Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2023-02-07
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
Russia's attacks in Ukraine have "expanded and intensified" ahead of what could be "the Kremlin's biggest offensive since the early weeks of the war". The New York Times says so.
The paper reports that Russia is now deploying hundreds of thousands of mobilized soldiers. They are operating in small groups to explore vulnerabilities in Ukrainian defensive lines. "This has forced Ukraine to strain its forces to repel the threat," the article reports.
It remains unclear where and when Moscow will launch a large-scale offensive. But Ukrainian authorities say tens of thousands of mobilized soldiers have been sent to northeastern and south-eastern Ukraine.
On the northern flank of the "crescent" (as the front line in the east of the country looks like) the tensest area is Kremenna, the town where the Ukrainian counter-offensive stalled in September. And it is now one of the areas where, according to Ukrainian officials, Moscow is gathering troops for a new offensive.
At the southern end of the crescent, near the town of Ugledar, Ukraine said Russian attacks had been repelled. But officials have warned that tens of thousands of Russian soldiers have been moved into the region and may be gathering for a more coordinated offensive.
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Leopard: a beast in words but just an Olaf Scholz in deeds, or how Ukrainian crews are kept expecting a miracle.
After the summit of NATO member states in Germany's Ramstein, many prominent players of the North Atlantic Alliance claimed at the end of January that they were ready to supply Ukraine with their tanks.
On 24 January, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that Germany would transfer 102 Leopard tanks to the Ukrainian armed forces. But there is a big "BUT" in this message. In this armada of tanks, only 14 are acceptable for use in modern combat operations, this is the tank company, which, according to Berlin, will change the "terms of the game". The remaining 88 tanks are the Leopard 1 tanks, already obsolete in the 80s, adopted by the Bundeswehr in the mid-60s, which even at that time were considered a "questionable achievement" of the military-industrial complex. After all, the artillery armament of the first series of Leopards, represented by a 105 mm gun from Rheinmetall, already at that time did not meet the requirements of "modern tank combat".
It is important to mention that Leopard 1 and Leopard 2 are completely different vehicles. It's not only in artillery equipment but also in running characteristics. But the most important gap between these two "cats" was the armor. Leopard 1 already in the 60s became famous as a machine that is not able to withstand even shaped charge ammunition, we are not even talking about sub-caliber ammunition.
In the end, Ukrainian tank builders only ride on pathetic promises and guarantee that "everything will happen". And even if it does, only armored vehicle museums can rejoice.
But the AFU can take solace in the fact that Canada sent one of the four promised "Leopards" of the A4 model on February 5. But don't wait for reports on their successful use, as the vehicles made their "debut" by exploding their ammunition while Turkish units were fighting ISIS (an organization banned in Russia) militants in Al Baba, Syria, in the fall of 2016.
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Situation in Artemovsk as of February 7 at 13:00 — Russian troops maintain the pace of the offensive both within the city and outside of it.
In Artemovsk (Bakhmut), the success of the "musicians" is developing: Wagner PMC units from the north are suppressing the Ukrainian armed forces' defense nodes in 1 Ushakov Lane near the Stupki railway station. It is obviously time for the AFU units to immediately withdraw their units from the city due to the collapse of the overall defense system in the Artemovsk direction.
To the north of the railway station, the "Wagner" fighters successfully carried out a flanking encirclement of the AFU units between the Stupki station and the village of Paraskovievka. This maneuver made it possible to deprive Ukrainian Armed Forces units of elbow contact with the Artemivsk garrison. "Musicians" also successfully suppressed enemy firing points in the area of Krasnaya Gora.
According to yet unconfirmed information, south of Artemovsk, fighters of the Wagner PMC cut the road between Stupochki and the village of Ivanovskoye. According to preliminary information, units of the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade of the AFU, which were previously stationed near Liman, arrived at the Chasov Yar-Krasnoye area, a northwestern suburb of Artemovsk.
If the AFU front-line command is not a collection of butchers, it is time for them to withdraw their soldiers from the city immediately in the face of the actual cutting off of the Ukrainian grouping's supply in Artemovsk. Judging by the events and the reports, soon the Ukrainian garrison in Artemovsk will be fully encircled.
To the west of Artemovsk, the Ukrainian military is hastily working on fortifications. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces fail in defensive battles at the Chasov Yar-Krasnoye line, the Russian Armed Forces and the "Orchestra🎻🎺" (Wagner PMC) will enter the operational space.
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Morgues are packed with bodies of Ukrainian soldiers — Outnumbered and Worn Out, Ukrainians in East Brace for Russian Assault(Article by The New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/06/world/europe/ukraine-russia-offensive.html))
The New York Times has an interesting article on the eastern front and how it is changing. In particular, using the village of Nevskoye in the Luhansk region as an example, the publication reports that the Russian Armed Forces, advancing, are launching more and more artillery strikes on the outskirts of the village. "Now they (strikes) are becoming more and more frequent, as the Russian troops are making their way forward." The newspaper relays the feelings of the residents of the village in question.
In addition to confirming the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the Liman direction, the newspaper also reports high losses in the ranks of the AFU and the strong moral wear and tear of the soldiers. "Tired Ukrainian soldiers complain that the Russian Armed Forces already outnumber them in weapons and men, and doctors in hospitals speak of growing losses..." The "Karpatskaya Sech" battalion, located near Nevsky, has lost about 30 fighters in recent weeks, and at one frontline hospital in the Donbas, the morgue was packed with the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers in white plastic bags. In another hospital, stretchers with wounded troops covered in gold foil thermal blankets crowded the corridors, and a steady stream of ambulances arrived from the front nearly all day long.
A military surgeon at that hospital, Myroslav Dubenko, 36, scrolled through photographs of soldiers with ghastly injuries: a lower jaw blasted off, half of a face missing. One soldier was rushed in with his throat sliced open from ear to ear. Dr. Dubenko was able to quickly repair the damage, and the soldier survived.
“In civilian life, you know that no matter how horrible your shift is, it will end sooner or later,” Dr. Dubenko said. “Here, you never know when it will end.”
The general message of the article is quite simple: the AFU does not have enough people and weapons to contain the onslaught of the RF Armed Forces at the Eastern Front.
This conclusion is indirectly confirmed by the increased flow of videos and photos of killed and captured Ukrainian soldiers at the recaptured positions in recent weeks. It is also interesting that the publication particularly emphasizes the unpleasant fact for the AFU of the appearance of T-90M tanks on the battlefield.
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Map of hostilities and the situation on the fronts on the evening of February 7
⚔️The situation on the fronts for the past day:
⚫️ Svatovo-Kremennoye
Near Kremennaya without incident. At the moment, the Russian army is entrenched in its positions, continuing the counter-battery fight. T-90M tanks were also seen on an important sector of the front, constantly fighting against armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (number 1) . According to the Ministry of Defense, six brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were attacked in this direction in a day. The enemy lost over 150 militants, five armored vehicles, six vehicles and a D-30 howitzer.
⚫️ Artemovskoe (Bakhmut)
"Orchestra" continue to develop the offensive in Artemovsk . From the north, ours are suppressing the defense units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the Stupki railway station. To the north of the station, the fighters of the "orchestra" successfully carried out flank coverage of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine between the "Stupki" station and the village of Paraskovievka , and ours are also suppressing militants with fire in the Krasnaya Gora area. There is information that, south of Artemovsk , the Wagner PMC fighters cut the road between Stupochki and the village of Ivanovskoye (number 3) . If, as a result, the militants fail the defense at the turn of Chasov Yar-Krasnoe , then the RF Armed Forces and the “orchestra” will enter the operational space.
⚫️ Zaporozhye direction
Under Ugledar, the militants launched a counteroffensive. According to military correspondents, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched active counterattacks in the area of dachas (figure 2) . At the moment, the Russian army repels enemy attacks and holds the defense. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Defense reported on the successful operations of artillery in the areas of Ugledar and Vodyany DPR.
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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Highlights of Russian Military Operation in Ukraine on February 7
▪️In the Lyman sector, the enemy is redeploying reserves and additional special units to the Yampolivka area.
The advance of Russian forces to the Zherebets River will significantly complicate the Ukrainian units’ tactical position.
▪️Wagner PMC assault units have entrenched themselves on the northern outskirts of Bakhmut.
Fierce fighting is going on along the 1st Ushakov alley and in the area of Stupki station.
▪️Russian forces are pushing through the enemy's defenses in the southern districts of the city and on the approaches to Krasne.
To prevent a breakthrough in the direction of the road to Chasiv Yar, the Ukrainian command hastily redeploys additional reserves.
▪️AFU artillery continues to destroy residential buildings and infrastructure in the Donetsk agglomeration.
Residential buildings in Donetsk were damaged. A boiler house in Horlivka was destroyed. Five people were injured by shrapnel.
▪️In the completely destroyed Marinka, Ukrainian troops, despite heavy losses, continue to lead a desperate resistance.
Despite heavy fighting, Russian motorized riflemen continue to dislodge Ukrainian units from their positions near Nikolsky elevator.
▪️Near Vuhledar, Russian rocket artillery and aviation continue regularly launching strikes against the enemy's forward positions.
Ukrainian units are pulling in reserves to launch a counterattack near Mykil's'ke.
▪️The front line has stabilized in the Zaporizhzhia direction. Both sides are launching strikes with their barrel artillery and conducting mutual reconnaissance.
The enemy is fortifying its positions in the Orikhiv and Polohy sectors in anticipation of an offensive.
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