Russia-Ukraine Reports - 2023-07-11 (1)
North of Rabotino, Zaporozje frontline. Todays armored attack.
-6 bradleys visually confirmed+various tanks with mine clearing equipment.
Battle continues and Ukrainian command is pulling more forces to achieve breakthrough. So far no results.
On the possible plans of the Russian command to re-establish the Oskol river frontier, writes Vladislav Ugolny:
The Svatovo front traditionally acts as a donor of Ukrainian units for other parts of the front. There is now information about the transfer of additional forces of the 92nd brigade to Artyomovsk, and according to Rybar's information, the 60th brigade is also planned to be transferred there from the Kharkov region
According to the plan, the 88th and the 32nd brigades are planned to enter the battle in this direction in the areas of Kupyansk and Borovoy respectively. There is also information about the transfer of the 21st and the 42nd brigades to the Kremennaya sector. The Khokhols are strengthening this direction with their newly formed brigades.
I would not be afraid of the Khokhol offensive on the Svatovo front: Their artillery group here, for example, is too weak.
Rather the opposite, the second assault on Novoselovskoye by the Russian Army (our troops already took it once and then were knocked out) is making the Khokhols quite nervous. Ukrainian sources fear our side developing the success to capture Stelmakhovka and, in general, beginning an offensive operation to reach the Oskol River frontier in the Senkovo-Borovaya section.
Apparently, it was this threat that forced the Khokhols to strengthen their grouping of troops on the Oskol, but the difficulties near Artyomovsk forced them to withdraw their units.
I am keenly following the development of the situation in Novoselovskoye and its vicinity.
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On the intensification of the fighting on the Svatovo-Kremennaya front, the Oskol river frontier, and the threat to Ukrainian positions in Seversk and Kupyansk, writes Vladislav Ugolny:
So, the Khokhols are very worried about the stability of his defenses on the Svatovo front. There, in some places, it is only about 15 kilometers to the Oskol river—that's why the AFU is afraid that the Russian “West” Group of Armies will launch an offensive [in this direction.] Of course, this note ia not about the current tactical actions—yet—but about what they could develop into.
Losing the bridgehead [east] of the Oskol river is not exactly fatal for the AFU, but it is unpleasant for a number of reasons: starting with the resulting urban battle for Kupyansk and the capture of Seversk, and ending with problems for Slavyansk and Izyum.
Worst of all for the enemy, though, is the need to devote resources to this direction. It ties up the forces that could have been spent in the area of Tokmak, in the Vremyevsky salient, or near Artyomovsk. The Khokhols may not have enough strength to hold back both the West and the Center Groupings of the Russian Army, which will result in trouble by August.
Initially, as I understand, the Khokhols suspected about this threat, but proceeded from the following assumptions:
1) a blitzkrieg in the Melitopol direction; and
2) the tying up of Russian operational reserves in Artyomovsk.
The AFU failed to accomplish the first, and achieved the second only partially. Only three brigades from the Russian reserve, the 150th Motorized Infantry Division from near Maryinka, and the 4th brigade from near Kremennaya were brought into battle here. As far as I understand, nothing was withdrawn from the Russian Army’s “West” Grouping.
I expect an intensification of fighting here within ten days.
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AFU soldiers and equipment destroyed by 38th brigade, Zaporozhye direction.
Well, Ukrainian politicians said that this is a test offensive, that's why these may be considered samplers.
“We do not want fight. We surrender.” … Russian unit threw flyers with instructions on how to surrender on to the position of a Ukrainian unit. -> Their commander of a group of 8 soldiers took this chance and saved their lives!
#Ukranian soldiers says this is how they are evacuating us .. Meaning they waited to be replaced, gave up waiting, left their positions and going back
Will cluster munitions help the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: analysis of the military chronicle
The ammunition has not yet reached the troops and delivered to Ukraine, but the effectiveness of the use of such weapons depends on many factors.
What ammunition will the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive?
Most likely, Ukrainian troops will receive M864 155 mm cluster shells for M109 self-propelled guns and M777 towed howitzers. Such shells contain 72 double-action submunitions DPICM (dual-purpose improved conventional munition) M42 (48 pieces) and M46 (24 pieces), as well as a gas generator to increase the flight range.
How do they work?
Cluster munitions are not precision weapons and are used to hit targets in a certain area. 155-mm projectiles, when deployed, scatter DPICM submunitions within a radius of several tens of meters. When combat elements are detonated, the fragments scatter tens of meters, and when they hit the equipment, a shaped charge is triggered. Similar shells of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were used in the Artyomovsky direction shortly before the retreat from the city. Then mortar mines M971 DPICM of 120 mm caliber were used, however, the firing range was limited to 6-8 km.
Are these projectiles better than regular ones?
In terms of fragmentation and anti-personnel effects, M864 shells are inferior to classic high-explosive fragmentation ammunition of 155 mm caliber, and in terms of high-explosive impact they are in principle incomparable. Conventional artillery shells, due to the larger amount of explosives and submunitions, have higher combat properties, such as the density of the fragmentation field. The problem is that there are fewer of them, large-scale production of Western countries has not yet been launched, which means that the Armed Forces of Ukraine cannot be provided with the required number of ammunition. There is another problem.
In mid-2022, an artillery battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine of 20 guns could use up to 120,000 ammunition in 30 days. The use of cluster projectiles with a lower impact and a lower percentage of firing of submunitions is likely to require higher ammunition consumption from Ukrainian artillerymen. Instead of 120 thousand shots per battery to destroy fortifications and defensive lines, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will probably have to fire twice or three times as many shots, however, even in this case, the effect will not be guaranteed due to the fact that these ammunition were not created to destroy dugouts and fortified command posts .
Where it leads?
Given the fact that only NATO-standard weapons can use cluster shells, the Armed Forces of Ukraine may face four intractable problems.
The first is the shortage of tools. In May 2023, more than a third of the approximately 152 M777 towed howitzers delivered to Ukraine were damaged or destroyed, the condition of the rest is currently unknown. Taking into account the fact that Ukrainian artillerymen will have to shoot much more often, gun crews will have less time to change positions. Because of this, howitzers and self-propelled guns of 155 mm caliber will be more vulnerable to counter-battery fire from units of the RF Armed Forces.
The second problem is service. With the repair of howitzers in the field due to increased wear, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to have difficulties, and almost every gun is sent for maintenance abroad. If you start firing two or three times more often, then a significant number of guns may be under repair at once, which can probably lead to a shortage of artillery support.
Thirdly, due to the greater number of cluster shells, logistics will have to be complicated. The more vehicles are involved, the more often vehicles with ammo, as well as the M777 and M109 self-propelled howitzers themselves, will fall into the field of view of UAV operators and be hit by counter-battery fire.
https://t.me/militarysummary/2435
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 (https://qr.nspk.ru/BS1A0068ID10D33B9IBAQRQ4M9T0NIFN?type=01&bank=100000000008&crc=36CB) Highlights of Russian Military Operation in Ukraine on July 10
▪️Russian troops again launched a series of rocket strikes on enemy facilities in several regions of Ukraine.
Hangars with equipment and ammunition at the Kul'bakyne military airfield in Mykolaiv were hit.
▪️Residents of the city of Kramatorsk in the occupied part of the DPR also reported powerful explosions.
According to some reports, a precise strike destroyed an ammunition storage facility on the territory of a local machine-building plant.
▪️In the Soledar direction, after unsuccessful attacks near Rozdolivka, the AFU has reduced its activity and is regrouping its forces.
Russian artillery is actively hindering the accumulation of reserves by striking at the enemy's concentration sites.
▪️A similar situation persists in the Bakhmut area, where the sides are preparing for new fierce fighting.
At the same time, the AFU has not stopped attacking tactical heights near Klishchiivka, seeking to break through the city's defenses to the south.
▪️In the Avdiivka sector, Russian troops continue to conduct positional battles and strike at enemy concentration sites.
At the same time, artillerymen managed to establish fire control over the last supply route of the AFU grouping in the city.
▪️In the Vremivka sector, the AFU have launched a positional offensive.
Fiercest fighting continues in the area of Balka Hrusheva, where the enemy has been trying to gain a foothold for the last few days.
▪️In the Orikhiv sector, the AFU units cut into the Russian defense northeast of Robotyne.
Russian troops are firing at the enemy and launching counterattacks in an attempt to regain control over the lost territories.
#digest #Russia #Ukraine #video
One of the columns of US and NATO armored vehicles burned near Orekhov
We are informed that the enemy tried to pass again where the Leopard and Bradley graveyard had already been. Hiding behind the previously burned armored vehicles, our Orekhov Spartans burned several columns of NATO armored vehicles here.
This is the third section of the breakthrough between Rabotino and Malaya Tokmachka, where the enemy has lost a lot of equipment over the past month.
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Direct hit in the trench of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Seversk direction by the servicemen of the Southern Military District.
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AFU fighters were torn apart while trying to attack the left flank of the Zaporozhye Front
The assault group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine moved forward to conduct reconnaissance in combat in the direction of Pyatikhatka-Zherebyanka in the Vasilyevsky district.
They were detected in time by our drones. An accurate blow was delivered to the enemy, after which two militants were torn apart, and the attack was thwarted.
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Destroyed Ukrainian armored vehicles near Maryinka
Included in the frame:
➖Tank T-64BV;
➖BMP-2;
➖2 armored vehicles "Cossack-2M1";
➖Foreign-made armored car.
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The Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying with all their might to break into our defenses in the Zaporozhye direction. The situation on the fronts on the morning of July 11
In the Zaporozhye direction, the enemy is actively making new attempts to attack our positions in the Rabotino area.
Last night and this morning, the infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine continued to attack in waves with the support of American infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers. Our fighters steadfastly repel attacks and destroy enemy manpower and military equipment - more than a dozen American Bradley infantry fighting vehicles and M113 armored personnel carriers, tanks, and armored combat vehicles were destroyed.
In the Krasnolimansky direction, Ukrainian militants equipped new positions throughout the night, mined the forward defense lines, and carried out aerial reconnaissance using UAVs.
Russian paratroopers attacked the positions of Ukrainian militants and took one of the strongholds. As a result of a successful assault, some of the Nazis were destroyed, and the survivors were taken prisoner.
Operators of the Russian Armed Forces' Lancet-3 barrage munition hit a US-made Ukrainian M113 armoured personnel carrier.
The Russian Army enters Torskoye in the Krasny Liman direction (Kremennaya front, Zherebets river frontier).
This is the first time the Russian Army is in the settlement since last summer.
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Russian Special Forces on the Kherson Front discovered the base of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and helped to destroy it.
Intelligence discovered a cluster of militants and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and places of storage of military property, equipment and weapons were also opened in the hangars. When interacting with artillery, a fire defeat was inflicted. The object is destroyed.
Why does this Substack exist? It exists because the MSM does not report the truth. It reports the narrative of Neocon’s and Liberal Interventionists. Anyone who doubts this should recall Iraq and WMD. The link below explains what we learned about MSM sourcing.
Which side are we on? We’re not on either side. We’re only interested in not being bullshitted about what is happening in the world. If the west has a valid reason for entering this conflict, we haven’t seen it yet.
Victoria's ISW Secret
I’m the sort of person who can’t stand getting ‘expert analysis’ from the same people who lied to me the last time. When I see a war article on the BBC, Fox, CNN, or MSNBC, I know I need to do my own research. When I see that all of the MSM agrees on something, I know it’s either true, or it’s some next level narrative.
The MSM's Ukraine neo-Nazi Amnesia
As Russia invaded Ukraine, the entire MSM joined in lockstep to give us a narrative. An important part of the narrative was that Russia’s claim that Neo-Nazi’s are a force in Ukraine is a Kremlin lie. It is a narrative that is easily unraveled by the MSM’s own past articles. So far, no MSM outlets are willing to discuss this ugly truth today. Anyon…
That surrender video was subtle but powerful. Both sides acted professionally. Reminded me of a One Championship fight wherein the majority of participants show respect to each other, win or lose.
I will be opportunistic but hopefully informative with https://mikehampton.substack.com/p/ukraine-will-be-a-problem-member