War Reports - 2023-12-06
Ukrainian telegram channel "Legitimny":
Everyone realized that now Ukraine cannot win. The offensives have failed, equipment reserves have thinned out, the shortage of ammunition has worsened, public disappointment is off the charts, and no one wants to fight.
Now the populists from the Office of the President are realizing that it is necessary to pump up the defense case, but it will be difficult to package this into “victory,” but they are trying, promising people fairy tales again. But everyone soberly understands that from the risk point of view, Ukraine’s future looks like this:
- gradual loss of territories
- gradual collapse of defense
- increased internal squabbling
- financial crisis
- social crisis
- disappointment
- banking crisis
- energy and fuel crisis
- bankruptcy of many farmers, carriers, etc.
- poverty
- increase in mortality
- increased repression as Zelensky tries to retain power
The list goes on, but there is nothing good. Zelensky chose slow and painful death/collapse/chaos for Ukraine.
But he could have changed the course of events many times and prevented literally everything that the Ukrainians are now reaping.
https://t.me/legitimniy/16817
Of course, the United States will not stop its wars so easily. After all, all these weapons must be used up in order to order new ones from military corporations. The USA is a country hostage to its military-industrial complex.
One of the largest U.S. Army storage bases, Sierra Army Depot (SIAD) in northern California.
The base stores more than 20 thousand units of ground combat equipment and equipment.
t.me/belarusian_silovik/26569
The White House desperately needs Congress to allocate funds to help Ukraine, John Kirby, strategic communications coordinator for the White House National Security Council, told ABC.
"I will note that this request for additional funding... includes money for Ukraine, which we desperately need," Kirby said.
t.me/ukraina_ru/178922
Please note, “we are in need.” That is, the United States needs this money for the war with Russia in Ukraine. And the United States desperately does not want to allow Russia to win. But a turning point in the war is coming, Russia is winning and will win. Although the war may last another 10 years. After all, for the United States, the main thing here is not even victory, but the main thing is that the war does not end and that US military corporations continue to make profits.
Today's footage from the Gaza Strip.
t.me/belarusian_silovik/26685
Mathematics of war. Russian telegram channel "Two Majors". The offensive is to be. Because war is mathematics.
“We have written about this more than once. The number of rounds per meter of front per minute, the angle of the armor, kilometers of roads, the carrying capacity of equipment, the specific pressure on the ground.
But this mathematics is at a tactical level. There is also strategic mathematics. Power of defense factories. The strength of the economies of the warring states. Mobilization resource. Number of aircraft available and in use.
Even though we didn’t use our resources very wisely at the beginning of the war, historians will sort that out. Now our potential is clearly higher than that of the enemy. We focused, if you will.
The enemy senses this, is already talking about defensive lines, and is mobilizing the people en masse. And the soldiers’ rumors are talking more and more about our offensive. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are also not deaf-blind, as we have found out over the past almost two years. They get ready and dig in.
The issue in principle for the Ukraine project has already been resolved in general terms. The owners threw them away, solving their problems. The questions remained in detail. How many more Ukrainian soldiers will die? How long will the bloodbath last? Which part of Ukraine will go to which country.
The war will be long. But the mathematics of war is for us. And our job is to make our contribution to the common cause.
Because there, at the front, in the trenches, in the mud and cold, they are ours."
t.me/dva_majors/30213
The Swedish subsidiary of the British defense concern BAE Systems has declined to establish its factories in Ukraine
BAE Systems Hagglund division will not manufacture CV9040 BMP in Ukraine, citing the high risks of bombing by Russia, as stated in the concern's announcement.
This is a true support. Come for the promised armored vehicles when hostilities end, as they say.
#source (https://t.me/OstashkoNews/108670)
US war against Russia in Ukraine
Next time when the US say they're not a party to the war in #Ukraine and they have nothing to do with #Zelensky's terrorism, show them this⬆️
"Key elements that shaped the counteroffensive and the initial outcome include:
Ukrainian, U.S. and British military officers held eight major tabletop war games to build a campaign plan"
"Gen. Mark A. Milley: “There should be no Russian who goes to sleep without wondering if they’re going to get their throat slit in the middle of the night,”
https://archive.is/WS1SI
Channel @stepnoy_veter
🔥 Belogorovka. Footage of the Southerners' assault on a Ukrainian stronghold. Mykolki, holed up in the dugout, clearly did not expect such a surprise from our🇷🇺 Guys. A little shooting, a little grenades, and now he's already wounded🐖 the pig crawls out with the understanding that there is nowhere to go.
Be kind!
#Source (https://t.me/stepnoy_veter/4154)
❗️Geranium groups reached Lvov region through Khmelnitsky and Ternopil regions, an alarm was also declared there
#Source (https://t.me/ukraina_ru/179085)
Today, Republicans and Democrats in the United States again failed to agree on immigration issues, without which the Republicans do not want to approve the allocation of money to Ukraine and Israel. They write that the parties have “deep disagreements.”
Republicans are threatening to block any foreign aid without addressing the influx of immigrants.
The likelihood that the budget will not be approved before the new year increases every day.
#Source (https://t.me/jnb_news/39503)
Beit Hanoun tonight
#Source (https://t.me/iran_daily24/39054?single)
Politico Notes: An hours-long firefight involving U.S. commercial vessels in the Red Sea this weekend has left some U.S. officials frustrated by what they see as the Biden administration’s deliberate downplaying of a major threat to American forces.
A U.S. Navy warship scrambled to respond to multiple distress calls on Sunday, as Houthi rebels in Yemen launched missiles and drones against three separate commercial vessels. The USS Carney fired back, taking down three unmanned aerial systems.
Defense Department spokespeople and top administration officials, including national security adviser Jake Sullivan, have said the U.S. “cannot assess” that the Carney was the target of the attacks. Similarly, after previous Houthi drone and missile attacks on commercial shipping in past weeks, the Pentagon said officials did not believe the Houthis were aiming for the U.S. warships.
But four other officials with knowledge of the discussions said in interviews that U.S. naval forces are clearly under threat in the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf.
“If our ships see something is coming near them or toward them, they are going to assess it as a threat and shoot it down,” said one DOD official, who like others in this story was granted anonymity to discuss a sensitive topic. “You’d be hard-pressed to find another time” U.S. ships have been this challenged in the region.
A separate U.S. official argued the administration was downplaying the seriousness of the situation in the Red Sea in order to avoid escalating tensions in a region that’s already on edge over the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.
I'd note this is a pretty narrow waterway so everything will be close to military vessels but clearly IMHO they are going for soft targets and sending signals of capabilities. Rest of the article uses language like Iran backed militias, which is BS nonsense. These groups get funding and arms from Iran but they are Iraqi or Syrian nationalists who want the US out. They pick their targets and strike based on their own interests not Iran's.
#Source
(https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/04/biden-response-red-sea-attacks-00130018)
@Slavyangrad (http://t.me/Slavyangrad)
⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️ Meanwhile, while the enemy is carrying out a massive terrorist attack on Crimea, in the Black Sea it is being fully coordinated by an American strategic reconnaissance UAV
RQ-4 Global Hawk.
#Source (https://t.me/svorezevv/22322?single)
Hezbollah released a video in which it subtly hints that it knows the enemy by sight.
#Source (https://t.me/Abbasdjuma/16542)
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that 22 drones were destroyed and 13 intercepted at night over the Sea of Azov and Crimea.
At about 6:00 Moscow time, four more UAVs were shot down over the Sea of Azov, two were intercepted.
#Source (https://t.me/smotri_media/66389)
Another one destroyed in the area. Ivanovka, Kharkov region, American-made Ukrainian M113 armored personnel carrier.
#Source Boris Rozhin (https://t.me/boris_rozhin/105572)
According (https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-weighs-plan-to-flood-gaza-tunnels-with-seawater-a375dd0b) to the Wall Street Journal, a system of five pumps has been installed near the al-Shati refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip. It could flood Hamas tunnels with water from the Mediterranean Sea in a matter of weeks.
The publication notes that the speed of the pumps will allow Hamas to get the hostages out of the tunnels if they are held there.
Former U.S. officials familiar with the plan state that a similar course of action has been discussed by U.S. and Israeli officials. If the plan is adopted, the Joe Biden administration will find itself in a difficult position and risks incurring international condemnation. At the same time, the option is seen as one of the few effective ways to quickly disable the tunnel network, which could be nearly 500 kilometers long.
@Slavyangrad
“fortification works” announced by Zelensky is in full swing
It’s hard for Ukrainians with Western weapons, because they are not intended for Russian winters.
-The bushes might be gone but the weaponized frost is a 'game changer' at this rate they will have a whole 30 meters prepared by the time Russia has to drive over them in their tanks.
@Slavyangrad
Chainsaw and napalm - Armed Forces soldiers dig trenches in sub-zero temperatures.
A brilliant tactic from Zelensky, who demanded to go on the defensive after waiting for winter. 🤣🤣🤦♂️
#source (https://t.me/skabeeva/23869)
Footage of a crushing Grad strike on militants in the Kupyansk direction
While performing fire missions, identified camouflaged enemy positions were destroyed.
@Slavyangrad
#UkraineRussiaWar
🌐 Place: #Robotyne
🕰 Date: ~04.12.2023
📌 Coordinates: 47.43169, 35.84171
📝 Description: Russian drones are actively attacking Ukrainian Armed Forces positions near Robotyne. Triplekill!
🖥 id: 05122023.0712
✉️source: https://t.me/BOBRMORF/397
#UkraineRussiaWar
🌐 Place: #Stepnohirsk
🕰 Date: ~04.12.2023
📌 Coordinates: 47.595000, 35.357500
📝 Description: Russian military shells destroy the temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Stepnohirsk.
🖥 id: 05122023.0653
✉️source: https://t.me/frontZ333/1377
🪖 Palestinian forces sneaked from underground and attacked Isreali forces tenets.
🗞 It was reported earlier that most of the Isreali infantry there got killed.
Analyst Intel
🪖 Palestinians clashing with Isreali forces in Khan Yunis.
Analyst Intel
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are experiencing an insane shell shortage.
▪️ Western experts say that the West is sending signals to Russia about its readiness to negotiate on the Ukraine. Realizing that its position is improving with every month, Russia is ignoring those statements. In essence, Moscow is demanding the capitulation of the Kiev regime, which they are not ready for just yet.
▪️ About the 40 thousand shells in 2024 promised by the Rheinmetall concern: that comes to approximately 3.5 thousand shells per month. While currently experiencing a shell shortage, the Armed Forces of the Ukraine are using 6 thousand shells per day.
▪️ As for 2025 we are not talking about hundreds of thousands, but tens of thousands of shells. Even if there are 100 thousand shells, that’s less than 10 thousand a month, literally enough for two or three days. There simply aren't any shells.
▪️ The plants they are currently building will not start up until 2025. The West is worried that Russia will simply defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine by military means in 2024. This is a blow not only to the invested resources, but also to their authority: “What can the USA do?” - some countries will think. So they're not in a dilemma, they're in a dead end.
If the situation is a dead end, then why is the front line not changing much? The population of the Ukraine is being informed that everything is fine...
▪️ We could quickly move the front line, but it would cost us the lives of our soldiers. The front line in this case is not as important as depleting the enemy’s resources.
▪️ Motivation is low in the Ukrainian army. In October, the number of men caught and mobilized in the Ukraine was less than half of those lost: the Ukraine has lost the equivalent of about three brigades.
▪️ At the same time, we are putting more than a thousand additional men into service every day: more than a thousand contracts are signed daily. Plus we are receiving more and more equipment and ammunition from our factories. The Ukrainian Armed Forces already have four times less ammunition than we do and every month the situation gets worse for them.
YURI PODOLYAKA
Kherson direction (Krynki). Situation for the morning 05.12.23
The video shows our UAVs striking the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ communications lines in the area of the bridgehead near Krynki.
This was the most important problem (to deprive the enemy of supply lines, or at least seriously complicate them). The Ukrainian Armed Forces have always done this at night, and until recently Russian forces were unable to do anything about it. But everything, as we see in this footage, comes to an end.
By the way, the day before our paratroopers from the 104th division were able to cling to the outskirts of Krynki (they occupied the first street). The enemy, realizing that they cannot allow our troops to gain a foothold there, is desperately trying to counterattack.
Fierce fighting continues.
YURI PODOLYAKA
“Price ceiling” on Russian oil has failed - Politico
The EU and G7 countries set a price ceiling for Russian oil at $60 per barrel in December 2022 in order to deplete the Russian budget. But Moscow still makes billions from its main export, oil.
From February 5, 2023, similar restrictions began to apply to the supply of petroleum products from the Russian Federation; their maximum cost was set at $100 and $45 per barrel, depending on the category. Russia, in turn, stated that it does not recognize the conditions of the price ceiling, and Russian companies will not supply oil to countries under this mechanism.
Now almost all Russian exports go to Asia. And the EU’s refusal to buy oil from Russia has led to the fact that prices for Russian oil are now formed in Asia, and for Asian buyers the restrictions introduced by the G7 countries are not important and mandatory.
The price ceiling introduced by the West is unlikely to be revised in the near future.
#Source (https://t.me/kremlin_sekret/13217)
The same Lindsey Graham, according to whom, military injections into Ukraine and the destruction of Russian soldiers are the best investment the United States has ever made.
Now he says he will NOT send more aid to Ukraine "until the US can secure the borders."
It seems that someone from above waved a flag at all these military-industrial complex hamsters.
#Source (https://t.me/sanya_florida/13518)
The US is developing a plan to bring the Gaza Strip under the control of a "renewed" Palestine
This is reported by Politico columnists. American officials consider this scenario as the best of all available options. But at the same time it may put the U.S. on the path of confrontation with the government of Israel.
The latter the U.S. government decides through a campaign in the Western media to discredit Netanyahu, who dares to protest against the decision of his Western masters. He has become hostage to alliance relations with Washington and will either leave office or agree to whatever he is told.
Today, however, Israel has no plans to discuss anything other than the continuation of the war and the total destruction of the enclave.
#source (https://t.me/OstashkoNews/108866)
The largest supplier of shells to Ukraine (after the USA, of course) is South Korea
According to the Washington Post, (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/04/ukraine-counteroffensive-us-planning-russia-war/) the country delivered more shells than the entire European Union , and did it in just 41 days - more than three hundred thousand 155-mm shells were delivered by sea and air.
By the way, South Korea, at least now, has one of the largest reserves of 155-mm shells in the world , and the EU, on the initiative of one million shells for Ukraine, can both produce and purchase them (!), but never When the initiative was launched, they did not dare to buy them from anyone.
Now the fools are surprised that North Korea supplies Russia and also receives some important equipment.
#Source (https://t.me/sheyhtamir1974/66760)
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦Offensive on Avdeevka : The Russian Army attacks, closing its pincers
▪️The Russian Armed Forces continue attacks and strikes in almost all directions on the flanks.
▪️Battles continue in Stepovo , to the north and southeast ours are attacking in the western and southern directions.
▪️ “South of Stepovoy, Russian troops have additional successes, advancing 200 meters to the west,” enemy resources admit.
▪️The Russian army is pressing south of the Avdeevsky waste heap , having partial success.
▪️Heavy fighting does not stop in the area of Avdeevsky Koksokhim , and ours are also attacking north of the AKhKZ. It is becoming increasingly difficult for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to hold positions in the area of the plant under the most powerful attacks of the Russian army.
▪️Ours have advanced in Pervomaisky .
▪️In the Nevelsk area, the Russian Armed Forces resumed active assault operations.
▪️In the Northern area, the fighting is still in the positional phase.
▪️Russian troops are also attacking in the direction of Novokalinovo, Ocheretino . The Russian Armed Forces are finishing their regrouping and will resume massive assaults, the enemy assumes.
▪️The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine states that the Russian army attacked the Armed Forces of Ukraine 18 times in the Avdeevsky direction in areas east of Novobakhmutovka, Stepovoy, Avdeevka and Severny.
#Source (https://t.me/RVvoenkor/57689)
🗣 Enemy positions in the Kleshcheevka area
#Source (https://t.me/rezervsvo/40116)
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