Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-10-16
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Ukrainian air defense - past and present
The air defense of Ukraine at the time of the start of the special operation was largely represented by obsolete Soviet systems. Their number was small: 250 S-300P units of various modifications and 72 Buk-M1 units.
Despite not having new equipment, with competent air defense actions of Ukraine, it could pose a big problem for the Russian Aerospace Forces, inflicting heavy losses on our aviation. In turn, Russia could completely open the sky for itself, having achieved the total elimination of Ukrainian air defense. In reality, neither side has achieved its goals.
What losses did Ukraine suffer during the 8 months of the conflict? It is reliably known that at least 200 S-300P and 30-40 Buk-M1 units were disabled. This is a lot, but not enough.
S-300P, as the country's air defense, performs the task of protecting large cities from air attacks. Calibers, X-101, X-55, and Gerani are the main targets for the air defense system. Therefore, the Armed Forces of Ukraine create air defense bases around such cities as Kiev, Dnipro, Lvov, Kharkov, Nikolaev, and Odessa. The complexes are located in areas on the proposed flight routes of cruise missiles. The fight against them is complicated by the complete radio silence of the installations, as well as the periodic change in their location.
Buk-M1, as the air defense of the ground forces, is a cover for the ground forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Their main task is to create an “air defense umbrella” over the advancing columns so they cannot be defeated by Russian aircraft. Together with the widest range of other army air defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Buks can protect ground forces very well. But in moments of calm at the front, they most likely help the S-300P in the defense of cities. Riding alone in complete radio silence, they are a hard-to-reach target for the Russian Aerospace Forces and can hit air targets at any moment.
Readovka has prepared a map with the possible location of Ukrainian air defense systems.
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[Forwarded from 🇬🇧 SITREP - Rybar and Others in English 🇬🇧]
⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress in the special military operation (October 16, 2022)⚡️
Part 1 (read Part 2 (http://t.me/sitreports/139))
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continued launching attacks with high-precision long-range air-based armament at the military control and energy system facilities of Ukraine.
◽️ The goals of the attacks have been reached. All the assigned targets have been neutralised.
💥 Pre-emptive fire attack launched by Russian artillery has resulted in the frustration of an attempt made by 92nd Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) to launch an offensive towards Berestovoye (Khaekov region) at Kupyansk direction.
◽️ Up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, 5 armoured combat vehicles and 3 pickups with large-calibre machine guns have been eliminated.
◽️ 3 U.S.-manufactured M777 howitzers have been destroyed near Zagryzovo (Kharkov region).
◽️ Moreover, 1 ferry installed by the AFU over Oskol river for redeployment of reserve forces, delivering ordnance and supplies has been destroyed near Dvurechnaya (Kharkov region).
💥 Attacks launched by missile troops and artillery have resulted in the prevention of enemy's attempts to cross Zherebets river near Stelmakhovka, Makeyevka (Lugansk People's Republic) and Yampolovka (Donetsk People's Republic) at Krasny Liman direction.
💥 Concentrated attacks launched by Russian artillery have resulted in the neutralisation of an AFU assault detachment that was redeploying towards Kirovsk (Donetsk People's Republic) near Torskoye forestry.
◽️ Over 20 Ukrainian personnel and 4 armoured motor vehicles have been eliminated.
💥 Russian troops deployed near Vremevka (Donetsk People's Republic) at Zaporozhye direction continued eliminating the enemy forces at their frontline and seized the heights near Neskuchnoye (Donetsk People's Republic).
◽️ Over 40 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank and 3 infantry combat vehicles have been eliminated.
◽️ Up to 3 enemy battalions, including 1 armoured, made several attempts to break the defence of Russian troops near Koshara and Pyatikhatki (Kherson region) at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
💥 Russian units have maintained their positions and caused considerable casualties among enemy forces during fierce battles.
◽️ Over 250 Ukrainian personnel, 11 tanks, 14 armoured combat vehicles and 2 field artillery guns have been eliminated.
💥 Russian troops have repelled the attacks launched by up to 1 mechanised infantry company per each towards Sadok (Kherson region), Zelyony Gai, Tamarino and Ternoviye Pody (Nikolayev region) at Andreyevka and Nikolayev directions.
◽️ Intense action of Russian troops supported by artillery has resulted in repelling all the attacks.
◽️ Up to 45 Ukrainian personnel, 4 armoured combat vehicles and 8 pickups with large-calibre machine guns have been eliminated.
◽️ Moreover, Russian unmanned aerial vehicles have destroyed 4 Zoopark artillery reconnaissance radars Zoopark and 1 U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-36 electronic warfare system.
◽️ Over 350 Ukrainian personnel, 11 tanks, 18 armoured combat vehicles, 8 special motor vehicles and 2 field artillery guns have been eliminated at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
#MoD #TopNews #Russia #Ukraine
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⚡️ (http://t.me/mod_russia_en/4562) Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress in the special military operation (October 16, 2022)
Part 2 (read Part 1 (http://t.me/sitreports/138))
💥 Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery have neutralised 3 command posts near Koroviy Yar, Nikiforovka (Donetsk People's Republic), Novoosinovo (Kharkov region), 42 artillery units at their firing positions, 141 manpower and military equipment concentration areas.
◽️ 5 munitions depots have been destroyed near Davydov Brod (Kherson region), Shandrigolovo (Donetsk People's Republic), as well as at the territory of a shipyard in Zaporozhye.
💥 Air defence facilities have shot down 11 unmanned aerial vehicles over Nikolskoye, Blagoveshchenka, Andreyevka (Donetsk People's Republic), Kuzemovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Podgornoye (Zaporozhye region), Sukhanovo, Staritsa, Charivnoye, Maksima Gorkogo, Kuybyshevo (Kherson region).
◽️ Moreover, 8 projectiles launched by HIMARS and Olkha MLRS have been intercepted near Kakhovka and Antonovka (Kherson region).
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⚡️ (http://t.me/sitrepmaps/8)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ On the AFU's plans in the #Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction⚡️
▪️ The AFU in recent days regrouped their troops on the #Nikolaev - #Berislav direction.
➖ A convoy of wheeled vehicles has come from #Ochakov to #Nikolaev. On the way it was joined by several trucks with ammunition and MLRS. In the city itself it was joined by dozens of armoured vehicles transferred from the northern districts of #Nikolaev Oblast.
➖ The grouping then split up and departed in two directions: one to #Bashtanka, the other to #Pribugskoye and #Galitsinovo, where strike forces are being formed.
▪️ What are the future plans of the AFU?
➖ The Ukrainian leadership must organise an offensive before the cold weather arrives. Yesterday's attack (http://t.me/sitreports/120) by the AFU in the #Berislav area was a reconnaissance battle to check the staten of the Russian defensive lines. The surplus of personnel so far allows the enemy not to worry about losses from such unsuccessful assaults.
➖ The concentration of forces at the #Aleksandrovska sector and at #Bashtanka, from where they can be mooved to the #Andreevkya sector, indicates that these two sectors are being prepared for an attack.
➖ And the #Berislav section is needed to divert attention from the main directions of the assault: from #Luparevo and #Pribugskoye, as well as Sukhoy Stavok and Davydov Brod with subsequent access to Novaya Kakhovka and #Kherson.
▪️ Another possible option is a completely different direction - #Zaporozhye. For more than a month Ukrainian marines have been practicing landing (http://t.me/sitreports/49) near #Energodar.
➖ The #Zaporozhye NPP is the most important target for the AFU before the onset of winter, and the scenario of capturing the plant has been worked out for a long time. And the grouping moved to #Bashtanka can be sent to #Zaporozhye relatively quickly.
➖ In the event of another offensive in #Kherson Oblast, it cannot be ruled out that an attack will be launched simultaneously from the #Orekhov - #Gulyaypole line with a landing at #Energodar.
➖ And an attack from the #Dudchany village could also be used to cover the landing of AFU formations on the left bank of the #Dnipro from Zolotaya Balka and #Novoalexandrovka. Besides, they have informants in that area (http://t.me/Slavyangrad/13527).
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New US sanctions against China - has global confrontation entered a new phase?
So, in October, the Biden administration announced the most extensive restrictions in history on the supply of semiconductors and equipment for the production of all sorts of microchips to China. In fact, this is a new "step" in the global confrontation between those two superpowers: nothing like this has ever happened before in the history of the two countries.
The Americans forbid trading semiconductors and equipment with China without special permission, as well as supplying American technology to China. This is essentially a new round of Trump's "war" with Huawei, only now dozens of Chinese companies whose capitalisation has already plummeted will come under attack.
And yes, this is a very powerful and painful blow to Chinese microelectronics as they are heavily dependent on imports, although for some allies (like Samsung or TSMC) the Americans have made an exception for one year. For Russia, the news is also unpleasant - our level of developmemt in microelectronics is not very advanced, and Chinese imports were seen as one of possible ways to solve this problem.
It's important to understand that it makes no sense at all to interpret the confrontation between the United States and China through the same prism as during the Cold War. China is a key trading partner of the Americans (and vice versa), the biggest investor in the US market, and the mutual penetration of the two economies is hard to overestimate. It is impossible to cut all ties instantly, and it doesn't look like the Americans are going to try to do so, but "slowing down" the development of a competitor is quite realistic.
Another issue is that a forced withdrawal from the Chinese market would be a serious blow for many Western companies, and here too one has to be quite careful - if the rupture is too sharp it can have a negative impact on the economies of the US and the EU, which are having a difficult time as it is.
https://t.me/readovkaru/1575
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😎🇬🇧💪American Military Watch writes: Belgorod air defense broke the world record for the range of destruction
According to the magazine, a pair of Ukrainian combat aircraft attacked the Russian city of Belgorod, reaching the border with Russia at extremely low altitude, after which they gained altitude, fired at the target and again went to the ground, headed for the airfield.
However, neither the Su-27 fighter nor the Su-24 front-line bomber reached him, having received a rocket in their engines. Both aircraft were shot down over the Poltava region.
Allegedly, the Russian S-300V4 anti-aircraft system worked on them.
According to the Americans, the complex hit Ukrainian aircraft at a range of 217 km, thereby breaking the previous “record” set by the Russian S-400 system in March this year, when a Ukrainian Su-27 fighter jet was shot down over Kyiv at a range of 150 km.
As the magazine writes, despite its maneuverability, the fighter could not get away from the missile.
And no one has yet encountered the S-500 ...
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The Belarusian front and Vagner in Artemivsk: on the likelihood of Minsk joining the war, Kiev's plans for Kherson and the role of PMCs in operational and strategic planning - military expert Boris Rozhin specially for Voenkor Kotenok Z channel @voenkorKotenok:
Belarusians are digging trenches on the border
- What prompted the toughening of rhetoric on the part of the official Minsk? Is it worth waiting for the Belarusian troops to enter the zone of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization?
- The rhetoric in Minsk is associated with the increasing number of provocations by NATO and Ukraine, as well as with the attempts of terrorist acts in the territory of Belarus. A terrorist war supported by NATO and Ukraine is going on against Belarus. Therefore, Lukashenko's rhetoric is more than justified, as a measure to strengthen security.
For the time being, the Belarusian troops are not mounting a strike force to invade Ukraine and are engaged in defensive measures on the border.
Why the Ukrainian Armed Forces are clinging to Artemivsk
- How significant is the liberation of Artemivsk (Bakhmut) and how will it affect the situation on the front?
- The liberation of Artemivsk will break the strategic defensive line (axis) Sloviansk-Kramatorsk-Artemivsk-Dzerzhinsk and deprive the AFU of an important road junction.
The "flower of Popasna" story could repeat itself when the loss of a major logistics hub caused a crisis for the AFU in many areas at once. That is why the AFU has clung to Artemivsk so tightly and is constantly pouring in reserves to hold on to the city, which is of critical operational importance.
- It is known that the Wagner Group's assault units played a primary role in the liberation of Artemivsk. How significant is the PMC factor within the entire Ukrainian front?
- The Wagner PMCs show themselves to be highly effective assault units, using their vast experience of participation in local conflicts and trained personnel. This allows them to crack the AFU defenses and maintain the tempo of the offensive, pushing the enemy back directly to Artemivsk.
PMCs do not replace the armed forces but effectively complement them. In the future, we should strive to improve coordination and reconsider the role of PMCs in operational and strategic planning.
Infrastructure strikes need a system
- Kiev reports about the elimination of the consequences of strikes on energy infrastructure. Should such statements be trusted?
- Some of the consequences of the strikes may well be eliminated in the medium or long term. And such work is going on all the time.
Even with the obvious damage to the infrastructure, the longer-term and more systemic effect would be if such strikes were carried out regularly enough, leading to some facilities being destroyed and others being brought to a state where repairs would take too long, leading to inevitable fanatical blackouts on a systemic basis even without strikes on the infrastructure of working nuclear power plants.
Russia is ready to fight in Kherson
- What caused the partial evacuation of the population of the Kherson region? How likely is an attempt by the AFU to break through to the city with the imposition of urban fighting?
- The evacuation is caused by the systematic shelling of cities in the Kherson region by the Russian Federation. Plus, in the event of an AFU breakthrough, there is a high probability of intensified fighting for the city, which could lead to large civilian casualties. Therefore, from a security point of view, it is better to evacuate part of the population in advance for the same reasons that were used to evacuate DNR residents before the start of the war.
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