War Reports - 2024-09-18

Sep 17, 2024

Where to catch Ukrainian F-16s?

Despite the current excitement in the world and Russian media in connection with the first official confirmation of the use of F-16 by the Ukrainian Air Force, I would like to emphasize once again: the Ukrainian side, with the help of Western media, is now creating another “wunderwaffe”, as was the case with the HIMARS MLRS, and the Abrams, Challenger and Leopard tanks.

📌This does not mean that there is no threat from the F-16: there is, and quite a tangible one. What are the old air-launched cruise missiles JASSM, flying at a range of 370 km (the AGM-158B JASSM-ER has a range of 980 km ) and which the West has in abundance, as well as the air-to-air missiles AMRAAM with a range of up to 180 km .

🔻However, the use of the F-16 by the Ukrainian Air Force will be within the following framework:

▪️One squadron is already based in Fetești, Romania. From there, it's a stone's throw to the Odessa region . From Fetești, flights to Transcarpathia were practiced, as well as landing at jump-off airfields in the so-called Ukraine .

▪️The second squadron will most likely be based at the Romanian air base of Campia Turzii , where a large-scale modernization of the infrastructure was just underway.

▪️We must not forget about the use of the Marculesti airport in Moldova : it is undergoing reconstruction, and the version (https://t.me/rybar/56793) about the deployment of an F-16 squadron there has been heard since the beginning of the year.

▪️If we are talking about deployment on the territory of the so-called Ukraine, then the Voronov airfield in the Rivne region was hastily put into operation this year. The same repair work is being carried out at the airfields of Chernivtsi , Uzhgorod and Bolgrad (given their location near the border with Romania , this is extremely logical).

▪️If we discard the basing option, then the remaining airfields in the central and western parts of the country will be used as jump-off airfields for attacks on the near rear and the front line. Most likely, the emphasis will be on Uman and Mirgorod . The use of airfields located even closer to the LBS is extremely unlikely.

▪️It is not necessary to use Ukrainian pilots, who are undergoing training, (https://t.me/rybar/59559) because the planes will only fly over Ukrainian audiences, so who can tell whether it is the Ukrainian Mykola overboard or the American retiree John, who joined (https://t.me/rybar/45171) the “International Legion of Territorial Defense”.

❗️The public appearance of the F-16 over Odessa testifies to the main thing: the "green light" for their use has been received. As in the case of all types of weapons transferred to the Armed Forces of Ukraine over the past 2.5 years, now the collective West will squeeze the military, media and economic maximum out of military equipment with its own peculiarities of use that is still incomprehensible to the Russian Armed Forces.

But given the sufficient amount of information, the awareness of the intelligence agencies of the Russian Armed Forces, as well as technical capabilities, the strongest obstacles to effectively countering the F-16 may, alas, as usual, be bureaucracy , problems with management and communications .

High resolution map (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/08/04/20240804201940-0c528681.jpg)

English version (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/08/04/20240804201930-c43c3785.jpg)

#авиация #карта #Россия #Румыния #Украина

@rybar (https://t.me/rybar)

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🇲🇩🇷🇺🇺🇦 As the date of the Moldovan elections approaches, preparations for more serious involvement of Moldova in the military conflict with Russia are becoming more active.

❗️According to our information, the preparation (https://t.me/rybar/62440) of the Marculesti airfield for the military needs of the AFU has entered an active phase: mobile maintenance stations are being deployed on the territory, and the runways are actively being repaired.

At the same time, Russian-speaking servicemen were transferred from the base in Marculesti near Chisinau to avoid trouble. An increase in the number of servicemen from Romania and other NATO countries is noted at the military airfield.

🔻Information that cargo planes with weapons for the AFU have been regularly arriving at Marculesti has appeared earlier. In addition, Ukrainian mechanics and military personnel who service Soviet-made helicopters are constantly present at the airfield.

And the current modernization of the airfield and the deployment of maintenance stations may be related to nothing else but the preparation for the reception of F-16 fighters.

The Russian Foreign Ministry recently expressed (https://t.me/rybar/62792) concern about this. However, the Moldovan authorities predictably deny the facts.

As we noted earlier, now Moldova and its Western curators are focused on re-electing Maya Sandu in October. It is after the elections that we should expect more serious steps by the authorities in Chisinau to drag the country into direct conflict. Moreover, public opinion has already been pre-prepared by allowing (https://t.me/rybar/57033) F-16s to fly through Moldovan territory.

#Moldova #Ukraine

@rybar

🇨🇳 (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/i.php?/upload/2024/09/17/20240917131803-9da46bbc-xx.jpg)🇵🇭 Interesting events are taking place in the South China Sea near the disputed Sabina Shoal: a few days ago, it became known (https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/15/asia-pacific/philippines-ship-south-china-sea/) that a Philippine ship based there, which was demonstratively marking the country's presence in this location, has left and headed to the port of Puerto Princesa.

The Sabina Shoal, whose ownership is disputed by the authorities in Beijing and Manila, became one of the main tension points in the water area in August. Last month, that's where (https://t.me/awaken_dragon/2092) most of the clashes between the Chinese and Filipinos occurred.

The main reasons (https://www.inquirer.net/413418/west-ph-sea-many-chinese-ships-exit-sabina-after-brp-teresa-magbanua-withdrawal/) for the withdrawal of the Philippine ship were both bad weather conditions and the need to repair the vessel. In addition, the Filipinos could not (https://www.inquirer.net/413358/brp-teresa-magbanua-arrives-in-palawan-with-dehydrated-sick-crew/) fully provide the ship's crew with water and food.

🔻However, the withdrawal of the ship actually occurred due to the actions of the Chinese. Thus, the Chinese coast guard has been actively interfering with the delivery of supplies to it, as well as ramming the Philippine ship, causing it significant damage.

Now, Beijing may take advantage of the missed opportunity to consolidate its presence on the disputed shoal. Although Manila claims that it can send other vessels to replace it at any time, Chinese ships are constantly present around Sabina, and their crews have no intention of letting "outsiders" pass.

Therefore, we won't be surprised if the Chinese coast guard sends even more equipment there in order to prevent any attempts by the Filipinos to consolidate their presence on the shoal. Given China's reaction to any actions by the Philippines in the South China Sea, a new round of tension in the region is not far off.

High-resolution map (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/09/17/20240917131803-9da46bbc.jpg)

English version (https://rybar.ru/piwigo/upload/2024/09/17/20240917131803-6982bc2b.jpg)

#China #Philippines

@rybar together with @awaken_dragon

⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation

(17 September 2024)

Part I

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.

▫️ In Volchansk and Liptsy directions, the Sever Group of Forces inflicted losses on formations of the AFU the 113th and 125th territorial defence brigades near Velikaya Pisarevka and Volchansk (Kharkov region).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 85 troops, one 152-mm D-20 gun, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.

▫️ The Zapad Group of Forces improved the tactical situation and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the 14th, 44th, 67th, 115th mechanised brigades, 3rd Assault Brigade of the AFU, and 104th and 119th territorial defence brigades near Kupyansk, Kovsharovka, Glushkovka, Novoosinovo, Kruglyakovka (Kharkov region), Rozovka (Lugansk People's Republic), and Terny (Donetsk People's Republic).

Three counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 66th Mechanised Brigade were repelled.

The enemy sustained losses of up to 600 troops, one tank, three armoured fighting vehicles, six motor vehicles, one 155-mm Bogdana self-propelled artillery system, two UK-made 155-mm FH-70 howitzers, U.S.-made 155-mm M777 and M198 howitzers, one 152-mm D-20 gun, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, two U.S.-made 105-mm M119 guns, one Anklav-N electronic warfare station, and one U.S.-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar.

▫️ The Yug Group of Forces seized more favourable lines and engaged the 24th, 28th, 93rd mechanised brigades, 46th Airmobile Brigade of the AFU and the 116th Territorial Defence Brigade near Chasov Yar, Grigorovka, Stupochki, Verkhnekamenskoye, Ostroye, Dyleyevka, Seversk, and Konstantinovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

Five counter-attacks launched by the AFU 56th Motorised Infantry Brigade and 120th Territorial Defence Brigade were repelled.

The AFU losses amounted to up to 685 troops, one tank, seven motor vehicles, and a U.S.-made 105-mm M119 gun.

▫️ The Tsentr Group of Forces goes on advancing into the depth of the enemy's defence. The Group's units inflicted fire damage on the 59th and 148th mechanised brigades, 95th Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and 118th and 119th territorial defence brigades and the Lyut Brigade of the National Police of Ukraine near Nelepovka, Dimitrov, Kurakhovo, Tsukurino, Mikhaylovka, Grodovka, and Novoekonomicheskoye (Donetsk People's Republic).

Eight counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 150th Mechanised Brigade, 142nd Infantry Brigade, and 25th Airborne Brigade were repelled.

The enemy's losses amounted to up to 475 troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two pick-up trucks, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, and three 122-mm D-30 howitzers.

▫️ The Vostok Group of Forces seized more favourable lines and positions, and hit the 72nd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU and 118th Territorial Defence Brigade close to Levadnoye (Zaporozhye region).

Four counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 116th Territorial Defence Brigade were repelled.

The AFU losses amounted to up to 95 troops, one UK-made 155-mm FH-70 howitzer, one 152-mm D-20 gun, and one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system.

🔹 Russian Defence Ministry

⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation

(17 September 2024)

Part II

▫️ The Dnepr Group of Forces have inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 37th Marine Brigade and the 121st Territorial Defence Brigade near Novoaleksandrovka, Tokarevka, Vesyoloye (Kherson region) and Stepnogorsk (Zaporozhye region).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 20 troops, six motor vehicles, and one 152-mm D-20 gun. One AFU field ammunition depot was destroyed.

▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces delivered strikes at power facilities supporting the enterprises of the Ukrainian defence industry, depots storing munitions, ammunition, and materiel; and engaged clusters of AFU manpower and hardware in 145 areas.

▫️ Air defence systems shot down one U.S.-made HIMARS MLRS projectile and 36 unmanned aerial vehicles during the day.

▫️ In total, 646 airplanes, 283 helicopters, 31,658 unmanned aerial vehicles, 579 anti-aircraft missile systems, 18,157 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,454 MLRS combat vehicles, 14,708 field artillery guns and mortars, and 26,148 units of support motor vehicles have been destroyed during the special military operation.

🔹 Russian Defence Ministry

🔥 Enemy temporary deployment area razed to ground

The Russian Aerospace Forces delivered an air strike against an AFU temporary deployment area near Zvanovka in the Donetsk People's Republic on the territory temporarily occupied by Ukrainian nationalists.

Objective control systems confirmed the enemy building razed to the ground. The AFU sustained losses of more than 20 military personnel and four motor vehicles.

🔹 Russian Defence Ministry

⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on repelling AFU attempt to invade Russian territory in Kursk region

(17 September 2024)

▫️The Sever Group of Forces carrying on offensive actions inflicted damage on the 22nd, 41st, and 115th mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 82nd air assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 1st National Guard Brigade and 112th and 129th territorial defence brigades near Lyubimovka, Malaya Loknya, Daryino, Nikolo-Daryino, Tolsty Lug, and Plekhovo.

▫️ Over the past 24 hours, the Sever Group foiled four enemy attempts to launch attacks in the direction of Lyubimovka, Malaya Loknya, Olgovka, and Cherkasskaya Konopelka.

As a result, the AFU losses amounted to up to 30 troops killed and wounded, three armoured fighting vehicles, and two motor vehicles.

▫️ With support of army aviation and artillery, the Group's units repelled five AFU's attempts to break through the border of the Russian Federation in the direction of Vesyoloye and Medvezhye.

The enemy's losses included up to 40 troops killed and wounded; two tanks, a Swedish-made CV-90 infantry fighting vehicle, four armoured fighting vehicles, and one counterobstacle vehicle were destroyed.

▫️ Air strikes, artillery fire, and actions of the troops inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware clusters of the 22nd, 41st, and 61st mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 80th, 82nd, and 95th air assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 112th and 129th territorial defence brigades near Daryino, Kositsa, Kurilovka, Kruglenkoye, Zazulevka, Lyubimovka, Mirny, Makhnovka, Mikhaylovka, Malaya Loknya, Nikolo-Daryino, Novy Put, Novaya Sorochina, Novoivanovka, Orlovka, Pravda, Plekhovo, Russkoye Porechnoye and Tolsty Lug.

▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation and Missile Troops launched strikes against concentration areas and reserves in Sumy region of the 22nd, 41st, and 115th mechanised brigades, 82nd Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 1st National Guard Brigade, and 101st, 103rd, 106th, and 119th territorial defence brigades near Belovody, Gurinovka, Kruzhok, Katerinovka, Mazevka, Novaya Sloboda, Obody, Revyakino, Rechki, Rudnevo, Rossoshi, Pavlovka, Shalygino, Khoten, Esman, and Yunakovka.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy sustained losses of up to 400 troops and 19 armoured vehicles, including four tanks, a Swedish-made CV-90 infantry fighting vehicle, 14 armoured fighting vehicles, as well as five artillery guns, five mortars, six motor vehicles, and a counterobstacle vehicle.

Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost more than 14,200 troops, 119 tanks, 45 infantry fighting vehicles, 91 armoured personnel carriers, 743 armoured fighting vehicles, 445 motor vehicles, 103 artillery guns, 28 MLRS launchers, including seven of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, eight SAM launchers, four transport-loading vehicles, 26 electronic warfare stations, seven counter-battery radars, two air defence radars, 14 engineering vehicles, including eight counterobstacle vehicles, and one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle.

The operation to neutralise the AFU units is in progress.

🔹 Russian Defence Ministry

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #ChasivYar

🕰 Date: ~16.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 48.593508,37.832150

48.593004,37.833845

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: Russian FABs are burning out Ukrainian Armed Forces positions in Chasiv Yar.

🖥 id: 17092024.0811

✉️source: https://t.me/EnotHersonVDV/4033

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Medvezhye

🕰 Date: ~16.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 51.268261, 34.680884

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: As a result of Russian strikes, 2 Ukrainian Strikers and 1 BREM1 of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were destroyed near Medvezhye.

🖥 id: 17092024.0822

✉️source: https://t.me/dumky_frontovyka/597

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Pogrebki

🕰 Date: ~16.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 51.406057, 35.183837

👩‍🚀 Squad: #GroupNorth

📝 Description: Russian drones strike a column of Ukrainian Armed Forces near Pogrebki.

🖥 id: 17092024.0826

✉️source: https://t.me/warriorofnorth/2732

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Olhovka

🕰 Date: ~16.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 00:38 51.377764, 35.028891

👩‍🚀 Squad: #GroupNorth

📝 Description: Russian FABs bomb Ukrainian Armed Forces positions near Olhovka.

🖥 id: 17092024.0829

✉️source: https://t.me/warriorofnorth/2729

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Borki

🕰 Date: ~16.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 51.086805 35.424939

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: Russian troops clear positions and capture prisoners of war in Borki.

🖥 id: 17092024.0831

✉️source: https://t.me/creamy_caprice/6824

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

Kursk region

Fighting for the settlement of Borki, liberated the other day. 382nd separate motorized rifle regiment of the 810th legendary brigade destroys a group of enemy infantry

позывной Осетин (https://t.me/osetin20)

⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸⚔️ Escalation in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Zone until the End of 16 September 2024⚡️

🔹In the north of the #GazaStrip, Israeli militants launched a series of attacks on the capital of the Palestinian enclave and satellite towns.

🔹In the south of the Enclave, on the border with #Egypt, the creation of a buffer zone on the territory of the “Philadelphia Corridor” is being completed.

🔹In the West Bank, Israel's 'Operation Summer Camps' continues. Over the past day, 20 residents of the Palestinian Authority were detained. Meanwhile, in Jerusalem, a Palestinian wounded a MAGAV employee with a knife, after which he was killed by return fire.

🔹On the border with #Lebanon, Hezbollah fighters shelled northern #Israel, and fires broke out in several areas. In turn, the IDF struck the south of #Lebanon. There were casualties among both civilians and combatants of the Shiite group.

🔹In the Red Sea Region, over the Yemeni province of Damar, fighters of the Ansarallah movement shot down another #US American MQ-9A Reaper drone. This is the tenth US Air Force UAV of this type neutralised by the Houthis since the beginning of the escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

📜 RYBAR

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Myrnohrad

🕰 Date: ~17.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 48.263839,37.286900

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: Russian FAB3000 bombs temporary deployment point of Ukrainian Armed Forces in Myrnohrad.

🖥 id: 17092024.1505

✉️source: https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/184953

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Goncharovka

🕰 Date: ~17.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 51.188363,35.238465

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: As a result of the Russian strike, a Ukrainian hangar with ammunition was blown up in Goncharovka.

🖥 id: 17092024.1537

✉️source: https://t.me/razved_dozor/7050

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #KhersonOblast

🕰 Date: ~17.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 00:03(46.969662,33.385325)

00:15(47.009385,33.491340)

00:23(47.022723,33.378620)

👩‍🚀 Squad:

📝 Description: Russian Airstrikes on Ukrainian Temporary Deployment Points in Kherson Oblast.

🖥 id: 17092024.1624

✉️source: https://t.me/The_Wrong_Side/18338

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

#UkraineRussiaWar

🌐 Place: #Ukrainsk

🕰 Date: ~17.09.2024

📌 Coordinates: 48.102365, 37.357348

👩‍🚀 Squad: #114Brigade

📝 Description: The Russian flag was raised in Ukrainsk.

🖥 id: 17092024.1739

✉️source: https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/27143

Map: Military Summary Map (https://dev.militarysummary.com/#/login)

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Here's how Hezbollah's communication devices exploded after Israel hacked them.

Hundreds of Hezbollah fighters were injured after portable pagers used by Hezbollah fighters exploded in Beirut's Dahiya district, Reuters reported (https://t.me/navideovidno/78877?single), citing an unnamed security source.

Injuries are also reported from other parts of Lebanon.