Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-06-02

News, Telegram, and Twitter Articles

Daily Reports From Ukraine Archives

Telegram Sources

Armchair Warlord @ArmchairW

Alright team, looks like the MQ-1C Gray Eagle is the new "game-changer." Apparently we're sending the Ukrainians four of them. It's basically a Bayraktar with one more sensor on it and worse survivability.

Rob Lee @RALee85

Two-part video from the Ukrainian Ground Forces showing artillery strikes on a Russian armored column with T-72 tanks and BMPs. facebook.com/watch/?v=33294…

---

---

Denyo 666 @Denyo666

RF forces captured Yarova South-East of Izyum and Komyshuvakha North of Popasnaya. RF forces entered Svyatohirsk after capturing Yarova, some say that the RF forces already captured that town but not confirmed yet. RF forces took control of the majority of the city Severdonetsk.

TBerg @thomasbergman87

Der Spiegel says this is where you can find Ukraine taking back Kherson, but all you see is wreckage from their defeat.

🇷🇺The man who saved the world🇷🇺 @ILRUSSO1

⚔️⚔️⚔️Svyatogorsk now 1️⃣Russian troops entrenched on the outskirts of the city (red line) 2️⃣The explosion marked the destroyed positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (the Nazis were located at recreation centers), there were also warehouses with fuel and lubricants 1/3

OSINT Aggregator @AggregateOsint

#Lyman Axis - #Ukrainian GenStaff acknowledged an attack on Raihorodok in the last 12 hours. This means that #Russia has almost certainly captured the towns of Shchurove & Brusivka. #RuAF will struggle to attack Raihorodok due to swamp land to the NE, b/w #RuAF and the town.

Theo Fletcher @Theo_Fletcher_1

Before the war...

The MSM's Ukraine neo-Nazi Amnesia

Hawkeye1745 @Hawkeye1745

Fantastic new exhibit at the Honolulu Museum of Art entitled, "Ukrainian Energy Expert".

Dr.Snekotron @snekotron

406th artillery brigade of the UAF Nazis in the village of Zhovtneve was leveled by Russian Air Strikes. Losses are as follows: 12 British-made M777 artillery mounts, an ammunition depot, as well as personnel - 90 killed and 51 wounded - according to local media.

---

A Skeptic’s Best Guess on Final Map

The Red line is current Russian border. The Yellow line is current battle line. The Green line is Moldova government held border. The Aqua line is worst case new south eastern border for Ukraine. The Fuchsia line is minimum northwest border for New Russia.

The logic is based on possible political support. Russia likely has little desire to hold territory where popular support is unlikely to be achieved. It would require too much ongoing military support to subdue unrest. It is likely that Russia wishes to avoid an insurgency after the conflict. For that reason, and others, Russia will have little desire to seize Western Ukraine. The current mandate in Russia does not include seizing Western Ukraine.

In the elections prior to the 2014 coup, areas south and east of the Fuchsia line aligned with the pro Russia candidate by 60% to 93%. It can be argued that previous pro Russian support will have been weakened by war. It can also be argued that previous Western supporters will have likely fled areas controlled by Russia.

The area between the Fuchsia line and the Aqua line is unpredictable. It had 60% to 70% support for the pro Western candidate. Never the less, the area has vital strategic interests. The biggest interest is the Kremenchuk Hydroelectric Power Plant. Aside from energy interests, failure to secure that dam would leave the downstream area vulnerable. The area may end up as a heavily fortified no mans land where NATO insurgents and soldiers of fortune come to fight Russians.

The area between the Green and Fuchsia line is Transnistria. It will be part of New Russia in some form.

In addition to the political maps, we should consider the language maps of Ukraine. Russia is unlikely to leave behind large populations of native Russian speakers.

Daily Report from the Ukraine Field for 2022-06-01

---