Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-11-28
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
🇱🇺🇺🇦 About Polish losses in Ukraine and unreliable media - in reply
The esteemed Boris Rozhin @boris_rozhin spoke about how the Polish media have started to neatly bring up Poland's losses in Ukraine.
Colonel Cassad published excerpts from an article by Jakub Mozhniak for Niezależny Dziennik Polityczny. In it the author points out that "in 10 months of fighting more than 1,200 Polish citizens, including soldiers and veterans of the 16th Division, were killed".
In fact, there are several aspects that prove that things are far from as simple as they seem.
🔻 It was not the Polish media, but a pro-Russian media outlet (Niezależny Dziennik Polityczny) in Polish that started talking about Polish losses in the SSO in Ukraine. The same publication published a recently circulated article about Poland's plans to reclaim Ukrainian lands.
The essence of this op-ed was expounded by our friend from Krakow, Warsaw mermaid @pl_syrenka. She told in detail (in two parts: first and second) that Niezależny Dziennik Polityczny is quite a dubious source of information, if only because it has been noticed for publishing fakes.
However, despite the unreliability of the source, one cannot deny that the Polish panhandlers had plans and there are still Polish "ichthamnets" in Ukraine.
🔻 In Poland they do not like to raise the subject of Polish mercenaries and instructors. For a quite simple reason: mercenarism is illegal.
Polish law clearly classifies service in foreign military formations without the consent of the relevant authorities as a crime (Article 141 of the Criminal Code), punishable by up to five years.
Polish authorities have publicly denied any involvement of their soldiers since 2014. The rhetoric has not changed since then: "the topic of Polish mercenaries is an integral part of disinformation activities accompanying the escalation of tensions on the Russian-Ukrainian border".
🖇 To admit that instructors with characteristic accent are massively present in Ukraine means talking about it at the highest - state level, and this is already considered as direct participation in military actions on the territory of another country. That is why some of the Polish soldiers in Ukraine are at home, for example, on holiday, and where they spend it is a private matter.
#Poland #Ukraine
@rybar
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Lots of Theory, Little Practicality Hamper Ukrainian Territorial Strategy
(Part 1)
An article in the British 'The Economist’ (which reports on plans for Ukraine to seize Crimea in 2023) caused an uproar. We highly recommend reading it in the original, at least using an online translator, because it is a wonderful example of the dumbest propaganda. The material was obviously ordered and paid for by Bankova, because it is difficult to explain this set of clichés and fantasies otherwise.
On the other hand, the publication of this text in a relatively respected media proves once again that everything is bought and sold.
There's a lot of great stuff in there. It includes Putin's hopes to take over Ukraine (all of it, apparently) in 10 days (for some reason 10 days already, while usually Ukrainian trolls on the net use a fictional statement about 2 days), an effective triumphant counteroffensive, including in Kherson, and a reference to Zelensky's statements of "returning all lands" in the context of some future "humiliating defeats for Russia.” The thesis about nuclear weapons, which Moscow could allegedly use, was also mentioned.
The thesis about the seizure of Crimea in 2023 belongs to Lieutenant General Mikhail Zabrodsky, who modestly added that it is too early to say when it might begin, because there are many battles ahead. That's the point of statements by such talking heads: you can announce any fantastic outcome, if you properly cover it with remarks about probabilities and the necessary concurrence of circumstances. As in the anecdote: “...well, I couldn't make it, it just wasn’t possible." At the same time Zabrodsky is quite a serious leader: in 2015-2019 he was commander of airborne troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, headed the ATO, and now is the deputy head of the defense committee of the Verkhovna Rada. We liked the thesis that history shows how difficult it is for the occupation forces to hold Crimea. We agree with that, because that is why Crimea returned to Russia.
The publication goes on to cite sources in the Ukrainian army who say that no options are ruled out, but that Ukraine is likely to focus its efforts on a land corridor to Crimea. There is nothing new here at all, even schoolchildren can produce such analysis nowadays. But all this is seasoned with tales that HIMARS are already hitting almost all of Crimea, and that Dzhankoy was attacked by Ukrainian special forces the other day.
(continued in Part 2 (https://t.me/Slavyangrad/22713))
Source link
(https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/11/27/a-ukrainian-attempt-to-retake-crimea-would-be-bloody-and-difficult)@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Picchu)
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Lots of Theory, Little Practicality Hamper Ukrainian Territorial Strategy
(Part 2 of 2)
The author of the article clearly tried to reduce the degree of inadequacy, citing historical examples of huge losses during attempts to capture Crimea, referring to topographical difficulties and statements of military experts; but, Zabrodsky's imagination has run wild, and he already composes "interesting" possibilities of combined arms maneuvers using ground troops, sea landing troops and air attacks. He promises to surprise people many times over.
Well, after that there is nothing interesting, because in the obviously ordered material they tried to add at least a little bit of reality. So there were cautious theses that a Ukrainian victory in Crimea was unlikely to be "possible in the near future," with a reference to a statement by General Mark Milley, chairman of the US Army Chiefs of Staff, as well as private admissions by certain political leaders in Kiev that it would be harder to get Donbass and Crimea back than to make public slogans.
The finale was a fairy tale. The Economist told a Ukrainian analyst that Zelensky had backed himself into a corner with his statements about the Crimea, because any attempt to return the Crimea would cause a rift with the allies that Kiev cannot afford to lose. And mention is made of the statistic that more than 84% of Ukrainians are against territorial concessions to Russia. The choice is simple: either lose the trust of the population (if there is any trust left) or lose allies.
P.S. It looks like the whole article was simply paid for by Zabrodsky. Our acquaintances from big name PR firm paid moderate amounts for placement there, and also mention that this channel was used before the SMO.
Source link
(https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/11/27/a-ukrainian-attempt-to-retake-crimea-would-be-bloody-and-difficult)(return to Part 1 (https://t.me/Slavyangrad/22712))
@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Picchu)
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[ Album ]
Ugledar to Svatovo SitRep
—based on the review of open sources
As of today, the Russian Army is reported to be conducting counteroffensive operations along the Svatovo-Kremennaya line of the front.
This came as a surprise to the Ukrainian forces, which were forced out of Novoselovskoye. The Russian forces are also conducting attacks in the direction of Makeevka, Torskoye, Yampolovka, and a number of other settlements that were lost after the Russian withdrawal from Krasny Liman.
Near Bakhmut, LPR forces and Wagner PMC units have re-entered Opytnoye and are conducting artillery preparation in the area south of Artyomovsk, intending to move toward encircling the city. Ukrainian forces suffered losses of 500 just in WIA over the past two days here.
Near Ugledar, Ukrainian counterattacks near Pavlovka, Shevchenko, and Novomikhailovka were repelled, with the Ukrainian forces suffering significant losses.
In Maryinka, the Russian army is fighting well in the centre of the settlement, and the Russian soldiers are assisting in the evacuation of the civilian population. The Russian army is conducting artillery strikes at the rear of the Maryinka grouping, as far west as Kurakhovo, attacking the Ukrainian reinforcements and preventing their advance.
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Military expert Boris Rozhin SitRep of the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine at 22.07 MSK, on 11.28.2022:
1. Avdeevka Sector: The storming of Vodyanoye, Pervomayskoye, and the fortified area near Nevelskoye continues. The rate of advancement is low.
2. Maryinka Sector: Fighting in the city center. Control of the administrative quarter is crucial to the liberation of Maryinka. The enemy is gradually being squeezed out of there.
3. Ugledar Sector: There have been no significant changes in the area of Pavlovka-Nikolsky and Novomikhailovka.
4. Artyomovsk (Bakhmut) Theatre: To the south of the city the Russian Army has significantly displaced the Ukrainian forces, occupying Ozarianovka, Zelenopolye, Kurdyumovka, and Andreevka. There has also been progress in Opytnoye. Fighting has begun near Klescheyevka.
In general, everything is pointing to a bypass maneuver to the south of Artyomovsk, which could create serious operational difficulties for the Ukrainian army, if the offensive moves towards Chasov Yar, cutting of the critical supply road from Konstantinovka.
The Ukrainian forces have been suffering heavy losses in these battles.
5. Soledar-Seversk Sector: There have been no significant changes in the area of Soledar; street fighting is ongoing. Street fighting also continues in Belogorovka on the Soledar-Lisichansk highway. The Russian Army has again entered Spornoe, and fighting for control over the village is ongoing.
6. Svatovo-Kremennaya Line: There were no significant changes on the front line. Ukrainian attacks in the area of Kuzemovka and in the direction of the Svatovo-Kremennaya highway were repulsed. The Ukrainian army is now accumulating forces in the Kharkov region for a possible resumption of its offensive on Svatovo and further to Starobelsk.
Source: @Boris_Rozhin / https://t.me/boris_rozhin/71516
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[ Video ]
Overview of the of Strikes and Return Fire in the SMO zone overnight from November 27-28, 2022
▪️Russian artillerymen hit targets in Yanzhulovka, Nikolayevka and Galaganovka in the Chernigov region, as well as Volna Sloboda in the Sumy region.
▪️ In the Kharkov region, the Russian Army targeted concentrations of the Ukrainian troops in the border town of Volchansk, Budarki, Chugunovka, Ambarnoye, Bologovka, Strelechye and Staritsa.
▪️In the Starobelsk sector, the Russian forces inflicted fire on the enemy in Kupyansk, Kurilovka, Tabayevka, Makeevka, Nevskoye, and Torskoye.
▪️In the Bakhmut (Artyomovsk) theatre, the Russian Armed Forces hit the positions of the Ukrainian army in Bakhmut, Yakovlevka, Bakhmutskoye, Kleshcheyevka, and Kurdyumovka.
▪️In the Donetsk theatre, Russian missile forces and artillery struck Ukrainian armed forces' facilities in Avdeevka, the western part of Maryinka, Krasnogorovka and Kurakhovo.
The enemy once again shelled Gorlovka and the Golmovsky settlement.
▪️South of the Donetsk theatre of the conflict, the Russian Armed Forces fired on enemy manpower concentrations in Ugledar, Novomikhailovka, Novoukrainka, Zolotaya Niva, and Neskuchnoye.
▪️ In the Zaporozhye region, the Russian forces struck Razumovka, south of Zaporozhye. Additionally, the Russian Armed Forces hit targets in Nikopol on the northern bank of the Dnieper River.
Ukrainian formations, for their part, shelled Energodar again.
▪️On the southern section of the front, Russian missile forces and artillery hit Kherson, while the enemy shelled Radensk.
Source: @Rybar / https://t.me/rybar/41543
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[ Video ]
Overview of the Russian Army's Special Military Operation in the Ukraine: The Events of November 28, 2022
▪️After a lengthy period of being on the defensive, the Russian Army has gone on the offensive in the Lisichansk theatre of the conflict. As a result of a decisive assault, the units of the LPR People's Militia broke through the Ukrainian army's defences and have entered Spornoye.
▪️Near Bakhmut, consolidated units of the Ukrainian armed forces once again attempted counteroffensive operations near Opytnoye. Wagner PMC fighters repulsed the attack, forcing the enemy to retreat with losses.
Wagners PMC troops and units of the Donetsk People's Republic's Defence Ministry pushed through the Ukrainian defences and approached Kurdyumovka directly. In the course of fierce fighting, the settlements of Ozaryanovka, Zelenopolye, and Andreevka were liberated.
▪️ In an attempt to halt the offensive of the Russian forces, the Ukrainian armed forces launched a series of counterattacks on populated areas near the Soledar-Lisichansk highway. The Russian Armed Forces repulsed enemy offensive operations near Yakovlevka and Berestovoye.
▪️In the Kupyansk sector, the Ukrainian army, using two company tactical groups, again attempted to attack Kuzemovka. The enemy suffered losses, dealt by the concentrated artillery fire of the Russian Army, and retreated to their initial positions.
▪️ In Maryinka, the Russian motorized rifle units, with active support from tactical aircraft wings, continued their assault on the town. Heavy fighting is taking place near the city administration building and along the Druzhba Avenue.
▪️Russian forces hit the Moiseyevka station in the Dnepropetrovsk region. Units of the 17th Armoured Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were hit as they were loading onto rail transport.
Source: @Rybar / https://t.me/rybar/41563
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Overview of the Russian Army's Special Military Operation in the Ukraine (https://t.me/SLGmaps/80), as of November 28, 2022.
🔻The Kharkov Region:
▪️The enemy is pulling military personnel and equipment resources to the Volchansk and Kharkov districts that border on the Belgorod Oblast. In the cities of these border regions, the Ukrainian authorities are carrying out mobilisation activities.
🔻The Starobelsk Sector:
▪️There have been no significant changes at the front line. In the Kupyansk sector, the Ukrainian army made another attempt to advance towards Kuzemovka, but came under artillery fire and retreated to its original positions.
▪️In the Liman sector, the Ukrainian armed forces again attempted to advance toward Ploshchanka, but the attack was repulsed by the Russian troops.
🔻The Soldar Sector (map (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2022/11/28/20221128113339-ced91f43.jpg)):
▪️Fierce fighting continues in the suburbs of Bakhmut (Artyomovsk). The enemy has been suffering heavy personnel losses.
▪️South of Bakhmut, Russian forces have liberated Ozeryanovka, Zelenopolye and Andreevka. Developing the offensive, the Russian Armed Forces came into direct proximity with Kurdyumovka and Klescheyevka.
▪️53 Separate Mechanized Brigade and the 71st Separate Ranger Brigade of the Ukrainian army attempted to counterattack near Opytnoye, briefly occupying the Novaya Pochta building in the settlement, but Wagner PMC fighters managed to repulse the attack.
▪️The Ukrainian army command is planning another counterattack attempt, involving forces redeployed from the Kherson direction.
🔻The Lugansk People's Republic:
▪️The Ukrainian army once again shelled Svatovo, damaging several civilian buildings in the city.
🔻The Donetsk Theatre:
▪️Ukrainian armed units continued shelling the Donetsk agglomeration, striking Gorlovka, Zaitsevo, Yakovlevka, and Donetsk, with civilians killed.
🔻The Dnepropetrovsk Region:
▪️The Russian Armed Forces launched missile strikes on Ukrainian army facilities in Dnepropetrovsk in the late evening, with several explosions heard in the city.
Enemy positions near Nikopol, Marganets, Chernogrigorovka, as well as Sinelnikovo, where a major railway junction is located, were hit.
🔻 They Southern Front: the Kherson Theatre
▪️Russian missile forces and artillery have engaged targets in Kherson, Dudchany, Kazatsky and Tokarevka.
Source: @Rybar / https://t.me/rybar/41560
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This US-NATO-UK Ukrainian Proxy War to weaken Russia, break it up and pillage its considerable resources is lost.
They know it and Washington - London Masters of This Universe are at a loss as to what to do next.
Beyond largely fake mainstream media messaging and entertainment distractions.
As they now face into another Afghanistan-like military disaster that also took them nowhere in particular.
__________
The Russian Armed Forces Winter Offensive draws near.
The Russian General Staff do not publish their war plans, yet one can reasonably surmise that the strategy is to finish off The Ukrainian Armed Forces, which will amount to several hundred thousand killed, injured and otherwise permanently removed from any future battlescape.
__________
Here, holding territory counts for little, as it did in WWI and II.
Here, the objective is to kill the Ukrainian Armed Forces until there is nothing left of them.
The best US-NATO-UK trained and largest armed forces in Europe.
Defeated by the best armed forces in Eurasia - The Russian Armed Forces, with weapon systems, munitions and service personnel which they ran out of months ago and months before that.
The most effective, the most dangerous and now with a War Machine tested end to end.
Unlike the US-NATO-UK War Machine, such as it is, mostly exercised via proxies.
In this conflict with The West, God Favours Russia - https://les7eb.substack.com/