Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2023-02-13
News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Highlights of Russian Military Operation in Ukraine on February 11-12
▪️Russian troops struck at least three enemy facilities in Kharkiv.
In the Slobodsky district, the AFU personnel location at the Novaya Posta base was hit.
▪️Ukrainian units again shelled the Sudzhansky district of Kursk region.
A team of builders was hit by artillery fire in the village of Guevo: one person was killed and several civilians were wounded.
▪️In the Belgorod region, the enemy also struck at border population centers.
In Shebekino and Novaya Tavolzhanka, residential houses and civilian infrastructure were damaged: at least three civilians were injured.
▪️In the Kupyansk area, the Russian troops continue to develop their offensive: control over the northern outskirts of Hryanykivka has been established.
At the same time, having failed to withstand the onslaught, the Ukrainian units abandoned their defensive positions in Dvorichne.
▪️North of Bakhmut, Wagner PMC assault groups have established control over Krasna Hora.
The liberation of the settlement must result in breaching the enemy's defenses in Paraskoviivka.
▪️To the southwest, Russian troops are advancing towards the AFU defensive lines in the direction of Stupochky and Chasiv Yar.
At the same time, there are clashes in Krasne: though resisting stubbornly, the enemy continues to lose positions in the village.
▪️Fighting resumed in the Odesa direction: a Russian naval drone attacked the railway bridge in Zatoka.
Crews of frontline bombers in the Black Sea dropped four air bombs on the AFU' positions on Zmiinyi Island.
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🇬🇪 In the West, analysts have started talking about the possibility of Maidan in Georgia
Uncertainty in Georgia's relations with the Russian Federation and the desire of the republic to join the EU are pushing the situation to the brink, after which a military coup is possible.
Since the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine, the relationship between Georgia and Ukraine, both former Soviet republics, has significantly deteriorated (https://georgiatoday.ge/georgia-and-ukraine-from-close-friendship-to-cold-ties/) despite their traditional solidarity. Georgian authorities formally condemned Russia’s “unacceptable“ invasion of Ukraine and provided humanitarian assistance and diplomatic support through organizations such as the United Nations. However, the Georgian government’s refusal to impose sanctions on Russia sparked widespread discontent among the population, as demonstrated by the anti-government protests calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili
Georgia's ruling party, Georgian Dream, does not want to burn bridges with Russia, so pro-European reforms are stalled. The incumbent government refuses to impose sanctions, while at the same time, internal political forces are rocking the situation by pushing NATO interests.
"Ivanishvili's credibility gives him relative political stability so far." But his "experience of cooperation with the Kremlin" is causing real tension in the U.S., which has put years of active information processing into the Georgian population.
And despite claims from members of Georgian Dream, it is clear that Ivanishvili (https://jam-news.net/who-is-an-oligarch-exactly/) still wields significant power in Georgian politics. With a history of business in Russia and close connections to the Kremlin, Ivanishvili has maintained a tight grip on Georgia’s leading institutions for the past decade. Interestingly, there have been no criticisms of Ivanishvili from Moscow, possibly due to his promise to improve relations (https://www.rferl.org/a/analysis-georgia-ivanishvili-and-the-russians/24733895.html) between the two countries when his Georgian Dream party came to power in 2012. Ivanishvili’s influence and connections continue to shape the political landscape in Georgia
The Georgian government’s deviation from Western-backed democratic reforms has jeopardized the country’s relations with the EU and United States.
As Georgia edges closer to Russia, tensions may escalate if the Georgian people seek to replace their country’s pro-Russian leaders.
In this regard, it is possible that the next step really will be the organization of a revolution led by Victoria Nuland, the reason for which will be the "desire of the people to oust the pro-Russian leadership."
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/should-we-expect-georgian-maidan-206187
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