▪️ The enemy continues to entrench on the right bank of the #Dnipro River. Ukrainian Territorial Defence units were moved to #Belozerkha and #Novokaira.
▪️ The 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade of the AFU has crossed the #Ingulets at Daryevsky Bridge and occupied the and occupied the #Nikolskoye - #Novotyaginka line.
▪️ Ukrainian authorities announced the evacuation of #Kherson.
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[ Photo ]
Videos Suggest Captive Russian Soldiers Were Killed at Close Range
“ It looks like most of them were shot in the head,” Dr. Rohini Haar, medical adviser at Physicians for Human Rights, said in an interview. “ There are pools of blood. That indicates that they were just left there dead. There appears to have been no effort to pick them up or help them.”
Dr. Haar noted that when they surrendered, the Russian soldiers had been lying down, apparently unarmed, with their arms outstretched or behind their heads. “They’re considered hors de combat, or noncombatants — effectively prisoners of war,” Dr. Haar said.
the international treaty that established the International Criminal Court says, “Killing or wounding a combatant, who, having laid down his arms or having no longer means of defense, has surrendered at discretion” is a violation of the laws of international armed conflict.
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