🌎🇺🇦 Results of the year of the SMO: how the opinion of people in the West has changed
The special military operation led to noticeable, first of all, economic changes in many countries of the world, and over the past year, millions of people have revised their attitude towards the events in Ukraine.
Rybar's team, together with colleagues @terrabellum, analyzed the reports of foreign sociological centers to tell how the opinion of Westerners on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has changed.
▪️Answering the abstract question: "Which side do you support?", the majority of Westerners still choose the option "I support Ukraine."
According to polls conducted by the Ipsos and IFOP agencies, 82% of the British and 61% of the Germans surveyed support the AFU.
▪️At the same time, the vast majority of respondents in 28 countries are sure that their country should avoid direct participation in the conflict.
Compared to March-April 2022, the number of opponents to participation in hostilities grew the most in Australia, Chile and the United States.
🔻What makes Western citizens change their point of view?
Despite the fact that the overall level of support for Ukraine in the West is still quite high, the dynamics shows a decrease in the approval of supplies and financial assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Many citizens began to directly link their low standard of living with unjustified spending on the war.
▪️In Germany, 52% of respondents approve of deliveries, compared to 66% in spring 2022; in Poland and Italy, this figure fell by 11 and 8 points, respectively. The number of Americans who support sending weapons has decreased from 60% to 48%.
▪️Dramatic changes have also taken place in relation to the reception of Ukrainian refugees.
European countries are forced to spend a share of the budget to resolve this problem, and their inhabitants are beginning to be afraid to walk the streets. Over the past year, the number of supporters of accepting refugees has decreased by several points in absolutely all countries that took part in the survey, except for South Korea.
▪️The least desire to help Ukraine is experienced by countries that already have enough economic problems, and states on whose shoulders the main burden of providing support for the Kyiv regime has fallen.
According to Euroskopia, in January 2023, every second resident of Spain, Italy and Greece was in favor of a speedy end to the conflict, even if the Ukrainian government had to make territorial concessions to Russia.
Respondents from Germany and Austria are also waiting for the completion of the SVO. Of course, in Poland, Great Britain and the Baltic States, the opposite trend is observed.
🔻 Do polls reflect the real state of affairs?
Some research centers resort to tricks to manipulate the picture of what is happening.
At the end of 2022, the IFOP asked citizens of the EU countries whether they want "the European Union to achieve a peaceful settlement of the conflict, while providing weapons for the Armed Forces of Ukraine?" 70% of the respondents answered in the affirmative, but it is obvious that if the questions about peace and about the supply of arms were asked separately, the results would be different.
The final wording helped to mask the fact that there were significantly fewer supporters of the transfer of weapons to Ukraine.
▪️As @terrabellum explains, the decline in popular support for a set of issues related to Ukraine (especially in the US, France and Germany) demonstrates a public demand for a speedy resolution of the conflict.
If this does not happen, the countries of the West risk facing even more economic and social problems.
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Soledar direction
situation as of 15.00 February 24, 2023
🔻In the north of Bakhmut, the assault on the village of Yagodnoye continues. After the liberation of Berkhovka, the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine seriously deteriorated. Assault detachments of the PMC "Wagner" pushed back the forces of the 25th rifle battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the outskirts of Yagodnoye - a settlement practically under the control of Russian units.
▪️To the west of Berkhovka, fighting is going on at dachas near Dubovo-Vasilevka. The Ukrainian command is trying to hold the village: fire support for the defenders is provided by cannon and rocket artillery from Bogdanovka. However, the dominating hills north of Dubovo-Vasilevka are already controlled by the Wagnerites, so it is becoming increasingly difficult for the Armed Forces of Ukraine to keep this area.
▪️To the north, clashes continue at the Zaliznyanskoye-Vasyukovka line, as well as in the direction of Orekhovo-Vasylivka. The forces of the 123rd battalion of the 113th sbr of TD tried to hit the flank of the advancing group of Russian troops from Minkovka and recapture a section of the route to Slavyansk, but the forces of the Wagner PMC repelled the attack.
🔻 Positional battles are going on in Bakhmut. The "Wagnerites" deepened on the eastern outskirts of the city in the Zabakhmutovka area, gaining a foothold in the quarter adjacent to Shchedraya Street. In the south-west, assault detachments entered the suburban areas.
🔻In the south-west of Bakhmut, the assault detachments of the "Wagnerites" resumed their offensive on Krasnoe and in the direction of the road to Konstantinovka. Now the fighting is going on on the outskirts of the settlement, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are using ground attack aircraft to contain units of the Wagner PMC.
#Bakhmut #digest #Donetsk #map #Lugansk #Russia #Soledar #Ukraine
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Starobilsk direction
situation as of 16.00 February 24, 2023
There are no visible changes in the front line in the Starobelsky direction. Mutual artillery shelling is taking place along the line of contact, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are reinforcing their positions on the right bank of the Oskol River in case of an offensive by Russian troops.
🔻 In the Kupyansky sector, the 1st tank company of the 10th battalion of the 3rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the amount of five tanks was transferred from Staroverovka to the Dvurechnaya area. After refueling, the crews took up prepared positions.
▪️The Ukrainian command is considering the possibility of a counteroffensive on Dvurechnoye to return the lost territories. However, the scenario is unlikely due to large losses in manpower and the transfer of some units to other sectors of the front.
So, in the 14th Smbre, a gap has already formed, which is quickly filled by the mobilized. As a result of yesterday's strike by the Russian Armed Forces on the brigade's personnel deployment point, 32 people were killed.
🔻 Separate units of the 67th Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as a mobile EW group, have been transferred to the Kolesnikovka-Zagryzovo line at the Svatovsky sector. The newly created formation was supposed to operate in the operational reserve of the AFU grouping in the Kharkiv region, however, due to a change in the situation, it is actively used on the front line.
🔻In the Limansky sector, Ukrainian paratroopers at the turn of Torskoye - Kirovsk are experiencing a shortage of ammunition. At the moment, artillery crews can only fire at confirmed targets.
▪️AFU reinforcements arrived at the positions of the 1st battalion of the 25th airborne brigade and the 13th battalion of the 95th airborne brigade in Terny, Yampolovka and Torsk, as well as radio stations and drone control panels were handed over.
#digest #map #Kupyansk #Russia #Starobelsk #Ukraine
Dmitry Medvedev : Victory will be achieved. We will Push the borders of threats to our country as far as possible, even if these are the borders of Poland 🇵🇱
It's been a year now that a special operation is underway. A year of our soldiers restoring order, peace, and justice to our land, protecting our people, and destroying the roots of neo-Nazism They are heroes.
They have the whole country helping them by supplying them with everything they need.
Victory will be achieved. We all want it to happen as soon as possible. and that day will come. We will take back our territories and reliably protect our people, who have suffered during the years of genocide and shelling.
What's next?
Then there will be negotiations, which I am sure will be difficult and nerve-racking. First of all, the formal negotiators on our adversary's side are few, but the actual leaders are quite different (the formal negotiators are different from the actual decision makers) And the decisions for the Kiev regime will certainly not be made by someone named Zelensky, if he is still alive, or by his clique. The decision will be made across the ocean by those in charge of supplying weapons to Kiev and allocating money to support the remaining Ukrainian economy. The motives of our country's main enemies are obvious: to weaken Russia as much as possible and to permanently debilitate us. Therefore, they are not interested in ending the conflict. But sooner or later, according to the laws of history, they will do so. And then some kind of agreement will emerge. Naturally, without fundamental agreements about real borders or a new Helsinki Pact to ensure security in Europe, just some kind of agreement.
Then, most likely, an equally difficult time will begin. Months and years of exhausting confrontation, hysteria, and boredom on the part of those who will govern what remains of Ukraine Their fate is unenviable.
They will not be able to accept the outcome of the SMO without risking execution on the same day. The nationalists will continue to control the cabal in power because none of them has an ideology other than Bandera neo-Nazism. Admitting defeat is like death for them. Therefore, the ideology of "Maybuthny peremogi" can remain for a long time.
And at some point, the new "bloody boys," who call themselves the legal Ukrainian government, will again provoke a global conflict, nailed to the wall by the Banderovites, who have once again become rampant. It doesn't matter if it's on the eve of elections or just another Maidan.
This cannot be allowed to happen.
That is why it is so important to achieve all the goals of the special military operation. to push back the borders of threats to our country as far as possible, even if it is the borders of Poland. to destroy neo-Nazism to the ground. to avoid wasting time catching the remnants of the bandera gangs in the forests of Malorussia. so that the world can find its long-awaited tranquility.
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Trump as a peace candidate? Give me a break. He was only slightly less bellicose than Obama and hired Pompeo and Bolton to screw up anything good he managed to accomplish.