Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-11-10
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/212)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Starobelsk Direction until 11:00 on 10 Nov 2022⚡️
🩸 Fighting in the #Starobelsk direction has taken on a positional character. More than a dozen unsuccessful attempts to storm the #Svatovo - #Kremennaya line cost the AFU heavy losses.
▪️ Brigadier General Perets, the commander of the AFU Operation Task Group #Lyman, is personally inspecting the advanced positions to assess the situation and the group's ability to advance in the north of the LPR. Perets arrived in the #Nevskoye village area yesterday.
#Kupyansk Sector:
▪️ UAV crews of the 14th Mechanized AFU Brigade are using reconnaissance drones to monitor the activities of the Russian Forces near #Olshany and #Kislovka.
#Svatovka Sector:
▪️ Combined units of the AFU's 22nd Battalion of the 92th Mechanized Brigade and the 233rd Battalion of the 128th Territorial Defence Brigade, supported by artillery and aviation, attacked the Russian positions in #Kuzemovka. Russian forces repulsed the attack.
▪️ Due to massive shelling of Ukrainian positions, man-portable air defence systems are operating near #Peschanoye. And near #Novoselovskoye, a manoeuvre Signals Intelligence group of the AFU is deployed.
#Lyman Sector:
Assault commandos of the 66th Mechanized Brigade and 25th Airmobile Brigade of the AFU conducted reconnaissance in battle in the direction of #Chervonopopovka. The movement of the Ukrainian formations was fetected by UAV operators and the advancing group was dealt a blow.
#Lysychansk Sector:
Several units of the AFU's 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade and armoured vehicles of the 81st Airmobile Brigade were moved to the #Serebryanka - #Belogorovka line.
🩸 In the past 24 hours, a total of 13 Ukrainians were killed and 26 wounded, one tank, four armoured combat vehicles, one BMP and three pickups were destroyed.
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/213)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Soledar Direction until 14:00 on 10 Nov 2022⚡️
#Bakhmut Area:
▪️ The Wagner PMC assault troops continue to storm Ukrainian positions in the southeastern part of #Bakhmut and in the #Kurdyumovka area. The "Wagnerians" have advanced towards #Andreevka and #Kleshcheevka.
▪️ #Bakhmutskoye has been completely cleared out, and Russian troops are close to #Soledar. Heavy fighting is also taking place for the village of #Belogorovka, where half of the settlement is currently under the control of the musicians.
▪️ To deter the Russian offensive, AFU artillery crews are shelling the areas of #Ivangrad, #Zaitsevo and #Mayorsk. Reinforcements were moved to the contact line to reinforce the 53rd and 54th Mechanized Brigades of the AFU.
▪️ Due to significant losses in personnel and equipment, the command of the Operation Task Group Soledar plans to withdraw the 93rd Mechanized Brigade from the #Podgorodnoye - #Soledar - #Yakovlevka line for restoration, starting on 16 November
▪️ In addition, preparations are underway for a partial withdrawal of personnel of the 30th AFU Mechanized Brigade from the vicinity of #Bakhmut. The positional defence areas of the two Ukrainian formations will be handed over to separate units of the 24th Mechanized Brigade.
#Lysychansk Sector:
▪️ Fighting for (another) #Belogorovka continues. To reinforce the positions, 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade and armoured vehicles of the 81st Airmobile Brigade of the AFU have been moved to the #Serebryanka- #Belogorovka line
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⚡️ (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/4944) Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine⚡️
(10 November 2022)
◽️ The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
◽️ In Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction, the manoeuvre of Russian troops to the prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnepr River is under way, in strict accordance with the approved plan.
💥In Kupyansk direction, the enemy with up to two companies reinforced by nationalists and foreign mercenaries made unsuccessful attempts to attack units of Russian troops in direction of Kuzyomovka (Lugansk People's Republic). Through the active action of our troops and artillery fire, the enemy units were stopped and dispersed on the far approaches to the defence line. Over 90 Ukrainian personnel, one tank, and four armoured fighting vehicles have been eliminated.
💥In Krasny Liman direction, Russian troops thwarted an attempt by two reinforced platoons of the AFU to attack Stelmakhovka and Ploshchanka (Lugansk People's Republic). As a result of the shelling, the enemy's losses were 70 Ukrainian servicemen killed and wounded, one infantry fighting vehicle, and three pickup trucks.
💥In South Donetsk direction, a counterattack by AFU units has been repulsed near Nikolskoye (Donetsk People's Republic). Russian artillery and army aviation destroyed up to 55 fighters, one tank, and two armoured fighting vehicles.
💥Operational-Tactical and Army Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery has hit two command posts of the AFU and foreign mercenaries near Nikolayev and Sukhoi Stavok (Kherson region), as well as 46 artillery units in firing positions, manpower and military equipment in 153 areas.
💥Three US-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar stations have been destroyed near Krasny Liman (Donetsk People's Republic), Novogrigorovka (Kherson region), and Novopoltavka (Nikolayev region). The AFU fuel depot has been destroyed near Annovka (Dnepropetrovsk region). The AFU munitions depot of artillery was destroyed near Novoaleksandrovka, (Nikolayev region).
💥A Su-25 aircraft of the AFU has been shot down by Russian Aerospace Forces fighter aircraft near Malomikhailovskoye (Nikolayev region). A Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter has been neutralised near Rizdvyanka (Zaporozhye region).
💥 Nine unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down by air defence forces near Golikovo and Chervonopopovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Kirillovka, Yegorovka, and Novoandreyevka (Donetsk People's Republic), Vasilyevka (Zaporozhye region), and Veseloye and Krynki (Kherson region).
◽️In addition, 21 HIMARS and Olkha multiple-launch rocket systems were intercepted near Vysokoye, Tomarino, Antonovka, Nikolskoye, and Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region), as well as three HARM anti-radiation missile near Guselskoye (Donetsk People's Republic), Nikolskoye and Korsunka (Kherson region).
#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #report
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⚡️ (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/214)🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Ugledar Direction until 18:00 on 10 Nov 2022⚡️
🩸 Late in the afternoon, information emerged that the village of #Pavlovka had come fully under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. According to other sources, the AFU withdrew from the settlement but retained control of the northern approaches to the village.
The Russian Armed Forces first liberated the settlement back in the spring. In June, Ukrainian formations recaptured the village (https://t.me/rybar/34778) and in late October Russian forces launched a counteroffensive against the lost positions.
▪️ Fighting for #Pavlovka lasted several weeks, with units of the Pacific Fleet Brigade and the DPR OBTF suffered losses in personnel and equipment during the clashes.
▪️ However, Russian forces also managed to inflict heavy damage on the enemy, including the active use of Lancet (https://t.me/sitreports/652) and Kub (https://t.me/rybar/40998) loitering munitions, which disabled enemy artillery in the near rear and hit personnel in #Pavlovka itself.
▪️ There were no changes in the front line in other sections. There are skirmishes and exchanges of artillery fire near #Prechistovka and #Novomikhailovka, but no active offensive actions are being taken by the Russian Armed Forces.
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There is nowhere to retreat.
Andrei Medvedev writes:
Since last night, I've been asked several dozen times:
"What kind of a betrayal is this? What negotiations are going on and what have we exchanged Kherson for? Is this a negotiated deal? Why haven't we turned the city into a fortified stronghold? At what level have we got traitors?" And so on.
This shows that people do not believe politicians, the military, the official statements—and let's face it, there are reasons for this lack of trust. If we are at war, we are at war, not making Istanbul deals.
I have already written that for all of us, for people, it is not deprivation that scares us. But if it turns out to have been all in vain. That is the main horror. But that's not the case now.
I should say that these questions show that even in the ninth month of the war people still cannot accept the reality as it is.
If we look at Kherson, this is the case. The units defending the city had not rested and regrouped since February. The losses in equipment in the units were very significant and they were not made up for in time. Personnel losses were compensated only with the beginning of mobilization, but at the same time it is necessary to understand that the quality of mobilization training, I will say carefully, sometimes was very poor and did not meet the standards of modern warfare. How, why, because of what, and who is guilty—this is a separate topic for conversation.
And it is impossible to say that we, here, in TG channels, did not speak about problems with logistics of the Kherson grouping, especially after the destruction of the Antonov bridge. Or about the situation with equipment. How the 126th Brigade received pickup trucks from PMC Wagner, and why this happened, has been discussed by many of my colleagues.
That said, all the logistical and supply problems did not affect the bravery of the fighters. The units of the 22nd Army Corps, the Rosgvardia, and the 49th Army showed an example of incredible heroism, resilience, and courage.
How did the attempted summer breakthrough to Kherson by the Ukrainian army end? They are still counting the losses. Did you know that some units destroyed enemy equipment only with the help of ATGMs? There was nothing else. But the Russian soldiers stood their ground to the death. Even now, as they were leaving their positions, they caught the Ukrainian army in firing bags a couple of times. Again, without having the right amount of equipment.
Need I tell you further? In short, the sooner we get rid of the illusion that everything is fine with us, that we are ready for everything, the better for us. The path to victory lies through truth.
If they had started to turn Kherson into a fortification, say, in June, it would be a different story today.
If they had started replenishing the troops in the summer, the picture would be different now too. If only... But it is what it is. The result of mistakes and deceit.
Surovikin was quite honest yesterday about what is going on.
I would venture to guess how things would have ended in the case of the battle for Kherson. Ours would have held the city, perhaps for several months. At the cost of heavy casualties. Among the population as well. Among the mobilised (and are those on the home front ready for that?). In short, a mirror image of Mariupol. Further on, I don't rule out that we could see a picture of the surrender of the remnants of the garrison. Maybe not. But it looks like there was such a risk.
About the deal. Who made a deal with whom? At G20 we will be represented rather nominally, the USA give the Ukrainians money for the war as much as they can swallow, the position of Kiev is clear: “Russians surrender,” Europe in general does what Washington says and prepares for the blackouts in winter.
It was a hard day yesterday. But this is the stage of a long journey. There are years of confrontation ahead. There will be losses and victories.
But what have we decided? Are we giving up yet? Do we run on the last scooter to Tbilisi and Alma-Ata?
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦👁 Opinion: On the announced Russian #Dnipro Bridgehead Retreat⚡️
〽️ This is the third heavy defeat of the Russian Federation after #Kiev and #Kharkov (#Belakleya).
▪️ While #Kiev only damaged the reputation, after #Kharkov citizens with new Russian passports (the region was in the process of integration to Russian Federation) lost their belongings and surprised ones left behind were exposed to the purges of Ukrainian death squads. For #Kherson, on the other hand, evacuations were carried out in time in accordance with international law, as lessons were apparently learned from the #Kharkov mistakes. But with the Kherson withdrawal, #Russia is losing territory to #Ukraine.
▪️ I will not deny that the withdrawal is in line with military needs and Kadyrov and others were also involved in announcing the decision. From (most?) Russian reporters close to the state, it is signalled approval, as expected.
On the other hand, the difficult supply situation in the bridgehead region has not existed for only about two weeks. It was clear to anyone with a modicum of military understanding that the damage to the Crimean Bridge and the constant attacks on Antonovsky Bridge at #Kerson and other bridges in the region would not remain without consequences.
▪️ For many weeks, experts, @Rybar, Russian bloggers, Telegram Channels, circles in state television and journalists etc. have been calling for a tougher approach to the conflict (so have I).
▪️ Destruction of dams and attacks on power plants (even Nuclear) was started on the part of #Ukraine attacks. Has #Ukraine ever been seriously criticised for this by its Western patrons and their media? The same applies to #Ukraine's permanent warfare in violation of international law. Does #Russia believe that it will somehow be rewarded for noble warfare by the West?
▪️ The current situation. There are midterm elections in the USA, winter is coming, the situation in the unfriendly and hostile states is worsening and recently one has increasingly heard the word negotiations. And yesterday the Russian Foreign Ministry announced its willingness to negotiate, taking into account the current situation?
▪️ A PR performance could not be worse. A war is not only won on the battlefield. In the media age, public opinion is more important than ever, because #Ukraine is 100% on the drip of Western taxpayers. And now weakness is signalled so that the enemy's propaganda gets a boost again?
▪️ Back to noble warfare. The blows to #Ukraine's energy system have been half-hearted at best. We must be clear about this, #Ukraine still has power and is repairing everything rapidly.
▪️ One usually measures the success of an operation by the objectives set. But after almost 11 months, all the objectives of the "Special Military Operation" are more distant than ever. On the other hand, much further suffering has (inevitably) been caused worldwide.
▪️ The Russian leadership must realise that the conflict must end. Either you lose out in negotiations or you force the other side to accept your terms in negotiations.
💡 The Ukrainian energy system lends itself to forcing the other side to give in. The other side does not need a de-energised #Ukraine, if only because of the wave of refugees it fears.
🩸 After the loss of the Battle of #Kherson, #Russia must now act with all its might, just as the other side is doing, although the energy war was ultimately started by #Ukraine and is therefore excusable.
The long march from SMO to war: End appeasement to win.
At the start, the explicitly announced objectives of the SMO were to: demilitarize (in a sense that Ukraine returns to have a military force reasonable for its size and not able to harm Russia), denazify (eliminate extreme nationalism and the persecution of Russians and Russian Speakers), ensure Ukraine's neutrality, and force Ukraine to accept DNR, LNR and Crimea's wishes to join Russia formally.
Only the last one was perhaps unacceptable for a decent government. Territorial losses are always something bad for the national pride. But that is what negotiations are for: You say what you want and what are you willing to give.
It has never been about annexing as much of Ukrainian territory as possible, that is, until things changed. Just as during the Maidan, the West decided that war and instability are cheaper than negotiations. Russia misjudged how effective brainwashing was in the course of the eight years after Maidan (an unacceptable intelligence failure if you ask me) and the result is that none of the original goals are achievable without reducing Ukraine's economic power and relevance. What should really determine the size of post war Ukraine is the popular will, self determination, and whatever needs to be done to protect people from discrimination because of their native language. But other than that, considerably more territory will have to be taken to achieve peace in Ukraine.
If a ceasefire were to be called now, a large part (if not a majority) of Ukraine's natural resources, industry and energy would be in what is now Russia. Its GDP would decrease on the order of 30 to 40%. But this wouldn't change anything much for NATO and the EU, who see Ukraine merely as a stick to beat Russia with and a reserve of cheap labour. The fundamentals wouldn't change: they were already on the path to poverty and self destruction. More needed to be done, and almost all of that was in the direction of Kherson.
Without it, it becomes impossible, or seriously hard, to cripple Ukraine as an international power so it's no longer harmful to Russia and interesting to the NATO colonizers. It is no longer possible to landlock Ukraine, cut Ukraine from the heavy industry capacity present in Krivoy Hog, or link Priednestrovie with Russia so they are no longer susceptible to Ukraine and Moldova's blackmail, which could in the intermediate to long term even lead to ethnic cleansing.
There is very little, if anything, Russia can do behind the Dnieper that can compensate for this, and unless something radically changes, it seems that the retreat from Kherson comes with acceptance that a hostile, armed-to-the-teeth, forever-sour Ukraine will always be threatening the neighboring Russian regions and that is just how life is. There is a new iron curtain, and that curtain is, at least, as far east as the Dnieper.
The alternative is to radically change course now, and some of the fruits of this course correction might only come after the SMO. Abandoning the SMO’s objectives is not just a threat to Russia itself but to the entire world. Russia is fighting for all countries, to have the right of independent international policy.
If Russia cannot return to Kherson, and from there, to Nikolaev, first, the campaign against Ukraine's critical infrastructure started in October 10 will have to not just continue (or even re-start) but intensify. Without strategic positions, such as Kherson, Ukraine's military power will have to be weakened much further to reach a point where they will accept negotiations under the conditions necessary. Reopening the north front, even if Russia doesn't have the intention to annex it, becomes again a must to take the government out of the comfort zone.
All of this is much harder than retaining Kherson. Leaving it was perhaps unavoidable due to all the mistakes done until now. While things are not beyond salvation, those mistakes have now turned an SMO into a war.
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Now, why did we leave Kherson? We will not lamenting like the rest of the channels but will try to explain more in details why such move was unavoidable. Firstly, there was a very serious threat of drowning our big operational group in that area by destroying Kakhovka dam. That's why civilians are evacuated in the first place. True. Some decided to stay, on their own responsibility. As you saw, Ua troops are advancing carefully fearing trap. There is no trap. We built defensive fortification with reasons. To deflect Ua attacks if they happen, but primary task was to enable the extraction of army group Kherson intact which Surovikin "cryptically" announced as soon he was appointed. Yes, we could give battle to Ua army and defeat them but risking that they destroy dam so our victory would be Phyrrhic, not to mention great swats of land destroyed and render inhabitable for a long time. Secondly, our supplie lines were badly damaged and it that situation, logictic would be a nightmare, which would also cost us victory. Poonton bridges were simply not enough for such a huge amount of troops. So, back to the square one. Fortifications. We started whitdrawall in orderly fashion, evacuating and salvaging all equipment, material and troops unchallenged. Dniepr is mighty obstacle .We can immagine Ua trying to advance across it (how much they care for their troops, we wouldn't be suprised) but such endeavors are always followed (if they succed in the first place) with enormous cassulties. Ua already suffered great losses attacking Kherson, and as you could see, rather unsuccessful. We decided to retreat in a moment when is convenient to us. Apparently, we will need time to deploy all those mobilized troops and volunteers to battle zone but the way of training and equipment given to them does not imply guarding or trench duty. You are asking now, ok, how will Russia get across the Dniepr if it such a big obstacle. Who said that we will go across in next phase? Do you ever wonder that we have different objective(s) in plan? Sure, we will cross it eventually. And last but not the least, do not have illusions that Russia is beaten which many would like. Defeat of Russia means that it will cease to exist. And Russians won't go down without the fight. And in that fight, i wouldnt like to be in the skin of our enemies. Especially, Baltic "Tigers". We won't fail. Rest assured. And all those psyops groups will regret that they are even born. It became personal at one point for Russia. Wont say which one.
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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Report on the Special Military Operation, as of November 10, 2022, by @Rybar
The Russian Armed Forces continue the withdrawal of troops from the right bank part of the Kherson region. A significant part of the units were transferred to the left bank of the Dnieper along with equipment as in the preceding days, so the information that appeared on social media at night about the alleged tens of thousands of troops remaining in Kherson does not correspond to reality.
🔻Belgorod Oblast:
▪️Ukrainian units shelled border villages of the Belgorod district. A substation was damaged and there were temporary power supply problems in six settlements. There were no casualties.
🔻Starobelsk Direction (map):
▪️The Ukrainian command is pulling down its reserves and preparing to resume an offensive against the Russian Armed Forces' positions along the Yagodnoye-Orlyanskoye line in the Kupyansk area. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs are operating near Olshany and Kislovka.
▪️On the Svatovo front, units of the 22nd battalion of the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade and the 233rd battalion of the 128th Separate Brigade of the Territorial Defence of the Ukrainian army attempted to advance on Russian positions in Kuzemovka. The Russian Armed Forces repelled the enemy attack, forcing the Ukrainian troops to retreat to their initial positions.
Ukrainian units shelled Svatovo using HIMARS MLRS, damaging residential buildings and civilian infrastructure, including an asphalt plant.
▪️In the Liman area, assault units of the 66th Separate Mexhanized Brigade and the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade attempted to conduct reconnaissance-in-force in the direction of Krasnopopovka. The advancing enemy grouping was detected from the air and dispersed by heavy Russian artillery fire.
🔻The Soledar direction (map):
▪️On the Bakhmut front, units of the Wagner PMC continue to storm Ukrainian positions in the southeastern part of Bakhmut and in the Kurdyumovka area. They have also advanced towards Andreevka and Kleshcheyevka.
▪️In the Lisichansk sector, clashes continued in Belogorovka. To reinforce its defences, the enemy command moved units of the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade and armoured vehicles of the 81st Aeromobile Brigade to the Serebryanka-Belogorovka line.
Ukrainian HIMARS rocket launchers fired seven missiles at civilian infrastructure in Lisichansk. State Duma deputies and Russian Federation Council of Federation deputy chairman Andrey Turchak were in the city on a working visit; no one from the delegation was injured.
🔻Lugansk People's Republic:
▪️Ukrainian HIMARS MLRS hit residential buildings and civilian infrastructure in Stakhanov, Artyomovsk, Krynichnoye, and Kirovsk. At least two people were killed.
🔻Donetsk direction:
▪️Ukrainian units shelled Donetsk, Zaitsevo, Gorlovka, Yasinovataya and other settlements in the agglomeration. There are fatalities among civilians.
🔻 South Donetsk direction (map):
▪️Russian Armed Forces marine infantry units and fighters of the DNR's Kaskad Separate Conbat Tactical Formation (OBTF) are completing the mop-up of Pavlovka. Ukrainian units attempted a counterattack on the northern outskirts of the village in an attempt to regain lost positions.
▪️Position fighting and mutual artillery fire continue near Novomikhailovka and Prechistovka.
🔻 Southern Front: Nikolayev-Berislav direction
▪️ The Russian Armed Forces continue to withdraw to positions on the left bank of the Dnieper River, where the units are redeployed in an orderly manner.
▪️Russian troops have withdrawn over two thousand pieces of equipment, but some of the broken armoured vehicles had to be left behind due to lack of sufficient time to repair or mine them.
▪️Ukrainian units are gradually occupying settlements along the line of contact. By the evening, Ukrainian forces had reached Kiselyovka, 30 minutes' drive from Kherson. The pace of the enemy's advance has been slowed due to landmines set up before the retreat.
▪️ There were communication, power and water supply problems in Kherson in the morning.
Continued (https://t.me/Slavyangrad/19633)
Very humiliating defeat for Russia - esp. on the political and social front. Steep price that had to be paid now for a long string of omissions and mistakes done since March on this sector of the front. But the war continues...