❗️Experts estimated the consequences of the energy war between Europe and Russia at 1.6 trillion euros. Without Russian gas, the EU faces deindustrialization
The sanctions policy and the desire of the European Union (EU) to abandon Russian energy resources could cost Europe up to 1.6 trillion euros in 2023, analysts at the consulting company Yakov and Partners (the former division of McKinsey in Russia) have calculated.
The European Energy Balance in a New Reality study notes that the EU countries have launched "active regulatory and financial interventions" in an attempt to mitigate the effects of the current energy crisis. The main negative effect, according to the authors of the study, is the possible loss of competitiveness and the subsequent closure of a number of the most energy-intensive industries due to a shortage of gas and an increase in the cost of energy in general.
Depending on the development scenario, enterprises in these industries will be forced to reduce production by 10-60% from the level of 2021.
As a result of the crisis, due to a lack of gas and rising energy prices, in the worst case, EU GDP may decrease by 6.5-11.5% (0.9-1.7 trillion euros), about 16 million people will be left without work, analysts of Yakov and Partners predict.
To avoid such a development of the situation, the governments of European countries are forced to continue the "policy of manual management of the economy" and compensate for the costs to businesses and households, the review says.
Gas prices in Europe began to rise in the fall of 2021 against the backdrop of a decline in wind power generation. A new leap occurred after the start of a special military operation (SVO) in Ukraine. March 7, the cost of 1000 cubic meters. m of gas was approaching $3,900. Then the price went down, but remains stable above $1,000 per 1,000 cubic meters. m.
The situation with fuel prices is exacerbated by the cessation of Russian gas supplies via the Nord Stream 1 and Yamal-Europe pipelines and a decrease in transit through Ukraine.
According to Yakov & Partners, even taking into account all the measures taken by the EU, the rejection of Russian gas in 2023 will mean a deficit for the EU comparable to the annual consumption of France and Poland combined.
After the start of the NWO, the EU countries also began to reduce imports of oil and oil products from Russia. According to analysts, this may lead to an increase in world oil prices.
Coal prices are breaking records in the EU as well. Against the backdrop of rising energy prices in the EU, metallurgical and chemical plants began to close.
Experts interviewed by Vedomosti generally agree with the conclusions of Yakov and Partners. Finam analyst Aleksey Kalachev emphasizes that the successful development of the European economy was "largely ensured" by available energy resources, including those coming from Russia.
The threshold level of gas prices for the European economy, followed by negative consequences, according to Finam's estimates, is the range of $800-1000 per 1000 cubic meters. m. At prices above $2,000 per 1,000 cubic meters. m problems become even more serious, and countries have to resort to emergency measures - direct or indirect subsidies, additional capitalization and nationalization of enterprises.
According to experts, the further development of the EU economies will depend on how long the period of rupture of economic ties between the EU and Russia lasts.
Source
https://t.me/ukraina_ru/105164
[Forwarded from MoD Russia]
⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (October 5, 2022)
Part 1 (read Part 2 (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/4404))
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
💥 Missile attacks launched at the forward echelon and reserve forces of 92nd Mechanised Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) deployed near Shipovatoye, Shevchenkovo and Petrovka (Kharkov region) at Kupyansk direction have resulted in the elimination of up to 100 servicemen and 13 units of military equipment.
◽️ Operations near Pershotravnevoye and Orlyanskoye (Kharkov region) have resulted in causing casualties of 15 servicemen killed and up to 40 wounded.
◽️ 7 armoured combat vehicles and 5 pickups with large-calibre machine guns from 14th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have been destroyed.
💥 Massive fire attack has been launched at the manpower and equipment of 93rd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU near Druzhelyubovka (Kharkov region) and Redkodub (Donetsk People's Republic).
◽️ The attacks have resulted in the elimination of over 90 Ukrainian servicemen and 7 armoured vehicles.
◽️ Moreover, artillery fire attack has resulted in the elimination of 2 Ukrainian sabotage groups formed by a total of 21 militants near Yampolovka and Torskoye.
💥 Fire attack launched at the positions of 54th Mechanised, 80th Airborne Assault and 10th Mountain Assault brigades of the AFU near Belogorovka, Spornoye and Yakovlevka has resulted in the elimination of up to 70 militants, 1 tank, 3 armoured combat vehicles and 6 pickups with large-calibre machine guns at Lisichansk direction.
💥 Missile attack launched at the units from 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade near Rovnopolye (Zaporozhye region) has resulted in the elimination of up to 30 militants and 7 motor vehicles.
◽️ Units of Russian forces maintain their positions at Andreyevka-Krivoy Rog direction repelling superior enemy forces' attacks. Operations near Novaya Kamenka (Kherson region) have resulted in the elimination of up to 30 nationalists, 2 tanks and 4 infantry combat vehicles of the AFU.
💥 Massive fire attacks launched by Russian Aerospace Forces at the units from 35th Marine Brigade of the AFU near Davydov Brod and 128th Mountain Assault Brigade of the AFU near Dudchany (Kherson region) has resulted in the elimination of over 120 servicemen, 2 tanks and 8 armoured combat vehicles.
◽️ The enemy has lost a total of over 230 personnel, 4 tanks, 18 armoured combat vehicles, 2 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers, 2 mortars and 20 motor vehicles at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
💥 Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery have neutralised 10 AFU command posts near Kupyansk (Kharkov region), Blagodatovka and Belogorka (Kherson region), Kalinovka and Murakhovka (Nikolayev region), Novy Komar, Krasnogorovka and Druzhkovka (Donetsk People's Republic), the provisional bases of 57th Mechanised Infantry Brigade of the AFU near Kalinindorf (Kherson region), as well as the units of foreign mercenaries and nationalist groups near Konstantinovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Kharkov.
◽️ 6 missile, artillery armament and munitions depots have been destroyed near Andreyevka and Vishnyovoye (Zaporozhye region), Belokuzminovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Novoaleksandrovka (Nikolayev region).
#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #report
@mod_russia_en
[Forwarded from MoD Russia]
⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (October 5, 2022)
Part 2 (read Part 1 (https://t.me/mod_russia_en/4403))
💥 Launch of Iskander high-precision operational-tactical missile at Voznesensk military airfield has resulted in the elimination of a hangar with Bayraktar TB-2 unmanned aerial vehicles in Nikolayev region.
◽️ 1 U.S.-manufactured (AN/TPQ-36) counter-battery warfare radar has been destroyed near Murakhovka (Nikolayev region).
💥 Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down 1 MiG-29 of Ukrainian Air Force near Novovladimirovka (Nikolayev region).
💥 Air defence facilities have destroyed 6 unmanned aerial vehicles near Grakovo (Kharkov region), Novochervonoye (Lugansk People's Republic), Statomayorskoye, Urozhaynoye and Dokuchayevsk (Donetsk People's Republic).
◽️ Moreover, 15 projectiles launched by U.S.-manufactured HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS) have been destroyed in air near Korobki, Vesyoloye, Antonovka, Novaya Kakhovka, Tokarevka and Rakovka (Kherson region), 1 projectile launched by Olkha MLRS near Novaya Kakhovka and 2 HARM anti-radar missiles near Antonovka (Kherson region).
📊 In total, 313 airplanes and 157 helicopters, 2,151 unmanned aerial vehicles, 379 air defence missile systems, 5,376 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 861 combat vehicles equipped with MLRS, 3,449 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 6,277 units of special military vehicles have been destroyed during the special military operation.
⚠️ Kiev regime continued launching attacks at Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
◽️ Over the past 24 hours, AFU artillery has launched over 43 projectiles at the northern suburb of Energodar and the territory adjacent to the nuclear power plant.
◽️ The attacks were launched from AFU-controlled Marganets (Dnepropetrovsk region).
💥 Enemy firepower has been neutralised by Russian artillery's counter-attack.
❗️ The radiation environment at the nuclear power plant remains normal.
#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #report
@mod_russia_en
[ Photo ]
Map of military operations on 5 October
◽️In the Starobelsk direction, several battalions of militants have moved in two directions at once, north and south of Svatovo, trying to encircle Russian positions in the area. Our troops, for their part, are preparing for defense in earnest, as evidenced by the engineering equipment in Svatovo and Kremenna that came into the lenses of military correspondents.
◽️In the Artemovsk (Bakhmutsk) direction, unlike others, our troops are acting confidently and from a position of strength. Fighting continues in the vicinity and in the city itself, where assault units are advancing. During the day there was also information that the "orchestrators" managed to break the front already to the north of the city, from the direction of the Klinoe-Podgornoe highway. This means that the position of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is becoming even more difficult - they will have to fight back from two directions.
◽️The Russian forces are forming a new defensive line in the Beryslav direction after being forced to retreat. It now looks approximately as follows: Kostromka - Bruskinskoye - Borozenskoye - Mylovoye. No active combat operations were conducted today, both sides were entrenched on the lines, and our artillery and aviation worked on the accumulations of the enemy.
◽️ In the Kherson direction the AFU attempted to hit Ternovy Podi - the Russian fighters repulsed it. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian side took up its usual weapon of fakery and began to claim as if the AFU were already in Snigirevka. The enemy also launched low-intensity harassing attacks.
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Gavin is a bad evil American. He promotes inject kids.
ScKamala put me in jail when I ran against him
Why does Russia promote needlerape?
Weird to see the official narrative working there, but we all had to deal with it.
Wish Joey BidenHo would stop the biowarfare
"Experts estimated the consequences of the energy war between Europe and Russia at 1.6 trillion euros."
Well thats just the start, once the german economy is dead after winter it will cost alot more.