Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-06-27
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles (Warning: Graphic)
❗️news from TASS - Turkey will not join sanctions /death penalty in DPR / the opinion of the former Moldovan President Igor Dodon about Moldova, EU and sanctions :
❗️ANKARA, June 26. /TASS/. Turkey will not join the West’s anti-Russian sanctions over the Ukrainian crisis, Turkish presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin said on Sunday.
"We are conducting a well-balanced policy in respect of Russia. <…> We are not imposing sanctions and will not join them. We must observe our own interests. If everyone ruins the bridges, who will be speaking with Russia then? Our economic relations with Russia have such character that sanctions will do more harm to Turkey’s economy than to Russia’s. We have a clear position [on the matter of sanctions]. The West has not accepted it," he said in an interview with the Haberturk television channel.
❗️DONETSK, June 27. /TASS/. The parliament of the Donetsk People’s Republic could consider abolishing death penalty in the republic after the end of the military operation, court trials and tribunals over war criminals, a senior local parliamentarian told TASS on Monday.
"We very much hope that by the time the military operation has ended with all tribunals and court trials over, the will of the people of Donbass, of the DPR will be heard at a referendum, and we will join <…> Russia. Then we, as lawmakers, won’t have to abolish capital punishment in the DPR, as we will be guided by the Russian criminal code," said Yelena Shishkina, who chairs the local parliament’s committee on criminal and administrative law.
The DPR will consider abolishing death penalty under international conventions, if the republic remains independent in the absence of conditions for a referendum, she added.
❗️CHISINAU, June 27. /TASS/. Moldova won’t be granted EU membership in the coming decades but will suffer damage if it joins sanctions on Russia, the country’s former President Igor Dodon said on Monday.
"Our people should understand that we won’t become part of the EU in at least another a decade or two, or perhaps ever, but we will suffer damage in the coming months because of the irresponsible and aggressive policy of the country’s authorities who, judging by their recent remarks, are determined to join Western sanctions on Russia," Dodon wrote on Telegram.
He slammed as lies the Moldovan government’s statement that "as a candidate state, Moldova is obliged to join sanctions on Russia." "Turkey, a NATO member that was granted EU candidate status several decades ago, refused to support the West’s sanctions against Russia as they run counter to its national interests," Dodon noted.
❗️CHISINAU, June 27. /TASS/. The move to provide EU candidate status to Moldova was aimed at dragging the country into the West’s geopolitical games against Russia, former Moldovan President Igor Dodon said on Monday.
"The move to grant EU candidate status to Moldova was not aimed at providing economic support to the country but at dragging it into the West’s geopolitical games against Russia. In fact, we have become a candidate for new political and military experiments and may follow the sad example of Ukraine. The rush to provide candidate status to us and Ukraine, without the necessary reforms and with the regime of the [ruling] Party of Action and Solidarity turning into a dictatorship blatantly violating the rule of law and people’s fundamental rights, makes it clear that Moldova will be used as a pawn on the West’s geopolitical chessboard," Dodon wrote on Telegram.
According to him, Moldova may eventually face tragic consequences.
Results of fire attacks on targets in Ukraine overnight from June 26 to 27, 2022 by @rybar
▪️ In northeastern Ukraine, the Russian Armed Forces struck enemy positions in Khrenovka and Yanzhulovka in the Chernihiv region, as well as Slavgorod in the Sumy region.
▪️In Kharkiv, locals reported four rocket attacks last night. Explosions were heard (https://t.me/rybar/34432) on the southern outskirts of the city, near Saltovka and in Pesochin. According to some reports, AFU positions in Kharkiv's School No. 29 were destroyed.
In addition, in the region, the RF Armed Forces hit enemy positions in Chuguev, Ukrainka, Zamulovka, Shestakovo, Peremoga, Russkaya Lozovaya, Grushevaha, Adamovka and Khrestishche.
▪️ During the night and morning hours, Russian forces launched missile and artillery strikes against AFU facilities (https://t.me/rybar/34434) in Sloviansk. The Ukrainian army's locations in Mykolayivka, Mayaki and Raigorodka were also hit in the suburbs.
▪️In Donbass, the Russian Armed Forces continued to fire artillery at the enemy in Lysychansk and at the Lysychansk refinery. In the Donetsk direction, strikes were launched against Ugledar, Marinka, Avdiivka and Krasnohorivka.
▪️In the Zaporizhia direction there were artillery duels near Vasylivka and near Poloh.
▪️On the Nikolaev-Krivoy Rog direction, local sources reported that Russian missiles were launched at Nikolaev, but no information was later published about explosions in the city.
At the same time, at night, the Russian Armed Forces struck an AFU barracks in Bereznevatom, which may have killed more than 100 Ukrainian fighters.
On this section of the front, artillery duels also continued along the entire line of contact
▪️A missile strike (https://t.me/rybar/34436) struck an ammunition depot for American M777 howitzers in the village of Mayaki in the Odessa region at night. One of the missiles was shot down by Ukrainian air defenses.
▪️Ukrainian formations, for their part, struck Zimogorye in the morning hours, where, according to preliminary reports, a munitions depot might have detonated.
As before, the AFU struck Donetsk, Makiivka, and the outskirts of Gorlovka.
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GB: The most important takeaway from this POW situation assessment is the likelihood that there are now well in excess of 15,000 Ukrainian POWs in the hands of the Allies (Russia, DNR, LNR). Considering that there have been over 15,000 names officially inquired about by the Ukrainian government, the actual POW number could well hover over 20,000.
This has an impact beyond mere POW numbers: The figures corroborate the already-reported enormous casualty (KIA, WIA, and irretrievable) toll on the Ukrainian troops. You simply do not get this many prisoners without inflicting a corresponding loss.
@Rybar POW Report: On the situation with the exchange of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine.
In the second month of the special military operation, the POW exchange process between Russia and Ukraine had started, albeit with difficulties. On the Ukrainian side, Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk and representatives of the Ukrainian Central Intelligence Directorate are responsible for free facilitating the process.
So far, a total of 15 exchange operations have been carried out: the batches were small, and just over 300 people have been returned in total. It began to appear that the process had become well established: negotiations on an exchange of 140 for 140 were already underway, and lists were being agreed upon.
Then two things happened: the collapse of the Bakhmutka Cauldron in Gorskoye and Zolotoye, and the fall of Severodonetsk. A huge number of Ukrainian servicemen and representatives of the territorial defence were taken prisoner. The exchange process has since stalled: the number of captured Russian Armed Forces and LDPR soldiers is simply disproportionate to the number of captured Ukrainians.
Therefore, the exchange process has now slowed down considerably because Ukraine has decided to selectively exchange prisoners rather than exchange all of them.
▪️only through official channels the Ukrainian side has requested confirmation about more than 15,000 Ukrainian servicemen in captivity. The real figures are much higher.
▪️the Ukrainian negotiators have demanded the release of all female servicemen (of whom there are a hundred and fifty in captivity) without any formulas or preconditions, emphasizing humanitarian and compassionate grounds, particularly as some of them are pregnant.
▪️The Ukrainian side demands that Ukrainian officers and members of the Azov National Guard regiment be included in the exchange formulas, with a view to maximising the publicity impact of the cases of their return. This correlates with the statement by the head of Ukraine's Main Directorate of Intelligence about the imminent release of all the prisoners from Azovstal: The Ukrainian side needs to show a media victory over Russia and finally prove that the so-called “extraction” operation was something other than a blatant lie.
And the most interesting thing is that the office of the deputy prime minister Iryna Vereshchuk understands that the demands of the Main Intelligence Directorate are inappropriate and only harmful. But the representatives of the Directorate have no concern for real humanity or for care for their own population.
GB: The latest monthly iteration of the strategic and tactical analysis of the ongoing conflict and the state of the Russian military, as prepared by @KramnikCat. Previous analyses will be translated in the future. The following statements are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the translator.
Four months have passed.
Revisiting what was said earlier about the strengths and weaknesses [exhibited by the warring parties in this conflict], the following can be noted:
1. The war has become protracted, with both sides hoping to realize their goals through a military solution and expecting the enemy to break earlier (in this regard, I express a timid hope that we have a million sets of winter uniforms already being sewn).
2. The resilience of Ukraine as a state and the Ukrainian Armed Forces as a military organization is determined largely by Western support, with arms transfers as such playing a tertiary role in such support—the weapons being supplied are simply not enough to compensate for the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The primary role in Western support is played by fuel, ammunition, and money transfers to sustain the funding for the army and other major government expenditures.
3. The Russian Armed Forces' tactics in this war rely on two pillars: the artillery offensive, relying on the ability to concentrate a much larger number of artillery systems and fire an order of magnitude more ammunition that the enemy, and operational maneuvering under the cover of such artillery barrage.
4. Ukraine has so far failed to counterbalance this Russian forces' superiority with Western deliveries—even taking into account the transfer of high-precision weapons—not in the least because Russia also has high-precision weapons and uses them in larger quantities than Ukraine can afford, although in much smaller quantities than would be desirable to speed up the process of the conflict.
Some intermediate conclusions regarding the Russian Armed Forces:
A. The Army. The deployment of a large number of new units and formations in the Russian Army after 2013 has not justified itself: The Army does not have enough people to staff all the newly created/reconstructed units and fill all their personnel requirements. At the same time, huge amounts of money have been spent on capital (structural and equipment) construction for this mass of formations. It is clear that the creation of these new military formations was spurred on by the events in Ukraine, but they have not been sufficiently provided for. The situation when companies on the front line are short of men from the outset makes it difficult to act—particularly given the numerical superiority of the enemy—even if you have more artillery and far more ammunition for it.
B. The Fleet. If the fleet is not developed in peacetime, if, instead, dubious ships are built according to odd designs without proper justification and goals, if restoration of technical readiness is passed off as repair with modernization, if the process of combat training is a profanation of the requirements, and if commanders are turned into clerks filling out an endless stream of papers—the consequences in wartime will not be long in coming, and they will be bad. One could also repeat the crisis of goal-setting and the resulting systemic crisis of the Russian Navy as a whole, but that is a topic for a separate long talk, to which we will certainly return in the near future. What is good in the Navy's arsenal? The Kalibr cruise missiles and the UKSK (Universal Naval Launch Systems). They are very good, and their success outweighs other shortcomings and will continue saving our hides in the foreseeable future.
(continued in the next post)
(continued from the previous post)
C. The Aerospace Forces ("VKS"). The Su-34 is a very good aircraft, and the Ka-52 is probably the best attack helicopter in the world, but the range of modern precision-guided weapons for them needs to be expanded, and the fleet of special-purpose vehicles-the AEW, reconnaissance, REB planes and helicopters—whose development, unfortunately, is not a priority in Russia—needs expansion and a radical upgrade, just like the tactics for countering air defences.
D. The Airborne Forces ("VDV"). The current structure of the VDV is incompatible with the capabilities of the military-transport aviation and inadequate to the requirements of combined arms combat. The former (the aviation) is insufficient to deploy and sustain the existing airborne force, while the VDV itself has neither sufficient armor nor sufficient firepower for the latter. The development path clearly lies in the concept of "airmobilization"—in the reduction and reformation of the VDV into airmobile/light infantry units that can be landed and that will operate using standard armored infantry vehicles and have additional training to conduct heliborne and tactical parachute assaults, if necessary.
E. [GB: Discussions relating to UAVs/drones and the existing stock land armoured vehicles are contained in previous iterations of this analysis, to be translated in due time.]
[Forwarded from Papa Junk]
Fake: The Russian military shelled the Amstor shopping center in Kremenchug. This was announced by the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky.
Truth: The Amstor shopping center is located next to the Kremenchug road machinery plant and the Kremenchug railway station. In one of the videos, it seems to people that the rocket hit the plant (the phrase “Dormash, Dormash”). In addition, according to sources familiar with the course of the special operation, the Amstor shopping center was used as a warehouse for storing military equipment, just like the Retroville shopping center in Kiev.
Kremenchug station is one of the most important railway junctions in Ukraine, it connects the central and western parts of the country. In addition, in Kremenchug there is a locomotive depot (TC-6) and the Kremenchug power supply distance (EC-8). The station is actively used for the supply of fuel from the Kremenchug refinery for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
90 meters from the shopping center is the Kremenchug plant of road machines. Since 2014, the plant has been repairing equipment for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. A railway line from the Kremenchug station leads to the plant.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that there were about a thousand civilians in the shopping center, however, the parking lot in front of the shopping center building is almost empty, there are few cars on it. In addition, among the people who walk around the parking lot, there are a lot of military men in “pixel” uniforms (regular T-shirts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, camouflage bags), some of them are armed with machine guns. At the same time, there are practically no women in the video posted by Zelensky, as well as in the videos on social networks.
It doesn't look like the mall was open at all. In Instagram (the social network is recognized as extremist in the Russian Federation), according to the geotag “Amstor shopping center”, there are no photos of visitors since March. Reviews on websites and Google maps also stopped leaving in March. Apparently, the equipment repaired at Dormash was stored in the shopping center.
Despite the unconfirmed nature of Zelensky's statement about a thousand visitors in the shopping center and the official information about two dead, the international media quickly picked up the news precisely in the context of “a Russian missile that hit the shopping center with 1,000 visitors.
In the coming days, a NATO summit will be held, during which Volodymyr Zelensky intends to ask for military assistance. Now the Ukrainian authorities are preparing the ground to turn Amstor into a new Bucha.
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In the west
Spoiler - It creates shortages
Western leaders, specifically including the G7, have a serious problem. Their collective energy and economic policy, a chase for the climate change and corporate financial agenda, have created the downstream consequences of global food shortages and third-world instability. The non-industrial nations will now, once again, suffer as a direct result of Western ideology and arrogance.
To combat the pesky third-world pitch forks, today Joe Biden announced the U.S. will lead the G7 in a series of advanced spending measures intended to control how the pain inflicted by the industrialized nations will surface to the rest of the world. Western media must not let the suffering of the brown people become visible, lest people start to connect the dots and realize the G7 is an ideologically racist and exploitative enterprise.
To soften the reality of the brown people suffering, the leftist administration of Joe Biden will spend $200 billion to mitigate the damage. There are four aspects:
(1) To increase dependency and control the third-world population the G7 will finance a vaccine manufacturing facility in Senegal. The breeding of the brown people must be controlled – climate change policy demands it.
(2) To control the optics of the third-world complaining about it, the G7 will mobilize $335 million in private capital to control the communication systems in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The brown people must not discover the nature of their exploitation; and the citizens within the G7 nations must not find out their government is exploiting the brown people. Wouldn’t look good.
(3) The United States will spend $50 million over five years to support gender equity in the developing world increasing the friction between brown women and brown men, while ignoring cultural differences and forcing the social ideology of the West upon them. And finally….
(4) The G7, fearing third-world instability and anger from the brown people that could disrupt their supply chains, the U.S. and Western nations will now seek to increase their control of mining for mineral deposits needed for G7 batteries – and will fund more railroads and ports to export the critical material to the West more quickly.
A group of fighters from the Georgian Legion have been eliminated in the LPR, the Russian Defense Ministry has revealed
Russian forces eliminated a group of Georgian mercenaries, who were fighting on the Ukrainian side and were allegedly involved in the abuse and murders of the Russian prisoners, Russian military spokesman Lieutenant General Igor Konashenkov said on Monday.
According to Konashenkov, on June 26, three kilometers from the Lisichansk oil refinery in the Lugansk People’s Republic, Russian units “destroyed two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of mercenaries with a total number of 14 militants.”
The first group, according to the spokesman, “consisted of citizens of various European countries,” while the second one listed only mercenaries from the so-called Georgian Legion. According to Konashenkov, “Georgian militants were involved in the brutal torture and murder of Russian servicemen near Kiev in March this year.”
Since the launch of the Russian military offensive in Ukraine at the end of February, Moscow and Kiev have been accusing each other of abuse and torture, as well as of atrocities against civilians. In May, the Russian Investigative Committee said it was looking into a video published on social media, showing a Georgian mercenary beating a captured Russian soldier.
Tatyana Moskalkova, Russia’s top human rights official, voiced concerns this month over the treatment of Russian prisoners in Ukraine. The International Red Cross had not provided any information about visits to check on the conditions the Russian POWs have been kept in, she claimed.
Russia attacked the neighboring state in late February, following Ukraine’s failure to implement the terms of the Minsk agreements, first signed in 2014, and Moscow’s eventual recognition of the Donbass republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. The German- and French-brokered Minsk Protocol was designed to give the breakaway regions special status within the Ukrainian state.
The Kremlin has since demanded that Ukraine officially declare itself a neutral country that will never join the US-led NATO military bloc. Kiev insists the Russian offensive was completely unprovoked and has denied claims it was planning to retake the two republics by force.
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