Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-10-09
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
http://thesaker.is/west-has-now-set-a-course-on-total-terrorist-warfare/
The Saker article above is reproduced below for our readers who are blocked.
First, I want to post a video I found on Twitter (original here) which shows what kind of explosion took place on the Crimean bridge.
From what I have read, a truck filled with explosives blew up, killing three people in a car nearby, and then the flames took over a train also crossing the bridge. That train was full of fuel. It is only thanks to the amazing speed at which the bridge crews reacted that the damage was limited to only 9 wagons and, therefore, to a much shorter segment of the rail tracks.
Looking at the video, one would imagine that the bridge is in ruins. In fact, traffic was reestablished on both rail tracks and the road in less than 24 hours (with the exception of heavy trucks). In other words, this is yet another case of “it is humiliating, but not dangerous” (обидно но не опасно).
But that is an increasingly mistaken notion: this time is also VERY dangerous.
It is self-evident that the Kiev regime would never have had the means, technical and political, to execute such an attack without being told to do so by its masters in the West.
Such an attack, right on the heels of the attacks on of NS1/NS2 shows beyond any doubt that West has now set a course on total terrorist warfare.
This makes sense, since for all the so-called “victories” of the NATO forces in the Ukraine, the reality is that they reconquered a few villages and towns while Russia liberated and then incorporated entire regions.
And Russia did that while always being at a numerical disadvantage
And while inflicting 10:1 KIA ratios.
In other words the West’s “redirection” towards terrorism is an admission of military, economic and political defeat.
While this is hardly a surprise, the West *always* uses terrorism against sovereign governments, this is still a very negative development for Russia.
Simply put, there are always more targets than cops/guards.
Furthermore, terrorists can always chose the time and location of their attacks.
So far, the Ukronazi efforts in Russia yielded very little tangible benefits: the murder of Dugina made her into a martyr, the attack on NS1/NS2 really only hurt Germany and the EU, while the explosion on Crimean Bridge has proven that this is a very hard target which will be extremely hard to destroy short of using a tactical nuke.
Here we all need to remember terrorist attacks on the school in Beslan, the Dubrovka Theater in Moscow, the Budennovsk hospital, the Domodedovo International Airport or the Saint Petersburg subway. All of them were the result of actions by so-called “terrorist groups” all of which were (and still are) run by western special services.
There are basically only two ways to defeat such state-sponsored terrorist attacks:
Infiltrate the so-called terrorist groups and infiltrate the western “parent agencies” which run them.
Convince the general public to go into a “high vigilance” mode.
Basically, the entire Russian society needs to go on a “mental war footing” and remain calm and very vigilant at the same time: not only is Russia under attack by Banderite Nazis, but also by the folks who did 9/11, MH17 (and many other!) and these are the folks who unleashed an entire terrorist campaign against Iran which included bombing, assassinations, sabotage, etc.
Then there is the problem of escalation. The attack on the Crimean Bridge was a clear act of war.
Of course, since no US passports were found conveniently floating in the water, Russia’s response should not be an overt military retaliatory attack. However, I do expect that something will happen soon, most likely in the Ukraine, but probably involving western personnel/assets/facilities.
In conclusion, I expect things to get even worse right up and until the elections in the USA. Not that I have much of a hope that sanity would prevail should the GOP win, but “a tiny little” is better than “none at all”.
In the meantime, it is simply shocking for me to observe the collective orgasm felt by the leaders of the West each time some horror befalls Russia. Truth be told, the fact that they hate us does not surprise me. What surprises me much more is how unapologetically hate-filled and “in your face” these cries of joy are. And I wonder
Do they see that hateful glee in their own eyes when they look in the mirror? When they see a photo of Daria Dugina, do they feel like the “yeah! scored one against Putin!”? When the kangaroo court in the Netherlands declares that it was Russia (or the LDNR) blew up MH17, will they feel that justice has been served and the guilty punished?
I am afraid that asking what they see or do not see is the wrong question which, by the way, Putin answered in his recent speech when he said “these European elites understand everything – they do, but they prefer to serve the interests of others“.
It’s not that they don’t see, instead they don’t care. At all. They never have.
I will end with a question: is the above only true of the European ruling classes or is that true for most people who live in the EU?
What will the well-intentioned and noble Europeans do when the next bloodbath happens in Russia (because sooner or later it will, such is the nature of the terrorist threat)? Will they rejoice and wave their Ukie flags a little stronger or will they just not give a damn?
The answer is obvious, especially to Russians.
Andrei
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in #Starobelsk Direction at 12:00 on 9 Oct 2022⚡️
#Kupyansk Section:
The AFU still failed to break through the defences of the Russian Forces at #Tavolzhanka. Some units of the AFU´s 14th Separate Mechanized Brigade refused to advance on the Russian stronghold.
▪️ Therefore, the Ukrainian command is focusing its efforts on breaking through the positions of the Russian Forces on the #Olshany- #Pershotravnevoye line. The AFU need to break through the front line because of the upcoming offensive on #Svatovo and #Kremennaya to reach the #Troitskoye - #Pokrovskoye - Novaya Duvanka - #Svatovo line.
▪️ With the forces of 1st, 2nd and partly 3rd Battalions of the 14th Brigade, Ukrainian formations are advancing from the south of #Olshany and from the west of #Pershotravnevoye.
▪️ Russian artillery and MLRS crews are firing barrages into areas where the AFU is advancing, preventing them from gaining a foothold near the outskirts.
▪️ A missile strike by the Russian Forces destroyed an AFU deployment site in #Sinkovka. The surviving units were moved to #Petropavlovka. A SAM of an unspecified type was moved to #Kupyansk to cover the Ukrainian grouping.
▪️ Meanwhile, a Russian reconnaissance and sabotage group conducted a successful raid on Ukrainian positions on the southern outskirts of #Kupyansk-Uzlovoy, destroying a stronghold with personnel.
#Limanskoye - #Svatovo Section:
The AFU continue to gather forces for an offensive on #Svatovo and #Kremennaya. However, due to failures in the #Kupyansk sector, the command is cautious about storming the lines because of a possible flank attack.
▪️ The Russian artillery and air force are massively shelling the AFU staging areas, forcing them to constantly change positions.
▪️ Osa and Tor SAMs have been moved to #Ivanovka, and an advanced repair and recovery facility has been established near #Peschanoye.
@Slavyangrad/@Rybar/#SMO/ t.me/SLG_MAPS/283
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Hands are bound
⚡️ (http://t.me/SLG_MAPS/285)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Soledar Direction at 16:00 on 9 Oct 2022⚡️
▪️ Wagner's PMC units have gained full control of #Zaitsevo, where a key AFU stronghold was located.
▪️ Reports of Wagner's troops entering #Bakhmut from the south are premature, as the advancing troops have yet to take out several strongholds on the approaches to the city and capture a number of suburbs, including #Opytnoye and #Ivangrad.
▪️ Earlier, it was reported that about 1,000 fighters of Wagner PMC were sent to the area of the #Lysychansk agglomeration to prevent the collapse of the front in that direction. The Wagner units are currently building a defensive line that will run from #Lysychansk along the Seversky Donets to the former Russian border.
▪️ Russian forces have hit AFU positions and military facilities in Chasov Yar, #Belogorovka, #Opytnoye, #Ivangrad, #Kleshcheevka, #Bakhmutskoye, #Bakhmut, Zelonoye Pole, #Vershina, #Yampolovka, #Grigoryevka, #Serebryanka, #Dronovka, #Razdolovka, #Soledar and #Mayorsk.
@Slavyangrad/ t.me/rybar/39967 /#SMO/ t.me/SLG_MAPS/285
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
⚡️ (http://t.me/SLG_MAPS/286)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Kherson: Situation on the #Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction at 18:00 on 9 Oct 2022⚡️
'#PosadPokrovskoye Section:
The AFU moved units in the direction of Ternovye Pody. Russian artillery struck the newly arrived formations.
#Snigirovka Section:
The SRG of the 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade of the AFU made another attempt to storm the Russian Forces´positions in #Maksimovka. The Russians repulsed the attack.
#Andreevka Sector:
The forces of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade attempted to storm the Russian positions near the village of #Sadok. Russian Forces repulsed (http://t.me/Slavyangrad/12971) the attack and destroyed three tanks and two BMPs.
▪️ A "roving" mortar crew is deployed near Sukhoy Stavok and fires indiscriminately along the line of contact.
▪️ The Ukrainian command continues to transport personnel and equipment across the established crossings over the #Ingulets. Over the past 24 hours, more than 100 units have been moved to the left bank of the river and 93 in the opposite bank.
▪️ Russian artillery and aviation are shelling the AFU pontoons and embankments on the #Ingulets. An air defence system is deployed in #Blagodatovka to provide cover from air strikes.
#Berislav Area: Artillery duels continue. Armoured vehicles of the 17th AFU Tank Brigade are concentrated in the vicinity of #Belyaevka. The forces of the 60th Infantry Brigade are put on full alert for a likely offensive on #Pyatikhatki in the near future.
@Slavyangrad/ t.me/rybar/39970 /#SMO/
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
How Easy Is It To Accurately Predict The Outcome of Future Battles On The Frontlines?
Since the front line in Kherson municipality has stabilized for the time being, let's summarize my predictions from a week ago.
Here on October 2, (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3139) on the whole, all the arrows of a potential AFU offensive, plus or minus, came true: the Khokhry did not advance south of Dudchany, but went to Novaya Kamenka, went south of Arkhangelsk and Mirolyubovka, and took Bolshaya Aleksandrovka and Davydov Brod. Then the front line at this point has been stabilised.
On October 4 (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3157) I said that the Khohols could not encircle our troops in the outpost towards Kryvyi Rih and would push them out. Which they did. The Russians did fortify near Novaya Kamianka, a critical point for defense. The second mentioned, Bolshaya Aleksandrovka, we abandoned, as a result of which we lost the line along the Ingul River.
October 3: (https://t.me/zola_of_renovation/3155) "Regarding the fighting at Dudchany - this is our Krivoy Rog area - at the moment the impression is that it is a good and powerful "toadstool jump" performed by the AFU - a quick attack to improve the tactical situation. And indeed we have no operational consequences at the moment, the Khokhols have improved their position and, in theory, will try to move on to the second stage of the plan and achieve an operational victory on the basis of it.
However, the two phases are separated from each other by the operational pause we are currently witnessing.
Bottom line, as I stated initially that a strike on Beryslav at that point was impossible and that the goal for the AFU was different, and that's how it transpired. The enemy has not moved a single metre towards Beryslav since October 3, after occupying the northern part of Dudchan.
Conclusion: Recommend the @zola_of_renovation channel to your friends and acquaintances - at least some of the publications here are reasonable predictions. Also keep a healthy frame of mind and do not panic. Do not underestimate the Russian army - the men at the front are heroes and do not simply surrender after missing a single blow. It's a tough war with its own risks - it's no easy walk for either us or the Khokhol
Glory to the Russian warriors!
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+2pzG51JUhlYxZmQx
@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Picchu)
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Autumn Mud, A Harbinger of Future, AFU Setbacks and Changes In Overall Battlefield Tactics On All Sides
https://t.me/SLG_MAPS/265
Forwarded from Vladislav Ugolny]
Regarding the front line - we have a lull here in the sense that nothing else is collapsing yet - the following can be said:
1) On the Svatovsk direction, the Khohol are trying to finish dislodging the Russian army from the Oskol frontier in its last section, north of Kupyansk, with a front to Dvurechnaya. So far they do not succeed, however, sooner or later they will most likely have to withdraw there as well: the Khokhol are gnawing their way to the flank of Tavolzhanka. Also, the enemy is gradually approaching Svatovo and has captured Stelmakhovka. Now, in general, there is a concentration of enemy forces in the direction of the Svatovo - Kreminna route and its attempts to saddle the Kupyansk - Svatovo route.
2) Nothing is clear on the Artemivsk direction except that the Russians are advancing. Previously Otradivka, Zaitsevo, Veselaya Dolina, the asphalt plant, and a definite advance in the industrial area to the east, as well as an uncertain advance towards Podgorny have been liberated. At the same time, open sources suggest that a Wagner DRG has made its way into the centre of Artemivsk. Some commotion is taking place in the area of the Dam, Zabakhmutka, the tenth school. But this is all according to local channels, which are fantasists.
3) An assault on Pervomayskoye has been launched in Donetsk's direction, and our guys finally got there. The strategic plan is unknown to me personally. Perhaps Pervomayskoye is needed to secure the flanks for actions on Krasnogorovka or Vodyanoye. Position fighting continues in other areas, including fog-covered Marinka.
4) In the Kherson direction, our forces have taken up new positions, with the forward line running along the Bruskinskoye-Ishchanka-southern edge of Novaya Kamianka-southern edge of Dudchany. Khohol has suspended the offensive, is pulling in reserves, consolidating in the territory taken, and trying to strike in other directions of this front, to no avail.
5) The mobilization clock is ticking, and people are gradually arriving. The mobilization-related mess (an expected and understandable stress on the system, as there is no experience) is solved. The resources available to the command increase. At the same time, mud and muddy conditions blossom in autumn. Soft mud makes it difficult to use wheeled vehicles (the secret of all the successes of the Khohols blitzkrieg.) The whole September concept of AFU operations is becoming increasingly irrelevant with each passing day as the weather conditions are not favorable to them.
I will not risk making any forecasts. The only thing is that the muddy conditions will reduce the ability to fight in the fields, so there is not much time left for fighting in the fields. Then the focus will shift to urban development. There is no need to hurry here, near Artemivsk everything is proceeding competently and in stages.
But most likely Khohol will try to make another leap. Where? Zaporizhzhya oblast and Ugledarskaya oblast have been mentioned; in this regard, I do not agree with the forecasts of my colleagues, as it is unlikely. In Kherson oblast, the grouping to ensure operational success is small and requires reinforcement. On the other hand, success is possible in the LNR.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+2pzG51JUhlYxZmQx
@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Picchu)
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
[Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)]
[ Photo ]
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Kherson: Situation in the #Andreevka Section at 17:00 on 9 Oct 2022⚡️
▪️ Units of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the AFU made another attempt to storm the Russian positions near the village of #Sadok.
▪️ Formations of the 46th Brigade advanced from Bolshaya Aleksandrovka with six tanks and five BMPs, including two M2 Bradley.
▪️ In fierce fighting, Russian Armed Forces personnel repelled the attack and destroyed three tanks and two enemy infantry fighting vehicles.
▪️ Russian Forces are clearing the forest belt south of Davydov Brod. The surviving militants of the Brigade fled to the vicinity of Malaya Aleksandrovka.
@Slavyangrad/ t.me/rybar/39969 /#SMO/
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
[Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)]
⚡️ (http://t.me/SLG_MAPS/285)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Soledar Direction at 16:00 on 9 Oct 2022⚡️
▪️ Wagner's PMC units have gained full control of #Zaitsevo, where a key AFU stronghold was located.
▪️ Reports of Wagner's troops entering #Bakhmut from the south are premature, as the advancing troops have yet to take out several strongholds on the approaches to the city and capture a number of suburbs, including #Opytnoye and #Ivangrad.
▪️ Earlier, it was reported that about 1,000 fighters of Wagner PMC were sent to the area of the #Lysychansk agglomeration to prevent the collapse of the front in that direction. The Wagner units are currently building a defensive line that will run from #Lysychansk along the Seversky Donets to the former Russian border.
▪️ Russian forces have hit AFU positions and military facilities in Chasov Yar, #Belogorovka, #Opytnoye, #Ivangrad, #Kleshcheevka, #Bakhmutskoye, #Bakhmut, Zelonoye Pole, #Vershina, #Yampolovka, #Grigoryevka, #Serebryanka, #Dronovka, #Razdolovka, #Soledar and #Mayorsk.
@Slavyangrad/ t.me/rybar/39967 /#SMO/ t.me/SLG_MAPS/285
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Just watched the fabulous Andre Martyonav new commentary at his smoothiex12 you tube
When this came in. Failure of linearity ....
Bakery are very power intensive, lots smaller ones here are on the edge of bankruptcy with power prices in germany, does not look good for winter, just like alot small business are one step away from going broke.
Thanks for keep going every day with this report!