Russia-Ukraine Reports - 2023-07-02 (1)
It’s clear that a Zaporozhye nuclear incident is the number one priority of Ukraine in the next few days. The incident must occur ahead of the NATO summit, which will begin on July 11.
The idea appears to be that NATO may be compelled to intervene if the optics suggest that Russia has used Zaporozhye as a dirty bomb. At a minimum, the west would be compelled to ramp up support. As such, we’re going to focus on that front more this week.
Spooks gearing up for Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant false flag. MSM helps lay the groundwork to convince us that Russia is losing, and will blow up Zaporizhzhia.
(It’s non paywalled, because it is important propaganda)
If you read nothing else, read this one:
It is one of the most important aspects of our media system, and yet hardly known to the public: most of the international news coverage in Western media is provided by only three global news agencies based in New York, London and Paris.
The key role played by these agencies means Western media often report on the same topics, even using the same wording. In addition, governments, military and intelligence services use these global news agencies as multipliers to spread their messages around the world.
A study of the Syria war coverage by nine leading European newspapers clearly illustrates these issues: 78% of all articles were based in whole or in part on agency reports, yet 0% on investigative research. Moreover, 82% of all opinion pieces and interviews were in favor of a US and NATO intervention, while propaganda was attributed exclusively to the opposite side.
Ukraine War Analyses
Everyone knows the western media narrative already. The western narrative is that Putin is insane, dying, and trying to rebuild the Soviet Union. If you are content with that, stick with MSNBC. Our normal format is daily reports. This section is for articles, discussions, and data that remain relevant over time. Each is a clickable link to a full articl…
The Ukraine Must be Shifted towards “Ethnic Nationalism”
…Ukraine has one other diplomatic asset. Thus far, the “state ideology” is organized largely around the idea of “civic” rather than “ethnic” nationalism. Anybody can be a citizen of Ukraine, and a good “Ukrainian.” Russians are not a persecuted minority. There are small ethnically Ukrainian elements who might wish to change this orientation. But “civic nationalism” is congenial to the West. Insofar as any future struggle can be portrayed as the “ethnic” Russians against the “civic” Ukrainians, the path of western intervention is eased. Moreover, it is not inconceivable that other states will draw a tragic lesson from an unopposed Russian “liberation” of its brethren in Ukraine. One is better off expelling such potential irredenta.
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 (https://qr.nspk.ru/BS1A0068ID10D33B9IBAQRQ4M9T0NIFN?type=01&bank=100000000008&crc=36CB) Highlights of Russian Military Operation in Ukraine on July 1-2
In the Bakhmut direction, Ukrainian formations continue to try to seize important strongholds and heights in small assault groups in order to continue to cover the city. Russian troops are holding the line, from time to time conducting counterattacks.
In the Zaporizhia direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine once again attacked the positions of the Russian Armed Forces north of Rabotino: the enemy was able to penetrate the defense by about 300 meters, but after regrouping, the Russian assault detachments launched a counterattack and recaptured most of the lost territories.
In the Kherson direction, fighting in the coastal zone near the Antonovsky bridge does not subside. At the same time, a complete cleansing of the area is complicated by the active work of enemy artillery on the opposite bank of the Dnieper.
Ukrainian formations, in addition to shelling front-line settlements, tried to strike at a military airfield on the northeastern outskirts of Primorsko-Akhtarsk in the Krasnodar Territory: thanks to the successful work of air defense, casualties and damage were avoided.
The situation on the front line and the fighting
In the Starobelsky direction, fighting continues near Kremennaya: Russian troops are methodically advancing in the area of Serebryansky forestry, and also stop the actions of the enemy’s DRG on the Torsky ledge. At the site of the RF Armed Forces, artillery and drones are actively used to destroy manpower and armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In addition, in the Svatovsky area, Russian fighters are fighting fierce battles in the Novoselovsky area.
Clashes and artillery duels continue along the entire front line in the Soledar direction. In the northeast of Bakhmut, after several days of continuous attacks from Razdolovka, the situation stabilized. The fact that the units of the 10th Guards Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were able to occupy was already recaptured by Russian fighters. At the same time, the artillerymen of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are conducting an active counter-battery fight: one of the guns of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was destroyed today.
The main events in the last two days have unfolded around Berkhovka and the reservoir - enemy units are trying to break through by rail south of the reservoir. As in other areas, the Ukrainian command uses the tactics of small infantry groups, whose task is to gain a foothold in the forest belt, regardless of losses. Yesterday, the enemy managed to break through to the village, but the fighters of the RF Armed Forces managed to recapture their lost positions. The strongholds themselves in the area are changing hands, but the situation is generally under control.
Also, Ukrainian units are conducting rollbacks on the positions of the 137th regiment of the 106th airborne division near Soledar with the support of high-precision artillery, including the HIMARS MLRS, from which they are trying to hit rear targets. Similar attacks are going on in the south on the Kleshcheevka-Kurdyumovka line. Small assault groups of combined Ukrainian brigades are trying to seize important strongholds and heights in order to continue to cover Bakhmut.
In the Donetsk direction, positional battles continue in the area of Vodyanoye and Experienced. The enemy is making attempts to roll on to the advanced strongholds of the RF Armed Forces, however, incurring losses from the fire of Russian artillery and aviation, he returns to his original positions. In Marinka, fighting continues on the western outskirts of the destroyed city, the enemy is moving new units, not intending to retreat from the settlement.
On the Vremievsky sector of the front, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to attack in small groups at the Priyutnoye-Staromayorskoye line. Russian units have so far managed to contain the enemy, destroying dozens of militants every day.
Rybar
In the Zaporozhye direction near Orekhov, from early morning, assault groups of the 65th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been attacking the positions of the Russian army north of Rabotino. As a result of the ensuing battle in the forest plantation, the fighters of the 1430 regiment of the RF Armed Forces retreated to reserve positions on the left flank. The enemy was able to penetrate approximately 300 meters into the defense of the RF Armed Forces. A little to the east, servicemen of the 71st MRR were able to hold back the onslaught of the Ukrainian formations. A little later, after regrouping, the Russian assault detachments launched a counterattack and recaptured about 150 meters from the forest plantation. At the moment, the fighting continues.
In the Kherson direction, Russian units continue to eliminate the remnants of Ukrainian formations in the coastal zone near the Antonovsky bridge. At the same time, the process of clearing the area is significantly complicated by the active work of enemy artillery on the opposite bank of the Dnieper.
Shelling of rear territories and residential areas
In the Krasnodar Territory, on the northeastern outskirts of Primorsko-Akhtarsk, a powerful explosion thundered, at the site of which a huge funnel was formed about 30 meters in diameter and up to four meters deep. Apparently, the target of the raid was a nearby military airfield. The attack on the object could be delivered both by modified anti-aircraft missiles of the S-200 complex, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine had already used to attack Crimea, and by the Grom-2 OTRK. The version of the downed drone circulating on the Web seems unlikely - the size of the funnel is too large. According to official information, there were no injuries or casualties.
In the Kursk region, Ukrainian formations attacked the Glushkovsky district: local residents reported at least seven arrivals near the village of Elizavetovka. There were no casualties or damage, but power lines were damaged. There were temporary problems with the electricity supply in the village.
In the neighboring Belgorod region, the village of Dronovka came under fire twice: residential buildings, as well as power and gas supply lines were damaged, and there were no casualties among the population. In addition, Russian air defense systems intercepted a drone in Nizhny Olshanets.
Ukrainian formations throughout the day conduct indiscriminate fire on the settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration. The civilian infrastructure and residential buildings of the capital of the DPR, Gorlovka, Makeevka and the village of Golmovsky were under attack. Two people were injured.
Ukrainian formations continue the settlements of the left bank of the Kherson region, firing at least 51 shells at civilian targets in Nova Kakhovka, Kakhovka, Krynki and Vasylivka.
Political events
About Western weapons in the service of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
The German edition Der Spiegel writes that a conflict arose between Polish and German companies due to the fact that the parties cannot agree on how to repair the Leopard tanks supplied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The Polish company PGZ wants to receive about 100,000 euros for initial diagnostics, while in Germany this service costs ten times less. In addition, the Poles do not want to take responsibility for repairs. Due to the current situation, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius plans to hold talks with his Polish counterpart.
In addition, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that Germany does not want to supply Ukraine with weapons that could be used to attack Russian territory.
On the possible entry of Ukraine into NATO
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba said in an interview with Politico that the refusal to accept Ukraine into NATO would allegedly be suicidal for the Euro-Atlantic space due to the fact that Russia, according to Kuleba, can "unleash aggression against Europe."
On the situation around the Zaporozhye NPP
Rybar
The Ukrainian authorities and media people continue to claim that Russia is allegedly preparing to undermine the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. At the same time, the IAEA and representatives of most Western countries say that there are no signs of preparations for this.
In the wake of rumors, Ukrainian information boards are actively processing users on the network. The population is given various medicines and training in case of sabotage. The authorities of the regions add fuel to the fire, artificially whipping up hysteria with a shortage of water and supplies. Training in case of radioactive contamination began to be carried out with Ukrainian units on the front line. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine takes advantage of the isolation of the personnel on the front line from the real picture, assuring them of an imminent attack by the RF Armed Forces on a nuclear facility.
The meaning of a whole complex of such events is to prepare public opinion. With such stuffing and artificial inflating of the threat to the authorities of Ukraine, with the support of Western intelligence services, they legend the real state of affairs and the course of events.
At the same time, the flight of the American radiological control aircraft WC-135R Constant Phoenix to the Souda air base on the island of Crete and the hysteria caused by this fact on the Web fit perfectly into the outline of events around the ZNPP. The WC-135R, in addition to collecting air samples and tracking nuclear waste emissions into the atmosphere (which is why it often flies off the coast of Iran), is also called a "weather reconnaissance" because of its ability to monitor climate change.
#digest #Russia #Ukraine
https://t.me/militarysummary/2342
The Armed Forces of Ukraine went on the offensive against Zaporozhye again. What can be expected?
The Armed Forces of Ukraine again launched an offensive against Zaporozhye. So far, their main efforts have been concentrated in the direction of the village of Rabotino, where units of the RF Armed Forces are holding the line, but the movement and accumulation of units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in other sectors of the front are gradually being recorded.
Kyiv cannot now stop the offensive on Zaporozhye and the South-Donetsk direction: its importance is too high, therefore, all the forces that they can find are being pulled to the front.
Armed Forces of Ukraine has been trying to attack for a month now, but in the next few days, activity is likely to be significantly increased: ahead of the NATO summit, which will begin on July 11. By the beginning of the summit, the Ukrainian army must show at least a minimal result on the battlefield. If this does not happen, the scale and parameters of military assistance may be revised, and questions will arise for the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the country's top leadership.
Despite heavy losses (they are estimated at 23-26 thousand people) and the commissioning of a significant part of the strategic reserve, about six brigades remain in the unused asset of the Ukrainian army. Some units are removed from other directions - Krasnolimansky, Kherson, Kupyansky, etc.
In parallel with the intensification of hostilities in a number of sectors of the Zaporozhye region, atypical activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in other sectors of the front has been recorded over the past week.
In particular, attacks by small groups in the area of Soledar and an attempt to land on the left bank of the Dnieper in the area of the Antonovsky bridge.
Several attempts were unsuccessful and did not lead to any major changes at the front, although they attracted attention.
Judging by the fact that no significant troop movements were recorded in either direction, most likely both episodes are distracting or could only develop if they were initially successful.
The main task of the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for the sake of which diversionary actions are being taken along the entire front line, may lie elsewhere.
There is a possibility that units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will risk organizing a raid in the area of Energodar and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
Brief summary of the situation at the front.
Zaporozhye front. Orekhovo-Polozhsk direction.
The enemy began to form battle formations to prepare for large-scale offensive operations in the Orekhov tactical direction, the deadline for readiness is July 5, depending on weather conditions.
As part of these actions, today he was preparing for the transfer of one of the battalions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the 65th brigade to the starting lines.
Over the past 24 hours, he tried to attack the objects of the RF Armed Forces in the depth of the operational formation with the help of tactical aircraft, namely: Su-27, six Su-25, and four Su-24.
Used airfields: Starokonstantinov, Mirgorod, Dnipro.
The most active were the forces from the composition of the 33 ombr.
As a result of the fire strikes of the RF Armed Forces on the accumulation of forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the village of Rabotino, the enemy suffered losses in manpower, up to 40 people,
the evacuation of the wounded was carried out by the forces of 65 ombr.
In the face of constant strikes by the RF Armed Forces, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine undertook many efforts to organize the supply of advanced units to maintain combat capability.
These activities were only partially successful, due to adverse weather conditions, the delivery of ammunition to strongholds was difficult, and some of the equipment was unable to overcome difficult road conditions due to heavy rains.
As a result of unsuccessful offensive actions and high sanitary losses, in many units of the 47th, 65th ombr of the Armed Forces of Ukraine operating in the Orekhovskoye direction, there is a drop in the level of the moral and psychological state of the mobilized personnel, the officers were reported on the case of suicide mobilized.
In parallel, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Novosibirsk State University are conducting exercises to prepare military personnel for actions in the conditions of an accident at the ZNPP.
Data is being collected on the availability of personnel to calculate the required number of doses of the potassium iodide preparation, a remarkable fact that special attention is paid to the personal files of military personnel over 40 years old.
Also, behind enemy lines, between the military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there were talks about the defeat on the night of June 30 this year, one of the industrial enterprises in the part of the Zaporozhye region, temporarily controlled by the enemy.
South-Donetsk direction.
The enemy forces are carrying out measures to secure the Vremievsky direction on the occupied lines.
Units of the 31st brigade organized engineering reconnaissance of the area and carried out the transfer of MANPADS crews to advanced positions.
To replenish 35, and 36, the enemy is transferring personnel from among the mobilized citizens who have been trained in one center in the city of Lutsk.
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Bridgehead near Antonovsky bridge cleared, but risks remain - Kherson direction still requires special attention
After the Antonovsky Bridge was destroyed yesterday by an Iskander strike (https://t.me/readovkanews/61750), under which the enemy’s DRGs set up fortified positions, the Ukrainian bridgehead was cleared. The fighting on a tiny patch of land lasted for almost a week, primarily since the Armed Forces of Ukraine pulled up large artillery forces to this sector of the front to support their landing. Before the Russian army could crush the remnants of enemy saboteurs, it had to first deal with the Ukrainian artillery, and this is not at all a trivial task, even taking into account a certain shortage of shells in Kiev.
This attack can be considered as a reconnaissance in force and a kind of "test of the pen." The enemy is trying to understand how realistic the plan with the crossing of the Dnieper is in general and whether it will be possible to achieve success in this sector, or if it can only be about distracting actions of the DRG. In addition, do not forget about the site in the Zaporozhye direction, upstream of the Dnieper. The Kakhovka reservoir has completely dried up, and in the hot July sun (and now it is under 30 degrees there), the silt hardens and becomes quite passable.
Can the hysteria dispersed in the Ukrainian media about the upcoming undermining of the ZNPP be a prelude to an attempt by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to force the Dnieper at the site of the former reservoir? Why not.
The enemy is now rushing about like a wounded animal. He is bogged down in battles in the foreground in Zaporozhye, but can still deliver a sharp and deadly blow. So far, it is too early to write off the Armed Forces of Ukraine. It is not at all necessary that the enemy will try to strike precisely in the Kherson direction. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will try any options along the entire length of the front from the Kinburn Spit to the border of the Bryansk region and Belarus - and they still have someone else to try.
The task of predicting the direction of this strike and preparing to repel it is now one of the most important. To expect that the enemy will continue to kill himself against the defense of the RF Armed Forces until the last reserves are spent is the height of naivety.
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#source (https://t.me/readovkaru/3675)
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Given current narrative molding around the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, I'd like to get ahead of the story and preemptively say this in case things get stupid in the near future.
__
-It is physically impossible for a nuclear reactor to undergo a nuclear detonation.
Chernobyl was a steam explosion and even this cannot happen with the ZNPP design.
-A reactor requires coolant circulation for about 7-10 days after shutdown. After this it is in "cold shutdown", and although it still requires coolant, it no longer requires circulation of coolant. The reactor can be completely disconnected from the electrical grid or backup diesels and still be perfectly safe.
Even if the entire Dnieper river evaporated, the ZNPP would simply circulate on diesel backup until cold shutdown.
-The reactors at ZNPP are encased in concrete containment buildings designed specifically to withstand potential terrorist attacks up to an aircraft smashing into them.
No single shell or bomb will breach the containment building, let alone the containment vessel of the actual reactor within.
-A nuclear meltdown is only a catastrophe in that it bricks the reactor. It does not cause a nuclear explosion nor release dangerous amounts of radiation.
Hydrogen explosions are possible (and probable) in such an event, which may breach containment and lead to radiation leakage depending on reactor design, but this leakage is as minor as to be ignored (see Fukushima, Three Mile Island in depth) despite whatever media panic circulates on the news.
You will often hear, "radiation is 1,400 times background norm!" from MSM, but 1,400 times zero is still zero.
Overall point:
The ZNPP is perfectly safe from both, breach and meltdown no matter what Ukraine does outside of accurately laying down hundreds to thousands of artillery shells over time.
So if, and that’s a heavy if, something stupid goes down, don’t panic.
P.S. potassium iodide is useless for such, don’t waste your money.
—
~ГГ opinion, not to be taken as representative of SLG.
The above article neglects to consider that the cooling ponds are mostly unprotected, and thus an easy dirty bomb.
Paratroopers from Buryatia massively destroy the enemy on the outskirts of Artyomovsk
Combat work of the 11th Separate Guards Air Assault Brigade.
Airborne troops watch the movement of APU equipment on the Chasov-Yar-Krasnoe (Ivanovskoye) road near Artemovsk (Bakhmut).
Once detected, the transport is destroyed by guided missiles.
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The hysteria continues - against the backdrop of dispersal of panic around the ZNPP, a special nuclear monitoring board arrived in Europe
Recently, every second news coming from the territory of Ukraine is connected with the swinging by the authorities of an independent panic around the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. A few days ago, we already witnessed mass exercises in case the evil Russians decide to blow up their own station. In addition, yesterday the giant of thought Zelensky shared another revelation - it turns out that Russia is going to leave the station and then treacherously blow it up remotely. And as if the degree of psychosis was still not enough, today the Western "allies" of Ukraine sent a plane to Europe to control radioactive emissions.
A special nuclear monitoring aircraft arrived in Crete - the only aircraft of this type in service with the US Air Force - WC-135R Constant Phoenix. The last time this rare bird appeared in the skies over the Eurozone was in 2022 - the aircraft is usually used to observe the Korean peninsula. The aircraft is used to collect samples from the atmosphere to detect radioactive substances and identify nuclear explosions. At the moment, the WC-135R has landed at the base of Chania, on the island of Crete.
The appearance of such highly specialized equipment in Europe, coupled with the “nuclear” rhetoric of Ukrainian speakers and dispersed hysteria, is not at all like an accident. Now, to the words of her own talking heads, Bankovaya can add a new argument - "America is with us", against which, as you know, there can be no arguments in Ukraine. The desire to block failures at the front and expose Russia as a monster who wants to arrange an apocalypse are the main motivators for provoking panic in the independent society.
True, one should not relax - the enemy has proved many times that he is capable of any meanness, so you can expect anything. Especially when the hat is already starting to smoke on the thief.
#source (https://t.me/readovkaru/3680)
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Meat grinder in the Krasno-Limansk direction: The fighters of the "🅾️" group hold their positions
➖ In the area of the village of Torskoye, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launched 2 attacks by infantry with the support of infantry fighting vehicles from the composition of 95 dshbr and 125 obrTerO. The enemy was driven back by artillery fire.
▫️ Ukrainian DRG was discovered and liquidated.
➖ From the side of the village of Yampolovka, armored groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the 21st and 63rd Motorized Rifle Brigade attempted to break through our defensive lines. The enemy was destroyed by artillery and army aviation fire.
➖ In the area of Serebryansky forestry, special forces detachments stopped the activities of 2 enemy DRGs.
➖ In the area of N. p. Chervonaya Dibrova, the enemy, with the support of a tank and an infantry fighting vehicle from the 100th detachment, attacked our positions. The enemy was driven back by ATGM crews and artillery fire.
▫️Reconnaissance discovered and destroyed the DRG of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
➖ From the Nevskoye settlement, the infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the support of a tank and 3 infantry fighting vehicles from the 66th brigade and 1st brigade, launched 2 attacks on our strongholds. Having suffered heavy losses, the enemy retreated. Positions held.
🏹 Near N. p. Golikov, the Buk-M3 air defense system shot down Himers MLRS rocket and an aircraft-type UAV of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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Statements by Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, made during an interview with Rossiyskaya Gazeta:
▪️ The course of the AFU counter-offensive proved unexpected for Kiev's Western sponsors, who believed in the "omnipotence of unlimited dough". The defeat of the AFU in the Artemovsk direction was a foregone conclusion;
▪️ European businesses that have left Russia are "biting their elbows", lamenting their lost revenues. It has permanently lost the Russian market; goods have been replaced by others. Production growth in Russia is "much higher than in Europe", and inflation at the end of the year will be lower than in the eurozone;
▪️ Russia was forced to conduct a special military operation to protect its sovereignty and millions of people. The Kiev regime should be scrapped and banned as fascist;
▪️ The situation in Ukraine is not a regional conflict but a total confrontation between the collective West and the rest of the world. The confrontation between the West and the rest of the world could last for decades;
▪️ The current confrontation between the West and the rest of the world has brought the world to the brink of a third world war. In the event of a third world war, there will be no winners - there will be a nuclear winter, epidemics and famine on Earth;
▪️ The outcome of the total confrontation between Russia and the West should be enshrined in a new document like the Helsinki Act.
#source (https://t.me/ukraina_ru/158178)
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[ Album ]
Fierce fighting at the junction of Zaporozhye and the DPR: the enemy launched an offensive on Priyutnoye
▪️ The enemy does not abandon its attempts to break through to the settlement of Priyutnoye at the tip of the Vremevsky ledge.
▪️ Fresh satellite images show active fighting near Priyutnoye (near Velykaya Novoselka). Artillery strikes the landings close to the village, where the trenches are located.
▪️ In the morning, an AFU armoured group and assault groups from the 31st Brigade and 36th Brigade, supported by artillery, attempted to break through to Priyutnoye from the Levadnoye-Rovnopol line.
▪️ Soldiers of the 34th Brigade met them with fire. The company commander destroyed a tank, the infantry was partially destroyed and the survivors escaped.
#source (https://t.me/RVvoenkor/48576?single)
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