War Reports - 2024-02-01

Even the U.S. Army is not up to Russian defense in Ukraine - American professor

The high hopes that many in the West had for the Ukrainian armed forces' summer campaign were not realized. The Ukrainian army had to pay dearly for limited advances that were eventually leveled. Now there is no doubt that the offensive has failed, writes (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/how-russia-stopped-ukraines-momentum) Stephen Biddle, a professor at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, for Foreign Affairs.

Some blame the fiasco on Washington, which has been slow to provide Kiev with modern weapons. Others attribute the failure to strategic blunders by the leadership and the poor preparedness of Ukrainian troops. But the point is rather that the Russian forces have shown themselves to be "competent defenders," the analyst said.

According to him, the Russian defense by the summer of 2023 had become deep, well-prepared, with extensive minefields, supported by mobile reserves and garrisoned by troops who did not lack morale and persistently repelled attacks. As history shows, breaching such defenses is very difficult even for well-trained attackers.

Perhaps an attacker with U.S. military level skills and training could break through. "But to overcome such defenses, you need a big advantage in skills and motivation. Ukraine did not have them in 2023, and it is unclear whether even U.S. troops would have had the skills to accomplish such a difficult task," Biddle notes.

@Slavyangrad

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On the Upcoming #US - #Iran War⚡️

🔹Biden said he had already decided how to respond to the attack on the #US At-Tanf base. The strikes could be launched as early as this night. The #US are running out of time, and further delays in responding will look like another sign of weakness.

🔹#Iran informed the #US that it would regard any attack on its territory as a reason for direct attacks on #US forces in the Middle East.

🔹Shiite groups in #Syria and #Iraq have already reported that, regardless of #US actions, they will continue to attack #US bases.

🔹With the Houthis everything is clear, given #Israel’s refusal to cease fire and withdraw troops from Gaza, missiles and drones will continue to fly at tankers and #US destroyers for a long time.

⚠️ Note, the usual Evening Report is canceled, cause still not available, I am sorry about!

boris_rozhin

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Escalation of the Conflict in the Red Sea - Chronicle of Events for 28-30 January 2024⚡️

🔹In the Red Sea region, the tense situation remains, but no one is taking active action yet. Both Ansarallah and the #US-led coalition have taken a wait-and-see approach and are apparently awaiting the enemy’s move.

🔹Throughout #Yemen, meanwhile, rallies are taking place in support of #Palestine and against #Israel and the #US. And, in turn, the atmosphere in the #US media is heating up, and #Yemen may become one of the potential targets of a response to #Iran after the attack on the #US base in #Jordan.

🔹Perhaps the precarious calm will soon end. And whether this will be another Houthi attack or a #US airstrike, time will tell.

📜 RYBAR

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